Resolution reportMonday, October 5, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
71%
1,131 right461 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 28,259
- No consensus
- 26,667
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 24,884 provider closure; 3,375 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- AYoungAlphaGoatLast tradedNo+$62.67
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$27.20
- AMysariaLast tradedNo+$13.99
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedDown+$9.39
- Bdawangwang001Last tradedDown+$16.16
- BOldstreetLast tradedDown+$1
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmerodLast tradedNo+$5.62
- Akorda77Last tradedNo+$3.18
- Brocky42001Last tradedNo+$17.03
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$3.56
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$7.15
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$0.95
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$41.76
- Anagi777Last tradedDown+$123.44
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$66.30
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- ASerpentine-MajorityLast tradedNo+$7.35
- AmerodLast tradedYes-$1.29
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$0.52
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Akorda77Last tradedNo+$1.36
- AmerodLast tradedYes-$0.14
- BGingerMcKennaLast tradedYes-$26.79
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BboggycryptomanLast tradedDown+$9.26
- BOldstreetLast tradedDown+$5.56
- BmydreamsLast tradedDown+$0.71
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedDown-$33.92
- Bdawangwang001Last tradedUp+$17.57
- BVortexTradingLast tradedUp+$0.11
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bdawangwang001Last tradedDown+$13.45
- BOldstreetLast tradedDown+$1
- BCavernous-AgricultureLast tradedDown+$0.97
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$12.47
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$72.81
- BmihaXdLast tradedDown+$43.88
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AtimebrotimeLast tradedDown-$12.38
- Bdawangwang001Last tradedUp+$24.47
- BVortexBetLast tradedUp+$1.75
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 71%
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
Right- Called
- Panthers
- Won
- Panthers
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SwapolLast tradedPanthers+$64
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedPanthers+$46.93
- Afatdog-012Last tradedPanthers+$39.77
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$1.01
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$59.24
- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedNo+$47.14
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedYes-$571.56
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedNo+$675.33
- ACamelUpLast tradedYes-$133.13
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedNo-$77.58
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedYes+$37.66
- Ablackewolf83Last tradedYes+$35.79
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes-$1.76
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$2.24
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$1.28
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$20.32
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$37.19
- AAlphaSemanticLast tradedDown+$18.67
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDREAMBIG.Last tradedNo+$3.10
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$4.33
- AQuarrelsome-BranchLast tradedNo+$0.51
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$14.60
- BWeather-GuruLast tradedYes-$72.28
- Bacc42020Last tradedNo+$44.96
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$25.16
- ATunSahurLast tradedNo+$13.26
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$8.47
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABeefSlayerLast tradedYes-$52.50
- Brocky42014Last tradedNo+$21.93
- Bwtrader2580Last tradedNo+$19.01
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$8.79
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$5.65
- AElated-LentilLast tradedUp+$4
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedUnder-$13,460.43
- SNooseracLast tradedOver+$2,350
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder-$96.01
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$4,254.01
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedUnder-$407.41
- AsulumosLast tradedUnder-$2,256.66
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedNo-$1,606.93
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedNo-$825.63
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$267.11
Spread: Lions (-1.5)
Right- Called
- Panthers
- Won
- Panthers
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedPanthers+$4,528.97
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedPanthers+$512.80
- BdegenmLast tradedPanthers+$354.96
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$4,735.04
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver+$552.09
- BPan9XLast tradedUnder-$233.50
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$4,624.96
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver+$582.12
- SantecLast tradedUnder-$22.91
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes+$3,727.88
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYes+$51.33
- ALuckyLooLast tradedYes+$75.82
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$3,420.43
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver-$225.98
- Bzhengzh09Last tradedUnder+$447.75
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo-$3,454.11
- AComTruiseLast tradedYes+$297.97
- A0xDB5Last tradedYes+$92.46
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes+$3,209.97
- SZaiZoiBeleLast tradedYes+$1.67
- Bjohannsi19Last tradedNo-$171.93
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNooseracLast tradedOver+$1,160.57
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$798.96
- BGasplantLast tradedOver+$463.65
- Called
- France
- Won
- France
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedBelgium-$197.57
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedFrance+$138.33
- SZaiZoiBeleLast tradedFrance+$7.92
Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SclassifiedLast tradedYes-$2,231.83
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$2.36
- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$1.30
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SclassifiedLast tradedYes-$2,231.83
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$2.36
- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$1.30
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SclassifiedLast tradedYes-$2,231.83
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$2.22
- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$1.30
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SclassifiedLast tradedYes-$2,231.83
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$2.06
- AQuarrelsome-BranchLast tradedNo+$1.96
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SclassifiedLast tradedYes-$2,231.83
- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$1.30
- AQuarrelsome-BranchLast tradedNo+$1.25
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AScalpTraderLast tradedYes+$2,277
- AsiickLast tradedYes+$31.20
- BToTheWindowLast tradedNo-$90.20
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SColdMathLast tradedOver+$100
- AmarketmeshLast tradedOver+$3,047.88
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder-$1,020
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- Storta.techLast tradedUnder+$230.72
- AWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedUnder+$1,211.01
- ALlamaEnjoyerLast tradedUnder+$680.21
- Called
- Chargers
- Won
- Chargers
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedChargers+$2,090.40
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedSeahawks-$308.44
- BPan9XLast tradedChargers+$107.86
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedNo+$1,679.54
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$2.13
- Bneo7777Last tradedYes-$6.70
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder+$662.72
- SantecLast tradedUnder+$43.80
- BSadSquid54333Last tradedUnder+$824.30
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$1,149.84
- SantecLast tradedUnder+$152
- SwapolLast tradedUnder+$60.16
Spread: Aruba (-3.5)
Wrong- Called
- Aruba
- Won
- Anguilla
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SColdMathLast tradedAnguilla+$96
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedAruba-$46.53
- Alma0o0o0oLast tradedAruba-$1,329.54
26,594 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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