swisstony: Verified $23,390,424 Polymarket P&L across 180,079 resolved markets

Polymarket's own user P&L curve returns $23,390,424 for the wallet 0x204f72f35326db932158cba6adff0b9a1da95e14, the account trading as swisstony. That provider response owns the account total. Our production mirror held $23,393,628.71 at its last sync, a difference of $3,204.71, or 0.014 percent of the total, which reads as sync lag rather than a disagreement about the number.

On the stored side, swisstony has 180,079 resolved markets and 2,441 still open, on $1.80 billion of lifetime volume. That is the largest resolved-market history in this cohort, so the rates below do not come from a small sample.

This is a fixed snapshot retrieved on August 15, 2026. The live profile keeps updating, so its values will move after this date.

The 180,079 stored resolved rows sum to $46,174,479.30, $22,784,055.30 above the provider total of $23,390,424. The row sum is a diagnostic, not a second account total, and that gap is why this article never quotes it as one.

Merges, redeems, and maker rebates do not always belong to one market row. Every account total here comes from the provider response, and stored rows supply only counts, signs, and the profit factor below.

Our stored rows were last synced on August 15, 2026 at 17:17:34 UTC. On that clock, 108,284 of the 180,079 resolved markets closed with positive P&L, 71,730 negative, and 65 at zero. Positive rows over all 180,079 gives the 60.13% win rate shown here.

On the same rows, gross positive realized P&L of $163,207,436.67 divided by gross negative realized P&L of $117,032,957.37 gives a profit factor of 1.39. Both figures describe how stored outcomes are distributed, not how the wallet traded.

A 60.13% win rate means roughly three of every five resolved markets closed positive. A 1.39 profit factor means each dollar lost was matched by $1.39 won. Neither is a large edge on any single market. Repeated across 180,079 resolved markets and $1.80 billion of volume, a small edge produces a total this size.

That describes the outcomes, not a strategy. Row outcomes do not show order-book behavior, execution intent, holding periods, uptime, or the cause of the profit. Anyone who says these counts prove market making, arbitrage, or an information edge is reading something into the data that is not there.

The counts do support one check on durability. A record built on 180,079 settled markets cannot be explained by a short winning streak, and 71,730 losing markets is not the profile of a wallet that avoided risk.

The provider source is Polymarket's user P&L API for the wallet address, all intervals, retrieved August 15, 2026. The account total quoted here is the last cumulative point on that curve, the same value our ingestion reconciles the stored total against.

A separate read-only production query produced the resolved-row counts and gross sums. We report two dates on purpose: the provider retrieval date and the stored rows' last sync on August 15, 2026 at 17:17:34 UTC. The exact queries and their raw output are in our repository's verification note for this article.

This page makes no claim about holding periods, per-trade expectancy, timing, category mix, comparison benchmarks, or why the wallet made money. None of those can be recovered from the evidence above.

The live wallet is at 0xinsider.com/profile/0x204f72f35326db932158cba6adff0b9a1da95e14, including open positions this snapshot does not cover. The address identifies the wallet; the swisstony username can change.

Use the profile for current numbers and this article for the August 15, 2026 record. If the two differ, the provider's numbers moved after publication.