Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 91% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 21,228
- No consensus
- 18,783
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.
Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$16.30
- B976FLast tradedUp-$91.57
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$31.30
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$42.59
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$86.85
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$8.97
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$3.85
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$127.67
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$2.92
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedOver-$186.24
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$58.47
- BemacronLast tradedUnder-$3.58
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$58
- B2434235235Last tradedNo-$75.20
- BJunior112Last tradedYes+$2.41
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$33.55
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$29
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$66.21
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$27.62
- ACERTovaLast tradedUp+$9.37
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$89.50
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 30?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$40.17
- Brocky42019Last tradedNo-$91.49
- Bqqqppp-l1Last tradedNo-$73.95
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedNo-$6.19
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes+$79.15
- Bsolwizzo-onXLast tradedNo+$50
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 30?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes-$201.85
- Bhermesss123Last tradedYes+$63.54
- BkodeoedLast tradedYes+$15.62
Will Xiaomi have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$83.38
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$4.75
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$34.31
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 29?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedYes+$90.53
- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$18.57
- Brocky42007Last tradedYes+$49.86
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACamelUpLast tradedNo+$230.58
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedNo-$119.50
- B0xJasonSanLast tradedNo+$9.59
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of September 2026?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$26.17
- ACoinTrickLast tradedNo+$0.17
- BHDGBLast tradedYes+$146.61
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedNo+$25.25
- BPrinasLast tradedNo+$80.29
- BBeginnersLuck2Last tradedNo+$14.72
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.0% in August?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$84.16
- AMysariaLast tradedYes+$7.08
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$41.64
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$9.38
- BExciting-Hat-VegetarianLast tradedNo-$56.67
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$51.47
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.56% in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BcookedquailLast tradedNo+$106.65
- BHDGBLast tradedNo+$9.47
- BIdeal-ArchLast tradedNo+$0.43
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$2.57
- Baswfadq1555Last tradedUp-$102.53
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$7.99
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$43.01
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$68.93
- B0x50f7Last tradedDown+$1.09
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 29?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BExciting-Hat-VegetarianLast tradedYes-$57.82
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$53.59
- B1DVSBSTDLast tradedNo+$0.07
- Called
- Alexander Gammariello
- Won
- Branko Djuric
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0xc07Last tradedAlexander Gammariello-$101.29
- BPan9XLast tradedAlexander Gammariello-$44.03
- BkitopesivanLast tradedBranko Djuric+$34.55
Will Trump say "Television" or "TV" this week?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AQuarrelsome-BranchLast tradedYes+$105.42
- ABipBopLast tradedYes+$3.43
- BoidocropLast tradedYes+$1.02
- Called
- Taiyo Yamanaka
- Won
- Taiyo Yamanaka
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNikolai Barsukov-$102.70
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedTaiyo Yamanaka+$29.74
- A38791873984189Last tradedTaiyo Yamanaka+$182.52
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$20.78
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$87.33
- B976FLast tradedDown+$0.93
Will Meta (META) close above $700 end of September?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedNo-$121.86
- AreferralfarmerLast tradedNo+$12.80
- BTaichiGrandiMasterLast tradedYes+$0.07
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in August?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedUnder+$227.51
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver-$104.76
- BemacronLast tradedUnder-$15.93
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$31.20
- ScurieLast tradedUp+$18.15
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$91.49
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$9.22
- BHDGBLast tradedNo+$118.95
- Bgod83743894Last tradedNo-$5.70
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.27% in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AStarted-with-20-USDLast tradedNo+$74.89
- AcommeowderLast tradedNo+$1.46
- BHDGBLast tradedNo+$27.14
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 26 million views on day 4?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BSpotless-Investigator-OvercoatLast tradedYes-$108.35
- BMrFeastLast tradedNo+$4.75
- BOraculumNobiusLast tradedNo+$0.42
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $166 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes+$82.36
- ACamelUpLast tradedNo+$16.71
- BLiuJeremyLast tradedNo+$3.38
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$117.51
- Afatdog-012Last tradedUp+$12.09
- BhanwujiLast tradedUp+$3.02
- Called
- Eva Marie Desvignes
- Won
- Eva Marie Desvignes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- A38791873984189Last tradedEva Marie Desvignes+$41.12
- BPan9XLast tradedEva Marie Desvignes+$34.24
- BCrovaxLast tradedEva Marie Desvignes+$26.46
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$81.63
- ALuckyLooLast tradedUnder+$13.10
- BNotJumpLast tradedUnder+$6.60
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$79.73
- Afatdog-012Last tradedDown+$33.23
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown-$11.93
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$43.47
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$15.92
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$70.65
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACamelUpLast tradedYes-$52.98
- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedNo-$48.19
- Bhermesss123Last tradedNo+$3
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 11AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$90.96
- BalmachLast tradedDown-$6.53
- BgoodfeedesignLast tradedUp-$0.38
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $144 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedNo+$37.17
- AkneelbeforethekingLast tradedNo+$1.77
- BhnwdgfLast tradedYes-$136.21
- Called
- Ashton Bowers
- Won
- Ashton Bowers
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- A38791873984189Last tradedAshton Bowers+$56.57
- A0xc07Last tradedAshton Bowers+$45.61
- Bb00k13Last tradedMia Yamakita-$5.45
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in September?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedYes-$48.82
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes-$49.53
- BFilthy-ShallotLast tradedNo+$1.92
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$28.31
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$69.01
- B0x50f7Last tradedDown+$2.23
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$96.93
- AComTruiseLast tradedNo-$2.32
- BTttyhLast tradedNo+$0.48
- Called
- Aniketh Venkataraman
- Won
- Niklas Grunewald
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- A38791873984189Last tradedAniketh Venkataraman-$108.04
- A0xc07Last tradedAniketh Venkataraman-$91.76
- BDCAAALast tradedNiklas Grunewald+$104.98
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$16.40
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$49.85
- Bcryingbabydicer87Last tradedUp+$28.35
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $660 in September?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedYes+$2.14
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedNo+$108.43
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$16
18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.