Which Polymarket wallets are winning in sports and esports

If you want one name, it is RN1. Split Polymarket sports and esports profit into two 30-day windows, August 28 to September 26 and September 27 to October 26, 2026, and RN1 is the only wallet in the top 10 of both: $951,010 in the first, $1,602,423 in the second. It ranked first on our all-sports leaderboard when we read it, and it traded that day.

The rest of the second window's top 10 shows how fast the list turns over. BreakTheBank led it with $8.36 million after losing $1.30 million in the first window. 3 of the 10 had no P&L at all in the first window. ferrariChampions2026, ninth with $870,728, is the other name to watch: third on the all-sports board and one of 4 wallets in its top 100 by rank, by P&L and by edge.

These windows count a settled market's profit on the day it resolved and a still-open market's sales on the day it was last traded, a per-market basis that runs above Polymarket's account totals, as our leaderboard P&L study shows. The read is from 12:21 UTC on October 28, 2026. The boards refresh every hour, so a later visit will show a different order. The RN1 case study covers how it trades.

Ask who is winning on Polymarket and you usually get its leaderboard. At 12:13 UTC on October 28, 2026, Polymarket's all-time sports list put swisstony first at $18.48 million. Its last sports trade we hold is from August 26, 63 days earlier. Of the top 10, only RN1 and BreakTheBank had traded a sports or esports market in the past 60 days.

An all-time list ranks what a wallet made, whenever it made it. 5 of the top 10 have settled 5 sports markets or fewer: mintblade made $9.11 million from 5, fishalive $9.00 million from 2. Across the top 25, 8 settled fewer than 10. A few large wins put them there, and a few wins say little about the next one.

The list also moves overnight. Polymarket's sports figure for BreakTheBank, as we stored it at 21:12 UTC on October 27, was $12.13 million. Fifteen hours later its API showed $11.09 million, which dropped it from third to fourth behind kch123. Polymarket's figures here come from its public Data API leaderboard; the settled-market counts and last-trade dates are ours.

Winning means three different things on our leaderboard, and each gives a different list. Rank orders wallets by grade, which is mostly realized profit with a minimum record for an S. P&L orders them by sports and esports profit, Polymarket's figure plus rebates. Edge orders them by how often their buys won minus the price they paid, pulled toward the average for short records.

Of 9,910 wallets the board showed, the top 100 by rank and the top 100 by P&L share 18 names. The top 100 by P&L and by edge share 4. Those 4 make all three lists: ferrariChampions2026 (3rd by rank, 14th by P&L, 57th by edge), justaluckydude (6, 50, 88), sportmaster777 (8, 53, 59) and Vigilant-Environment (11, 70, 94).

RN1, first by rank, shows no edge on this board. The board shows one only when the markets behind it won at a rate within 10 points of the wallet's overall win rate. RN1's 30,926 edge markets won 70.2%; all its decided markets, 54.9%.

So pick the meaning before you pick a name. P&L tells you who made the most and says nothing about the prices paid. Edge tells you who bought better than the price over many markets and says little about size. A wallet on all three lists did both, for long enough to earn a top grade.

Sort a sport board by win rate and you get wallets that buy near-certain outcomes. On October 28, 2026, the win-rate top 20 on all seven boards paid 99.0¢ to 99.8¢ a share on average and won 99.7% to 99.9% of their markets. A 99¢ share that wins pays 1¢. One loss takes back 99 wins.

The edge top 20 paid 51¢ to 55¢ on average and won 63% to 74% of their markets. Not one of those 140 places went to a wallet averaging 95¢ or more. Every sport board opens on the edge order. A high win rate at a high price mostly says the price was right.

The soccer board ranked 25,515 wallets with 20 or more settled soccer markets. After the wallets we left out, its edge leaders were five S grades with similar records. matmorfo won 624 and lost 198, bought at 51.3¢ on average and won 71.8% of its edge sample: 15.95 points of edge and $30,747 of soccer profit. jack.jr, blackewolf83, theZok1 and foxchaser follow at 14.6 to 15.3 points.

They also trade together. theZok1 and blackewolf83 have 552 settled markets in common, and in 416 of them their first fills came less than a minute apart. Every pair of the five shares at least 132 markets. Fills cannot tell us who runs a wallet, and the board ranks each on its own record. If you follow all five, you may be following one approach five times.

The soccer money sits elsewhere. swisstony's soccer rows sum to $34.88 million, from 77,275 wins and 46,525 losses at 77¢ a share, and RN1's to $9.02 million. A per-market sum runs above an account total: Polymarket put all of swisstony's sports profit at $18.48 million. The swisstony case study breaks the record down.

sunnyboy won 112 basketball markets and lost 145, and it was first on the basketball board. It bought at 15.0¢ on average. A 15¢ share should win about 15% of the time; sunnyboy won 35.6% of its edge sample, 20.62 points over the price. The board shows 12.89, because 205 markets is a short record.

Next come Chubby-Draw at 11.20, platarb at 9.47, Forecastication2 at 7.95 and RN1 at 7.42. platarb won 93% of 61 edge markets, which the board discounts hard. RN1 has the deepest record in that group, 5,846 settled basketball markets, and made $774,677 on them.

The basketball money went to kch123: $7.60 million from 263 wins and 218 losses. kch123 had not traded a sports market since June 29, 121 days before the read, and its basketball edge of 3.54 sat outside the board's top 100.

RadioFreeZerg topped the tennis board: 2,619 wins and 1,565 losses, a 72.4% hit rate at 52.9¢, 17.77 points of edge and $22,299 of tennis profit. Set aside the wallets we left out and it made the edge top 10 of four sport boards: first in football and tennis, third in baseball, 11th in soccer. Only platarb did the same.

The earners rank lower. ferrariChampions2026 made $6.30 million in tennis from 9,148 wins and 8,475 losses at 7.44 points, 23rd on edge. RN1 made $2.12 million at 5.56 points, 41st.

Lilybaeum shows a different shape. It lost more tennis markets than it won, and won 44% of its edge sample at an average 34.7¢. That is 8.71 points of edge and $239,003 of profit: its buys won more often than their prices said.

On the hockey board, making money and buying well overlap the most. 21 wallets sit in both its P&L top 100 and its edge top 100; soccer has 2 and esports 3. Hockey is also the smallest field, 3,407 wallets with 20 or more settled markets.

ewww1 leads it: 603 wins and 43 losses at 67¢, an 83.7% hit rate and $113,726 of hockey profit. Its edge is 16.71 points raw and 9.85 on the board, because 301 edge markets is a short record. Vigilant-Environment is second on 2,214 settled hockey markets, and sportmaster777 fifth with $104,207.

The top hockey earner, Multicolored-Self, made $3.31 million on 210 markets and holds an F. Across all sports its market rows sum to a $4.19 million loss.

ferrariChampions2026 made $11.21 million on the baseball board, from 8,286 wins and 6,099 losses at 52.4¢. That is 5.53 points of edge on 4,843 edge markets, 33rd. RadioFreeZerg, third on edge at 16.69 points, made $19,935.

Two S grades do both. curie made $1.72 million at 8.61 points, 17th; sportmaster777 made $510,017 at 9.15, 12th. Their records are long, 7,874 and 6,683 settled baseball markets, so the board takes less than a point off either raw edge.

Baseball lost the most to our exclusions: 9 of the 20 best edge records the board served belong to wallets left out of this read. The places between the names above are mostly theirs.

The football board's top earner is BreakTheBank: $7.14 million from 128 wins and 106 losses at 47.2¢ a share. It won 55% of its football markets. Its edge is 6.36 points raw and 3.65 on the board, 85th.

BreakTheBank is the clearest case of P&L and edge pointing different ways. On the all-sports board it is an A, third by P&L at $12.47 million, with an edge of -0.14 points: it won 42.4% of its decided markets and paid 43.8¢ on average. A wallet can make millions without beating the price on average, when its largest positions win.

The football edge leaders are small by comparison. RadioFreeZerg went 831-154 at 68.1¢ for 19.10 points and $9,102. SnakeBall, an S, is third at 18.06 points with $74,579 on 989 markets.

bossoskil1 made $3.69 million on esports, the most on the esports board, from 678 wins and 695 losses. Across every sport its market rows sum to a $4.75 million loss, and it holds an F. Its last sports or esports trade was on July 1.

The chart below sets each sport's top earner against its whole record. swisstony, ferrariChampions2026, kch123 and BreakTheBank are up across all sports. The hockey and esports leaders are down. A sport board shows one sport's rows, and the grade reads the whole record.

On edge, esports belongs to smaller wallets. BABY88 leads the named records at 18.13 points: 382 wins and 121 losses at 49.2¢, for $25,576. k04b won 140 of 143 at 67.8¢, a 30.80-point raw edge that the board cuts to 12.73.

A winning window raised the odds of another, and the size of the win added little. We took every wallet that made money on sports and esports from August 28 to September 26, 2026 and checked the next 30 days. A wallet was active there if one of its markets settled in that window or it last traded a still-open one in it. Of the top 100 earners active in the second window, 61% made money again. Of winners outside the top 1,000, 60%. Of first-window losers, 49%.

The top 100 also stayed big. Their median second-window result was $47,092; for wallets ranked 101 to 1,000 it was $713, and only 54% of them made money again. 20 of the top 100 were not active in the second window, 6 of the first window's top 10 among them. totoro3miyazaki went from $2.27 million to a $2.34 million loss.

Two windows are one observation, so read the 1-point gap between the top 100 and winners outside the top 1,000 as no gap. A wallet whose second-window markets had not settled counts only what its sales realized, which can be nothing. Both windows use the per-market basis, from records computed after the second window closed.

Every edge on the boards is shrunk. A wallet's raw edge is pulled toward the field's average, by more when it has few markets and by less when it has many. On the all-sports board, Candyrai won 80.1% of its decided markets for a 40.20-point raw edge over 582 markets; the board shows 28.80. ferrariChampions2026's 7.74 over 21,740 markets shows as 7.66.

Read three numbers before you trust a name: the edge on the board, the count of settled markets behind it, and the last trade. A 20-point edge on 150 markets is a lead to check. An 8-point edge on 5,000 markets is a record. Then open the wallet and look at what it buys.

Start from the all-sports leaderboard or a sport: soccer, basketball, tennis, hockey, baseball, football or esports. Each sport board opens on edge. Our grade study tests whether grades predict the next trade, and the sports wallet census counts how many wallets are profitable at all.

On the day of this read we were re-reading 25 wallets' costs from Polymarket, after finding stored costs that counted shares where they should have counted dollars. Those wallets still appeared on the boards. This article leaves them out of every list, and the chart below counts the places they held in each board's edge top 20: 28 of 140, with 9 in baseball and 8 in tennis.

We ran the same check on every wallet we name. 8 more had share-count costs on over 2% of their settled markets, and 1 could not be checked; we name none of them, though the boards still rank them. Board places in this article are the served ones, so the gaps between them belong to wallets we left out. The checklist for comparing traders explains why a figure needs its basis before it means anything.

So the test for a winning wallet is the same on any day: an edge that holds over hundreds of settled markets, a trade in the last few days, and a profit in more than one window. On October 28, 2026, ferrariChampions2026 met all three, and RN1 met them on its basketball and tennis records.