Resolution reportSaturday, October 3, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
80%
1,258 right305 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 44,163
- No consensus
- 42,600
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 36,338 provider closure; 7,825 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agt197Last tradedNo+$8.90
- AcoinfilippeLast tradedNo+$4.48
- Bzzzgoodwill1Last tradedYes-$1.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$5.91
- ACaring-KingfishLast tradedUp+$5
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedUp+$0.42
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$25.30
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$13.70
- B0x6c8b…645cLast tradedDown+$5.96
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$58.17
- Bopopv2Last tradedYes-$54.68
- BStayFreshCheeseBagsLast tradedNo+$3.45
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bdawangwang001Last tradedDown+$2.96
- Bdion-dublinLast tradedUp-$1.19
- BVortexBetLast tradedDown+$0.96
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$12.13
- ASyrrokLast tradedUnder+$11.12
- AMyBettingFutureLast tradedUnder+$8.99
- Called
- RED Canids Academy
- Won
- RED Canids Academy
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedQUINTESSÊNCIA-$106.14
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedRED Canids Academy+$17.46
- AEl-Toque-De-MidasLast tradedRED Canids Academy+$44.03
- Called
- PARIVISION
- Won
- Legacy
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedPARIVISION-$62.67
- SwapolLast tradedLegacy+$39.68
- AyishiwuchengLast tradedLegacy+$666.63
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedYes-$75.47
- Bneo7777Last tradedNo+$52.57
- Bacc42020Last tradedNo+$11.46
- Called
- Kansas
- Won
- Kansas
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SKch-TempLast tradedKansas+$14,500.03
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMiddle Tennessee-$2,406.42
- SMalfunction.Last tradedKansas+$0.09
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$11,635.37
- SantecLast tradedOver+$11.80
- ALuckyLooLast tradedOver+$659.61
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bmde4life1986Last tradedOver+$9,456.28
- BghorrockLast tradedOver+$133.11
- BOddstormLast tradedUnder-$86.05
Spread: Ohio (-3.5)
Right- Called
- Kent State
- Won
- Kent State
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aic4creamLast tradedKent State+$3,567.15
- AElaran1993Last tradedKent State+$2,567.23
- BPhilHawesLoverLast tradedOhio-$186
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNooseracLast tradedOver+$2,964.06
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$2,564
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$178.37
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$6,251.24
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$4,933.54
- ALuckyLooLast tradedOver+$344.33
- Called
- West Virginia
- Won
- West Virginia
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedWest Virginia+$4,647.88
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedIowa State-$35.62
- SRock.SanLast tradedWest Virginia+$5
- Called
- Iowa
- Won
- Iowa
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedIowa+$3,650.41
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedIowa+$644.98
- BHFT-PROLast tradedOhio State-$52.03
- Called
- Missouri
- Won
- Missouri
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedMissouri+$3,274.22
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedMissouri+$222.45
- B0x2d2c…00b5Last tradedMissouri+$96.79
- Called
- Missouri
- Won
- Missouri
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMissouri+$3,190.70
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedMissouri+$212.04
- BHFT-PROLast tradedFlorida-$35.04
Spread: Alabama (-4.5)
No consensus- Won
- Alabama
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedAlabama+$3,311.53
- SantecLast tradedMississippi State-$3
- BOddstormLast tradedMississippi State-$70.88
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ALuckyLooLast tradedOver+$1,890
- AARocky33Last tradedOver+$206.65
- ACorrupt-HornLast tradedOver+$55.66
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SprimmLast tradedUnder+$2,999.99
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$645.17
- BDCAAALast tradedOver-$460.60
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Will Tokushima Vortis win on 2026-10-03?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
- Called
- UConn
- Won
- UConn
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$564.84
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedYes+$32.64
- Boieshfn345Last tradedNo-$2,191.34
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SspendingmoneyLast tradedYes+$42.45
- Boieshfn345Last tradedNo-$2,658.38
- BSecondhandvinylLast tradedYes+$22.81
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo+$62.01
- SspyGoodLuck77Last tradedNo+$26.66
- Aus391Last tradedNo+$2,382.59
Florida vs. Missouri: O/U 51.5
No consensus- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$2,357.10
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedUnder-$35.21
- BPan9XLast tradedUnder-$28.88
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$1,995.20
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$1.29
- APithucaLast tradedUnder+$9.49
Spread: Notre Dame (-11.5)
No consensus- Won
- North Carolina
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SprimmLast tradedNorth Carolina+$2,156.10
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedNotre Dame-$130.78
- BHFT-PROLast tradedNorth Carolina+$31.76
Auburn vs. Tennessee: O/U 51.5
No consensus- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SprimmLast tradedUnder+$4,889.51
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$2,913.80
- BPan9XLast tradedOver-$60.11
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AbreezybetsLast tradedUnder+$1,832.22
- ABoomLaLaLast tradedUnder+$18
- BcocococococoLast tradedUnder+$86.73
- Called
- Air Force
- Won
- Navy
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedNavy+$3,038.91
- SbetdgeLast tradedAir Force-$1,100
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedAir Force-$54.65
- Called
- Missouri
- Won
- Missouri
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedMissouri+$1,496.40
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedMissouri+$377.05
- BHFT-PROLast tradedFlorida-$38.98
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$1,418.43
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$192.27
- ALuckyLooLast tradedNo+$120.75
- Called
- Iowa
- Won
- Iowa
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedIowa+$990.99
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedIowa+$696.17
- BPan9XLast tradedOhio State-$19.34
- Called
- Chicago White Sox
- Won
- Chicago White Sox
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedChicago White Sox+$1,350.90
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedChicago White Sox+$158.21
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedChicago White Sox+$62.66
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNo-$1,525.48
- SantecLast tradedYes+$28.83
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$1.76
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SColdMathLast tradedYes+$99
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$2.86
- ALexingtonLast tradedYes+$1,233.21
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
- Called
- Cake Team
- Won
- Cake Team
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABookWarriorLast tradedDaxak Team-$284.82
- BRandomVibecoderLast tradedCake Team+$1,412.30
- BMrConsistencyLast tradedCake Team+$154.76
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver+$949.15
- ABoomLaLaLast tradedOver+$394.85
- BPan9XLast tradedUnder-$95.49
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SbetdgeLast tradedOver+$2,577.52
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$1,350.96
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedUnder-$13.03
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$217.39
- SjustdanceLast tradedNo+$15.11
- AComTruiseLast tradedNo+$968.96
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BShocked-YokeLast tradedDown+$1,078.46
- BSwift-CensusLast tradedDown+$93.91
- BpnyyLast tradedDown+$47.88
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SprimmLast tradedUnder+$5,392.66
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$1,087.56
- AKaneAnalyticsLast tradedOver-$3,117.94
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- North Dakota State
- Won
- North Dakota State
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SbetdgeLast tradedNorth Dakota State+$1,131.80
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedWyoming-$16.66
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedNorth Dakota State+$1
42,537 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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