Resolution reportMonday, October 5, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
71%
1,128 right458 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 28,222
- No consensus
- 26,636
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 24,847 provider closure; 3,375 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Yellow Submarine
- Won
- Yellow Submarine
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedYellow Submarine+$180.39
- SDonkooLast tradedYellow Submarine+$9.31
- Aameisgoat11Last tradedCyberHero-$98.15
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$56.59
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedDown+$1.12
- BCitronnadeLast tradedUp-$234.97
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AYoungAlphaGoatLast tradedNo+$154.76
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$33.60
- AplanktonXDLast tradedNo+$11.01
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes+$86.09
- AJackenandLast tradedYes+$5.90
- Boieshfn345Last tradedNo-$381.62
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$645.10
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver-$373.86
- ABarren-MorbidityLast tradedUnder+$905.93
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$70.22
- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$32.88
- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$13.54
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$9.78
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$65.95
- BmihaXdLast tradedDown+$40.03
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$68.25
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$186.97
- BErickaguilarLast tradedUp+$5.96
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$163.22
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver-$63.43
- ALuckyLooLast tradedOver-$166.38
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ATunSahurLast tradedNo+$27.56
- BOutOfMemoryLast tradedNo+$60.45
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$5.15
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp+$161.16
- Btmsd-testLast tradedDown-$271.89
- Bdawangwang001Last tradedUp+$14.28
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgricultureSecretaryLast tradedDown-$304
- Ayen4uLast tradedUp+$663.34
- BTheUltimateNash69Last tradedDown-$297
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$53.69
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$73.07
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$4.03
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$34.34
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$48.09
- AElated-LentilLast tradedUp+$4
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AcatalanpathsLast tradedNo-$201.60
- AYoungAlphaGoatLast tradedYes+$71.17
- AMysariaLast tradedYes+$32.38
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$22.61
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$126.29
- BmihaXdLast tradedUp-$18.55
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp+$19.23
- BJontheoneLast tradedDown-$150.02
- Bdawangwang001Last tradedUp+$38.62
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedNo+$48.73
- AcatalanpathsLast tradedNo+$26.99
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$10.37
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$36.35
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$62.82
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$1.48
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$59.43
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$69.21
- AnoxmeLast tradedDown-$29.29
- Called
- Besiktas
- Won
- Besiktas
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedBesiktas+$24.01
- AGrowing-ToughguyLast tradedBesiktas+$0.70
- BZeljkoLast tradedBesiktas+$38.25
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedDown+$121.94
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedDown+$0.06
- Btmsd-testLast tradedUp-$201.94
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$1.32
- BOutOfMemoryLast tradedNo+$28.68
- Bsailor82Last tradedNo+$27.06
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$15.93
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$95.18
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$5.65
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bchaosj88Last tradedYes-$123.10
- BDecent-CorporalLast tradedNo+$50.82
- BPPMTLast tradedNo+$9.56
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$11.80
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$118.68
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$2.03
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedYes+$160.03
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo-$5.53
- BAlexD87Last tradedNo-$123.77
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$24.13
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$34.50
- BmihaXdLast tradedDown+$37.45
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$60.49
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$2.01
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$0.42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$100.50
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$38.34
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$2.02
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- ASerpentine-MajorityLast tradedNo+$30.01
- AMysariaLast tradedNo+$3.61
- AthoodrLast tradedNo+$0.15
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$7.66
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$187.11
- BmihaXdLast tradedUp-$110.95
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$33.75
- SSharky6999Last tradedUp+$3.47
- AWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedDown-$28.20
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AYoungAlphaGoatLast tradedYes-$81.06
- AMysariaLast tradedNo+$36.16
- ACAQZeroSeatsLast tradedYes-$20
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRenanPresidente.Last tradedNo+$74.45
- ABiggggggggLast tradedYes-$41.83
- A65765757Last tradedNo+$19.51
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 9%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$55.32
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$3.99
- BLearnSlowly111Last tradedDown+$46.94
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACAQZeroSeatsLast tradedYes-$85.26
- AMysariaLast tradedNo+$38.08
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$22
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$58.09
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$24.84
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$4.03
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$6.27
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$10.40
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo+$0.68
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- AD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Last tradedYes-$67.24
- AmerodLast tradedNo+$18.33
- BAnon321321321Last tradedNo+$8.36
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$38.84
- BPiercing-Strip-RustLast tradedDown+$0.94
- BVortexBetLast tradedUp-$0.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$108.27
- AnoxmeLast tradedUp+$84.81
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$23.44
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo+$4.61
- ASerpentine-MajorityLast tradedNo+$11.60
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$10.18
- Called
- Italy
- Won
- Italy
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMustafalafelLast tradedNo+$24.75
- AAiBirdLast tradedYes-$1.51
- Bchaosj88Last tradedNo+$8.45
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AYoungAlphaGoatLast tradedYes-$43.01
- AMysariaLast tradedNo+$27.34
- ASerpentine-MajorityLast tradedNo+$18.28
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- AYoungAlphaGoatLast tradedNo+$62.67
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$27.20
- AMysariaLast tradedNo+$13.99
26,559 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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