Only S, A, and B wallets qualify
- Everyone else is excluded.
- The split reads money from wallets with a settled record, not the crowd.
- A grade is the wallet's realized P&L on settled markets, ranked against every tracked wallet.
Profitable wallets
Profitable wallets' positions
Which side the S, A, and B wallets hold on a market, as a share of their money on it. The split is a snapshot of open positions, not a prediction and not the grade.
Who qualifies
Three grades count
S
IncludedIncluded
Top of the cohort by realized profit
A
IncludedIncluded
Large realized profit on a proven record
B
IncludedIncluded
Solid realized profit on a real record
C
ExcludedExcluded
Not counted
D
ExcludedExcluded
Not counted
F
ExcludedExcluded
Not counted
What counts
Grade filter, net position, dollars at risk
The grades decide who counts. A grade is realized P&L on settled markets, ranked against every tracked wallet, so the split reads settled records, not volume.
- Only S, A, and B wallets count. C, D, F, and ungraded wallets are left out.
- Each wallet is netted to one side per market. A wallet holding both outcomes counts once, on its net side.
- Positions are valued at the current price and summed per side. 82% YES means 82% of the graded dollars in the market are on YES.
- There is no minimum size. Any net position from an S, A, or B wallet counts, and any market with graded money on it gets a share per side.
S, A, and B wallets only
One net side per wallet
A share of dollars per side
Reading the split
What each range means
The split shows the outcome name, Suns or Celtics, instead of YES or NO where we have it. The wallet count says how many graded wallets hold a position.
Range
Read
Meaning
100%
All on [outcome]
Every graded dollar is on this side
≥62.5%
Leans [outcome]
At least 62.5% of the graded money is on this side
Split
Split
Graded money is on both sides, and neither side has 62.5%
≥62.5%
Leans [other]
At least 62.5% of the graded money is on the other side
100%
All on [other]
Every graded dollar is on the other side
How it works
Filter by grade, net per wallet, sum per side
The grade filter decides which dollars count. The rest is a sum per side.
Net position counts, not gross volume
- Each wallet's buys and sells are netted to one side per market.
- The split counts dollars at risk, not wallets, so a large position weighs more than a small one.
- No minimum size: any net position from an S, A, or B wallet counts.
Dollars are summed per side and read as one percentage
- 82% YES means 82% of the graded dollars in the market are on YES.
- On a two-outcome market, a side needs 62.5% or more of the graded money to lead, a 25-point gap. Below that, neither side leads.
- Shows the outcome name, Suns or Celtics, instead of YES or NO where we have it.
How traders use this
Confirmation, the price gap, and the market page
The split moves when graded wallets trade or the price moves, and shows where their money sits now, not where the market goes next.
Confirmation
Already like a side? Check whether profitable wallets hold it before you buy.
Against the price
The price says 70% YES and 80% of the graded money is on NO. On a two-outcome game, the game page shows Pro a lean only when the money sits at least 10 points past the price and the leaning side holds $500 or more of graded money.
On the market page
With Pro, the market page shows the split and the number of S, A, and B wallets on each side. Without Pro, the page shows the graded wallet count and total dollars, not the side.
FAQ
Common questions
What the split shows, how it is calculated, and what it does not promise.
What do profitable wallets' positions show?
Which side the S, A, and B wallets hold in a Polymarket market, as a share of their money in it. Each wallet counts once, on its net side, and C, D, F, and ungraded wallets are left out.
How is the split calculated?
Each S, A, or B wallet's position is netted to one side and valued at the current price. The dollars on each side are summed and shown as each side's share. A side leads when its share beats the next side's by 25 points or more, which is 62.5% on a two-outcome market; below that, neither side leads.
Do profitable wallets' positions predict outcomes?
No. The split shows where graded wallets are positioned now, not where the market will go. Profitable wallets can be wrong, and past positioning says nothing about the next result.
Get started
See where profitable wallets are positioned
On Pro, market pages show the split and the number of S, A, and B wallets on each side. Without Pro, a market page shows how many graded wallets hold a position and their total dollars.
