Skip to content
Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$186.24
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$58.47
    • B
      emacronLast traded
      Under-$3.58
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 30?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 30?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Xiaomi have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of September 2026?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Core PCE MoM be 0.0% in August?

    Right

    PCE

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$84.16
    • A
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes+$7.08
    • B
      glm4.1.fundLast traded
      No-$41.64
  • Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$760.37
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$190.47
    • B
      0xjamesLast traded
      Over-$833.45
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.56% in September?

    Right

    Economy

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 29?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Alexander Gammariello
    Won
    Branko Djuric
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Alexander Gammariello-$101.29
    • B
      Pan9XLast traded
      Alexander Gammariello-$44.03
    • B
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Branko Djuric+$34.55
  • Will Trump say "Television" or "TV" this week?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Taiyo Yamanaka
    Won
    Taiyo Yamanaka
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      gagarin59Last traded
      Over+$222.24
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      Over+$9.41
    • B
      wapol-ELast traded
      Under-$122.40
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Meta (META) close above $700 end of September?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in August?

    Right

    PCE

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$83.33
    • A
      merodLast traded
      No-$7.52
    • B
      AJSVLast traded
      Yes-$16.60
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$227.51
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$104.76
    • B
      emacronLast traded
      Under-$15.93
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.27% in September?

    Right

    Economy

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 26 million views on day 4?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $166 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Eva Marie Desvignes
    Won
    Eva Marie Desvignes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      38791873984189Last traded
      Eva Marie Desvignes+$41.12
    • B
      Pan9XLast traded
      Eva Marie Desvignes+$34.24
    • B
      CrovaxLast traded
      Eva Marie Desvignes+$26.46
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$81.63
    • A
      LuckyLooLast traded
      Under+$13.10
    • B
      NotJumpLast traded
      Under+$6.60
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 11AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $144 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Ashton Bowers
    Won
    Ashton Bowers
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      38791873984189Last traded
      Ashton Bowers+$56.57
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Ashton Bowers+$45.61
    • B
      b00k13Last traded
      Mia Yamakita-$5.45
  • Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in September?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 29?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Aniketh Venkataraman
    Won
    Niklas Grunewald
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      38791873984189Last traded
      Aniketh Venkataraman-$108.04
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Aniketh Venkataraman-$91.76
    • B
      DCAAALast traded
      Niklas Grunewald+$104.98
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $660 in September?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.