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Trading styles from observed Polymarket activity

Four measured patterns, with explicit results for mixed activity and limited history. Read what each label measures, the sample it needs, and the wallets that carry it.

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01

Activity within markets

Both-outcome activity and recorded trades per stored market describe the recorded activity without guessing execution speed or order role.

  1. Two-sided positions

    Both outcomes appear in at least 60% of the wallet's stored markets, and that pattern clearly leads the other qualifying patterns.

  2. High trade density

    At least 8 recorded trades per stored market on average, with trade density clearly leading the other qualifying patterns.

02

Activity across categories

Category shares use recorded positive USD cost basis. Known-category coverage determines whether the sample supports a concentration or breadth claim.

  1. Category focused

    One known category accounts for at least 70% of recorded positive USD cost basis, and concentration clearly leads the other qualifying patterns.

  2. Diversified activity

    At least 3 known categories with positive cost basis, no category above 50% of recorded positive USD cost basis, and known categories covering at least 80% of that basis.

03

When one style does not fit

Mixed activity preserves a usable but ambiguous result. Limited history means the stored sample cannot support an assessment.

  1. Mixed activity

    The wallet has enough usable history, but no pattern clearly leads. Qualifying patterns remain visible as traits.

  2. Limited history

    The stored sample is too small or lacks usable inputs for the model to assess a trading style.

04

Historical labels

These labels come from the previous classifier. Existing rows keep them until normal processing assigns a current trading style.

  1. Legacy two-sided trader

    A retained label from the previous classifier. It stays visible until the wallet's next normal classification replaces it with an observed trading style.

  2. Legacy market maker

    A retained label from the previous classifier. It stays visible until the wallet's next normal classification replaces it with an observed trading style.

  3. Legacy scalper

    A retained label from the previous classifier. It stays visible until the wallet's next normal classification replaces it with an observed trading style.

  4. Legacy algo trader

    A retained label from the previous classifier. It stays visible until the wallet's next normal classification replaces it with an observed trading style.

  5. Legacy accumulator

    A retained label from the previous classifier. It stays visible until the wallet's next normal classification replaces it with an observed trading style.

  6. Legacy swing trader

    A retained label from the previous classifier. It stays visible until the wallet's next normal classification replaces it with an observed trading style.

  7. Legacy event driven

    A retained label from the previous classifier. It stays visible until the wallet's next normal classification replaces it with an observed trading style.

  8. Legacy momentum

    A retained label from the previous classifier. It stays visible until the wallet's next normal classification replaces it with an observed trading style.

  9. Legacy directional

    A retained label from the previous classifier. It stays visible until the wallet's next normal classification replaces it with an observed trading style.

  10. Legacy speculator

    A retained label from the previous classifier. It stays visible until the wallet's next normal classification replaces it with an observed trading style.

Note · A trading style describes stored activity. Read performance separately through the wallet's grade, settled P&L, and risk metrics.

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