Resolution reportSaturday, October 3, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
81%
1,245 right286 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 44,114
- No consensus
- 42,583
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 36,289 provider closure; 7,825 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Iowa State
- Won
- Iowa State
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNooseracLast tradedWest Virginia-$1,882
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedIowa State+$1,824.86
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedWest Virginia-$46.66
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$55.51
- ACaring-KingfishLast tradedUp+$4.70
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedUp+$3.84
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHourglassLast tradedYes-$70.83
- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$8
- BBetterFishLast tradedNo+$12.80
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$85.06
- SSharky6999Last tradedDown+$5.09
- AAlphaSemanticLast tradedDown+$6.65
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$1.33
- Bneo7777Last tradedNo+$37.50
- BdaegothLast tradedNo+$6.75
- Called
- NC State
- Won
- NC State
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNC State+$1,912.50
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedLouisville-$1,808.46
- SNooseracLast tradedLouisville-$110.18
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- ALuckyLooLast tradedNo-$149.04
- ACar-cLast tradedYes+$76.95
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes+$10.49
- Called
- STATE
- Won
- STATE
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedSTATE+$40.42
- SantecLast tradedElite Klan-$24.57
- AdabossrealmanLast tradedSTATE+$22.13
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$91.56
- AEn111006Last tradedUp+$126.34
- BRichlukcypotatoLast tradedDown-$212.59
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SwapolLast tradedOver+$2.25
- ALuckyLooLast tradedOver+$16.20
- ByuretskyivLast tradedOver+$6.92
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- ATunSahurLast tradedNo+$19.22
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$0.39
- BStayFreshCheeseBagsLast tradedNo+$3.47
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 17%
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$55.91
- AKimchiCapitalLast tradedNo+$28.55
- AAiBirdLast tradedYes-$1.32
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BmydreamsLast tradedDown+$12.77
- BSmooth-DoubleLast tradedDown+$2.49
- BVortexTradingLast tradedDown+$2.39
- Called
- Barcelona
- Won
- Barcelona
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGamblingOdysseyLast tradedBesiktas-$160.16
- SmishipolisLast tradedBarcelona+$97.29
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedBarcelona+$30.83
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BmydreamsLast tradedUp+$16.72
- BboggycryptomanLast tradedUp+$1.47
- BOldstreetLast tradedUp+$1.08
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
- Called
- Northwestern
- Won
- Northwestern
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedPenn State-$345.86
- SprimmLast tradedNorthwestern+$184.16
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedNorthwestern+$125.79
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedYes-$1.66
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$2.28
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$1.50
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedYes+$8.72
- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedYes+$46.48
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo-$0.67
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$56.34
- SSharky6999Last tradedDown+$15.20
- AAlphaSemanticLast tradedDown+$9.66
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 78%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agt197Last tradedNo+$8.90
- AcoinfilippeLast tradedNo+$4.48
- Bzzzgoodwill1Last tradedYes-$1.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$5.91
- ACaring-KingfishLast tradedUp+$5
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedUp+$0.42
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$58.17
- Bopopv2Last tradedYes-$54.68
- BStayFreshCheeseBagsLast tradedNo+$3.45
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bdawangwang001Last tradedDown+$2.96
- Bdion-dublinLast tradedUp-$1.19
- BVortexBetLast tradedDown+$0.96
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$12.13
- ASyrrokLast tradedUnder+$11.12
- AMyBettingFutureLast tradedUnder+$8.99
- Called
- RED Canids Academy
- Won
- RED Canids Academy
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedQUINTESSÊNCIA-$106.14
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedRED Canids Academy+$17.46
- AEl-Toque-De-MidasLast tradedRED Canids Academy+$44.03
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$82.90
- BpowerwinnerLast tradedUp+$52.52
- BpnyyLast tradedUp+$22.76
- Called
- PARIVISION
- Won
- Legacy
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedPARIVISION-$62.67
- SwapolLast tradedLegacy+$39.68
- AyishiwuchengLast tradedLegacy+$666.63
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedYes-$75.47
- Bneo7777Last tradedNo+$52.57
- Bacc42020Last tradedNo+$11.46
- Called
- Kansas
- Won
- Kansas
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SKch-TempLast tradedKansas+$14,500.03
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMiddle Tennessee-$2,406.42
- SMalfunction.Last tradedKansas+$0.09
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$11,635.37
- SantecLast tradedOver+$11.80
- ALuckyLooLast tradedOver+$659.61
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bmde4life1986Last tradedOver+$9,456.28
- BghorrockLast tradedOver+$133.11
- BOddstormLast tradedUnder-$86.05
Spread: Ohio (-3.5)
Right- Called
- Kent State
- Won
- Kent State
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aic4creamLast tradedKent State+$3,567.15
- AElaran1993Last tradedKent State+$2,567.23
- BPhilHawesLoverLast tradedOhio-$186
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNooseracLast tradedOver+$2,964.06
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$2,564
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$178.37
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$6,251.24
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$4,933.54
- ALuckyLooLast tradedOver+$344.33
- Called
- West Virginia
- Won
- West Virginia
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedWest Virginia+$4,647.88
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedIowa State-$35.62
- SRock.SanLast tradedWest Virginia+$5
- Called
- Iowa
- Won
- Iowa
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedIowa+$3,650.41
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedIowa+$644.98
- BHFT-PROLast tradedOhio State-$52.03
- Called
- Missouri
- Won
- Missouri
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedMissouri+$3,274.22
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedMissouri+$222.45
- B0x2d2c…00b5Last tradedMissouri+$96.79
- Called
- Missouri
- Won
- Missouri
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMissouri+$3,190.70
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedMissouri+$212.04
- BHFT-PROLast tradedFlorida-$35.04
Spread: Alabama (-4.5)
No consensus- Won
- Alabama
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedAlabama+$3,311.53
- SantecLast tradedMississippi State-$3
- BOddstormLast tradedMississippi State-$70.88
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ALuckyLooLast tradedOver+$1,890
- AARocky33Last tradedOver+$206.65
- ACorrupt-HornLast tradedOver+$55.66
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SprimmLast tradedUnder+$2,999.99
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$645.17
- BDCAAALast tradedOver-$460.60
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Will Tokushima Vortis win on 2026-10-03?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
- Called
- UConn
- Won
- UConn
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$564.84
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedYes+$32.64
- Boieshfn345Last tradedNo-$2,191.34
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SspendingmoneyLast tradedYes+$42.45
- Boieshfn345Last tradedNo-$2,658.38
- BSecondhandvinylLast tradedYes+$22.81
42,531 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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