Everything you need to know about prediction markets.

100+ prediction market terms defined — from “outcome token” to “Sharpe ratio.”

How prediction market traders profit on quarterly earnings — large trade positioning, signal scores, and track records before the call.

Polymarket now charges taker fees across most market categories. Here's the current fee formula, category schedule, what a trade actually costs, and how maker rebates offset taker fees.

Kalshi's standard taker fee schedule runs from $0.01 to $0.02 per contract and peaks near 50¢. On maker-fee markets, the raw maker multiplier is 4x lower. Here’s how the math, rounding, and funding costs work.

A fresh wallet deposited $32,500 and bought Maduro capture shares a week before U.S. forces moved in. It cashed out over $400,000. Every major geopolitical insider case started with the same pattern. You can set up alerts to catch the next one.

Stop refreshing the terminal. Set up custom alerts for the exact trades you care about (by category, minimum size, and wallet type) and get notified instantly.

A practical guide to reading and interpreting the Polymarket order book — from basic bid-ask mechanics to advanced depth chart patterns used by professional traders.

The Kelly Criterion tells you exactly how much to bet when you have an edge. Learn the formula, avoid the pitfalls, and apply it to real prediction market trades.

In June 2025, an Israeli military reservist leaked classified strike plans to a friend who bet $150,000 on Polymarket. It was the first criminal prosecution for prediction market insider trading — and far from the last.

Stop betting on individual markets and start thinking like a portfolio manager. Learn how to diversify, size positions, and build a prediction market portfolio that compounds.

A trader with a 100% win rate and $38,133 in profit sounds impressive — until you learn they've only resolved 5 markets. Here's how to separate skill from luck using real data from 10,059 tracked traders.

Elections are the biggest events in prediction markets. Learn the strategies, timing patterns, and analytical frameworks that separate winners from the crowd during election season.

Large trades move markets and signal information. Learn how to read the 0xinsider Terminal, interpret signal scores, and build a strategy informed by large trader activity.

Everything you need to know to start trading prediction markets, from understanding how shares work to using analytics to find an edge.

Why a trader who made 500% on 3 markets might not be as good as you think, and how Bayesian shrinkage separates skill from noise.

A practical guide to following top traders on Polymarket — see their trades the moment they happen, get notified for large moves, and filter out the noise.

When both sides of a prediction market show 80%+ odds, something looks broken. It is not. Here is the mechanics behind overround, bid-ask spreads, and illiquid markets.

Two traders both show six-figure P&L. One earned it across 300 markets with a 2.0 Sharpe ratio. The other hit big on two bets. Grades separate proven skill from lucky streaks — here's how to read them.