Data-driven analysis of prediction markets.
In-depth research on trader behavior, market microstructure, and the analytics behind 0xinsider's scoring models.
The 10 Highest Earners on Polymarket: $96.5 Million in Profit From 10 Wallets
Ten wallets. $96.5 million in total profit. Seven of them made their fortune from a single category: politics. Win rates range from 16.7% to 92.9%. The highest earners on Polymarket share almost nothing in common except conviction and timing. Here is the full breakdown, with real data from every profile.
Bots vs Humans on Polymarket: 880 Algorithms Against 9,700 Traders
880 bots average $119,156 in profit with a 66.4% profitability rate. 9,702 humans average $12,671 with a 45.3% rate. The median human P&L is negative $2. This is the full data breakdown from 10,582 traders with 10 or more markets on Polymarket.
When You Trade Matters: The $36,000 Gap Between Morning and Afternoon Traders
Traders who execute between 8-12 UTC average +$21,786 in P&L. Traders in the 16-20 UTC window average -$14,099. Same platform, same markets, same mechanics — a $36,000 difference driven entirely by when orders hit the book. The timing of your trades may matter more than what you trade.
NBA Betting on Polymarket: What 16,382 Large Trades Reveal About Winning
$194 million in NBA large trades across 1,461 markets. We analyzed every one — entry prices, timing, consensus patterns, and win rates — to find what actually separates winners from losers in NBA prediction markets.
What Separates Winning Polymarket Traders from Everyone Else
Meloune has a 79.6% win rate across 113 markets — and has lost $42,240. SeriouslySirius wins just 50.3% of the time across 6,339 markets — and has made $3.6 million. Win rate is the most watched metric in prediction markets, and the most misleading. Here is what actually separates the top from the rest, based on 26 million trades and 1,241 graded wallets.
15-Minute Markets on Polymarket: 86% Win Rate, Negative P&L — Only 33% of Traders Profit
Buying Bitcoin Up or Down shares at 95 cents wins 86% of the time — and still loses money. Across 4,838 traders and 2.7 million positions, only 33% of short-duration traders are profitable.
How to See the Biggest Kalshi Trades in Real Time
Kalshi is the only CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange in the United States. Large trades on Kalshi carry a different weight than trades on unregulated platforms: they are backed by verified identities, real dollars, and regulatory oversight. Here is how to see those trades the moment they happen.
How gabagool22 Turned Crypto Volatility Into $788K Profit on Polymarket
An algorithmic trader averaging 365 trades per market, a 99.5% win rate, and nearly $800K in profit — all from Bitcoin and Ethereum price markets. Here is exactly how gabagool22 does it.
Large Trade Tracking on Prediction Markets: Where to See Live Trades and Why They Move Prices
A $200K buy hits a quiet market at 2 AM. Within hours, the price has moved 15 cents. By the time you check your portfolio, the opportunity is gone. This guide shows you where large traders operate, how to read their moves, and what their activity tells you about where markets are heading.
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