Resolution reportSunday, October 4, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
80%
1,281 right327 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 34,216
- No consensus
- 32,608
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 26,719 provider closure; 7,497 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- LYON
- Won
- LYON
- Profitable wallets
- 89
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedCloud9-$21,485.41
- STHEHIGHLIFELast tradedLYON+$20,400.23
- SfkigedgjdgwbgLast tradedLYON+$19,686.41
Colts vs. Commanders
Right- Called
- Colts
- Won
- Colts
- Profitable wallets
- 83
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedCommanders-$52,705.76
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedColts+$49,122.41
- SRN1Last tradedColts+$11,778.84
Cowboys vs. Texans
Right- Called
- Cowboys
- Won
- Cowboys
- Profitable wallets
- 82
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBreakTheBankLast tradedCowboys+$684,424.25
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedCowboys+$244,955.66
- SKch-TempLast tradedCowboys+$158,666.50
- Called
- LYON
- Won
- LYON
- Profitable wallets
- 82
- Confidence
- 34%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedCloud9-$12,834.21
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedCloud9-$5,631.56
- SDearest-UrgeLast tradedLYON+$5,233.79
Rams vs. Eagles
Right- Called
- Rams
- Won
- Rams
- Profitable wallets
- 80
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedRams+$238,769.28
- ScurieLast tradedRams+$64,702.76
- SprimmLast tradedRams+$29,971.95
- Called
- Team WE
- Won
- Team WE
- Profitable wallets
- 78
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedTeam WE+$76,421.48
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedHANJIN BRION-$35,750.17
- SDearest-UrgeLast tradedTeam WE+$22,271.91
Jaguars vs. Bengals
Right- Called
- Jaguars
- Won
- Jaguars
- Profitable wallets
- 77
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBreakTheBankLast tradedJaguars+$332,052.76
- SSoarin22Last tradedJaguars+$42,209.77
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedJaguars+$36,813.15
- Called
- Spirit
- Won
- Spirit
- Profitable wallets
- 74
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedPARIVISION-$52,619.23
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedPARIVISION-$11,859.09
- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedPARIVISION-$3,552.92
Cardinals vs. Giants
Wrong- Called
- Cardinals
- Won
- Giants
- Profitable wallets
- 71
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SethanazLast tradedCardinals-$46,537.21
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedGiants+$42,689.13
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedCardinals-$26,768.67
- Called
- LYON
- Won
- LYON
- Profitable wallets
- 69
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedCloud9-$58,836.86
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedLYON+$5,813.02
- S-PainLast tradedCloud9-$3,352.36
Patriots vs. Bills
Right- Called
- Patriots
- Won
- Patriots
- Profitable wallets
- 67
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBreakTheBankLast tradedPatriots+$743,991.48
- Sndb1Last tradedBills-$185,000
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedPatriots+$26,907.17
- Called
- Packers
- Won
- Packers
- Profitable wallets
- 65
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedPackers+$10,902.12
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedPackers+$6,369.79
- SRN1Last tradedPackers+$5,199.30
- Called
- 1WIN
- Won
- 1WIN
- Profitable wallets
- 64
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last traded1WIN+$21,652.04
- Somnibus-076daaLast traded1WIN+$16,560.84
- SfkigedgjdgwbgLast traded1WIN+$15,246.02
- Called
- Novak Djokovic
- Won
- Novak Djokovic
- Profitable wallets
- 63
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedAlexander Zverev-$37,925.71
- SRN1Last tradedAlexander Zverev-$22,814.86
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNovak Djokovic+$14,270.03
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 63
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNooseracLast tradedYes-$14,902.05
- SleegunnerLast tradedNo+$8,213.49
- SrainbowliliesLast tradedNo+$441.41
- Called
- LYON
- Won
- LYON
- Profitable wallets
- 61
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedLYON+$29,320.47
- SequalsignificanceLast tradedLYON+$8,364.57
- STHEHIGHLIFELast tradedLYON+$4,700
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedNo-$267,242.66
- SRN1Last tradedYes+$6,606.97
- SNM-PLast tradedNo-$3,260.91
Broncos vs. 49ers
Right- Called
- 49ers
- Won
- 49ers
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 14%
- Called
- BNK FEARX
- Won
- BNK FEARX
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedBNK FEARX+$8,032.12
- S-PainLast tradedLGD Gaming-$1,513.59
- SgeiyecapixieLast tradedBNK FEARX+$760.15
- Called
- Team Falcons
- Won
- Team Falcons
- Profitable wallets
- 54
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedTeam Falcons+$5,326.21
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedTeam Falcons+$3,721.91
- SminjiLast tradedAurora Gaming-$3,181.84
Kings vs. Sharks
Right- Called
- Sharks
- Won
- Sharks
- Profitable wallets
- 54
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSharks+$43,276.97
- STalvez10Last tradedKings-$29,202.79
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedSharks+$1,798.59
- Called
- Natalia Silva
- Won
- Natalia Silva
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 1%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedWang Cong-$73,436.59
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedWang Cong-$6,600.80
- STalvez10Last tradedNatalia Silva+$4,969.74
- Called
- Team Falcons
- Won
- Team Falcons
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedAurora Gaming-$38,401.64
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedAurora Gaming-$5,176.51
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedTeam Falcons+$3,060.26
- Called
- Natus Vincere
- Won
- Vitality
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedNatus Vincere-$36,289.75
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedNatus Vincere-$13,198.93
- SfkigedgjdgwbgLast tradedVitality+$7,524.92
- Called
- Senators
- Won
- Senators
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 45%
Profitable wallets' positions- STalvez10Last tradedSenators+$37,966.88
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedMaple Leafs-$21,858.66
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSenators+$6,501.54
Jets vs. Bears
Right- Called
- Bears
- Won
- Bears
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedBears+$127,983.84
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedBears+$7,682.52
- SjtwyslljyLast tradedJets-$7,476.44
- Called
- Penguins
- Won
- Penguins
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- STalvez10Last tradedPenguins+$39,212.83
- ScurieLast tradedCanadiens-$468.20
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedCanadiens-$451.24
- Called
- LOUD
- Won
- LOUD
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGooooooollllllllllLast tradedLOUD+$9,925.12
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedGlobal Esports-$2,473.40
- SNooseracLast tradedLOUD+$2,200
- Called
- Legacy
- Won
- Legacy
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedShindeN-$5,605.30
- SminjiLast tradedShindeN-$2,763.99
- SxytestLast tradedLegacy+$2,308.26
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 76%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBreakTheBankLast tradedUnder+$80,292.88
- SprimmLast tradedUnder+$45,163.79
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$9,621.08
- Called
- San Jose State
- Won
- San Jose State
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 66%
Profitable wallets' positions- SprimmLast tradedSan Jose State+$73,182.08
- SRN1Last tradedSan Jose State+$5,794
- SroyalestakeLast tradedSan Jose State+$5,700
- Called
- Team Liquid
- Won
- Team Liquid
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDearest-UrgeLast tradedTeam Liquid+$31,710.39
- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedTeam Liquid+$16,675.71
- SequalsignificanceLast tradedTeam Liquid+$7,666.45
- Called
- HANJIN BRION
- Won
- HANJIN BRION
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 59%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedHANJIN BRION+$24,834.36
- STHEHIGHLIFELast tradedHANJIN BRION+$18,357.66
- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedTeam WE-$11,705.66
- Called
- Hubert Hurkacz
- Won
- Hubert Hurkacz
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 51%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedHubert Hurkacz+$41,174.51
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedKaren Khachanov-$5,264.26
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedHubert Hurkacz+$4,613.39
- Called
- PARIVISION
- Won
- PARIVISION
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedPARIVISION+$4,495.66
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedPARIVISION+$4,029.02
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedSpirit-$3,249.80
- Called
- Team WE
- Won
- Team WE
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedHANJIN BRION-$12,220.47
- SequalsignificanceLast tradedTeam WE+$7,750.56
- SfkigedgjdgwbgLast tradedHANJIN BRION-$4,760.57
Washington vs. USC
Right- Called
- USC
- Won
- USC
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedWashington-$101,155.91
- SethanazLast tradedWashington-$70,771.31
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedWashington-$60,545.84
- Called
- LGD Gaming
- Won
- LGD Gaming
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- STHEHIGHLIFELast tradedLGD Gaming+$29,834.90
- SDearest-UrgeLast tradedLGD Gaming+$7,484.25
- SfkigedgjdgwbgLast tradedLGD Gaming+$5,720
- Called
- MOUZ
- Won
- MOUZ
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 34%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedMOUZ+$74,780.91
- SequalsignificanceLast tradedMOUZ+$6,975.45
- Sesports095Last tradedMOUZ+$5,332.80
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedYes-$60,899.57
- SNooseracLast tradedNo+$15,399.99
- SRegardedMoneyLast tradedNo+$3,867.49
- Called
- Esteban Ribovics
- Won
- Esteban Ribovics
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedKing Green-$5,777.80
- STalvez10Last tradedKing Green-$4,387.44
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedEsteban Ribovics+$2,425.74
Dolphins vs. Vikings
Right- Called
- Vikings
- Won
- Vikings
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 62%
Profitable wallets' positions- SethanazLast tradedVikings+$40,865.09
- Sndb1Last tradedVikings+$36,980.55
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedDolphins-$17,402.18
- Called
- Roberto Soldic
- Won
- Roberto Soldic
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sqmarktea2Last tradedRoberto Soldic+$2,400
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedKhaos Williams-$1,738.66
- S4751346Last tradedRoberto Soldic+$1,436.07
- Called
- T1
- Won
- T1
- Profitable wallets
- 42
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedFUT Esports-$2,661.70
- SNooseracLast tradedT1+$2,450
- SminjiLast tradedT1+$1,155.18
- Called
- Alex de Minaur
- Won
- Alex de Minaur
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAlex de Minaur+$45,245.25
- SRN1Last tradedAlex de Minaur+$12,016.08
- SjtwyslljyLast tradedAndrey Rublev-$3,639.58
- Called
- 9z
- Won
- 9z
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedTYLOO-$4,945.08
- SfkigedgjdgwbgLast traded9z+$2,117.86
- SxytestLast tradedTYLOO-$1,896.55
- Called
- San Diego Padres
- Won
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedSan Diego Padres-$107,447.45
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSan Diego Padres-$7,966.77
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMilwaukee Brewers+$3,497.83
Titans vs. Ravens
Right- Called
- Ravens
- Won
- Ravens
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedRavens+$5,067.49
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedTitans-$4,190.01
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedRavens+$1,557.46
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- Saenews2Last tradedYes+$777.08
- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo-$261.48
- SCarLast tradedYes+$188.93
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
Right- Called
- Patriots
- Won
- Patriots
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 79%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedPatriots+$159,000
- SBreakTheBankLast tradedPatriots+$146,640.77
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedPatriots+$9,210.10
32,562 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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