Resolution reportThursday, October 1, 2026Live settlements
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
81%
205 right47 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
- Markets resolved
- 3,722
- No consensus
- 3,470
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 3,194 provider closure; 528 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 97
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAllByMyseIfLast tradedNo+$1,345.75
- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo+$422.46
- SAnjunLast tradedNo+$188.88
- Called
- Houston Astros
- Won
- Chicago White Sox
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSoarin22Last tradedHouston Astros-$29,836.91
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedHouston Astros-$18,794.96
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedHouston Astros-$9,360.74
- Called
- Dallas Wings
- Won
- Dallas Wings
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedGolden State Valkyries-$26,967.89
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedDallas Wings+$9,579.75
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedGolden State Valkyries-$6,063.87
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 34%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustdanceLast tradedNo+$3,995.82
- STokorLast tradedNo+$1,427.11
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes-$239.78
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 76%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGollumGekkoLast tradedNo+$40.78
- AlarkspurLast tradedNo+$367.97
- AnoslajreLast tradedNo+$124.10
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedYes-$25.38
- SarchaicLast tradedNo+$7.77
- S4751346Last tradedNo+$6.60
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 33
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes-$12,425.53
- Sx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Last tradedNo+$128.16
- STokorLast tradedYes-$114.95
- Called
- New York Yankees
- Won
- New York Yankees
- Profitable wallets
- 33
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSoarin22Last tradedBoston Red Sox-$13,199.98
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedNew York Yankees+$4,096.92
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedBoston Red Sox-$4,071.53
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 32
- Confidence
- 37%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 28
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes-$15,201.39
- SjustdanceLast tradedYes-$7,128.75
- SboyauLast tradedYes-$4,121.24
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 27
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes-$18,529.54
- Sx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Last tradedNo+$831.01
- STokorLast tradedYes-$623.92
- Called
- Atlanta Dream
- Won
- Atlanta Dream
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedWashington Mystics-$2,503.59
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedWashington Mystics-$2,004.35
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedAtlanta Dream+$846.48
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SKrackenSrusterLast tradedNo+$118.78
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$81.28
- SwhigLast tradedNo+$13.28
- Called
- Ugo Humbert
- Won
- Ugo Humbert
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 77%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUgo Humbert+$4,941.09
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUgo Humbert+$1,556.93
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUgo Humbert+$1,258.54
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustdanceLast tradedYes-$7,297.21
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes-$3,526.80
- Sx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Last tradedYes-$1,592.55
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustdanceLast tradedNo+$6,613.59
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes-$5,804.03
- STokorLast tradedYes-$1,334.68
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$7,017.85
- SjustdanceLast tradedNo+$5,036.98
- Sx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Last tradedYes-$644.14
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AamisLast tradedNo+$253.24
- BbaojuhuaLast tradedNo+$1,025.63
- Bgeorgecalinescu8635Last tradedNo+$467.76
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 59%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$5,551.14
- STokorLast tradedNo+$2,504.71
- Sx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Last tradedNo+$1,202.26
- Called
- Luciano Darderi
- Won
- Luciano Darderi
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 59%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedLuciano Darderi+$4,322.98
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedCasper Ruud-$2,164.09
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedLuciano Darderi+$1,841.89
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$3,070.46
- STokorLast tradedYes-$2,839.90
- SjustdanceLast tradedNo+$2,679.96
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes-$8,064.82
- Sx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Last tradedNo+$346.56
- STokorLast tradedYes-$70.38
- Called
- Jaime Faria
- Won
- Jaime Faria
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedJaime Faria+$7,731.60
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedArthur Fery-$3,991.50
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedJaime Faria+$1,833.07
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$1,494.25
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$875.84
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$272.96
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes-$12,743.64
- SjustdanceLast tradedYes-$5,205.55
- SboyauLast tradedYes-$3,695.38
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustdanceLast tradedNo+$6,001.68
- SboyauLast tradedNo+$1,417.87
- Sx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Last tradedNo+$644.31
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 94%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$4,372.72
- Sx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Last tradedNo+$1,170.37
- SSharky6999Last tradedNo+$550.47
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs
No consensus- Won
- Maple Leafs
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedIslanders-$822.18
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedIslanders-$533.09
- ScurieLast tradedMaple Leafs+$158.12
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSharky6999Last tradedNo+$2,334.14
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$1,719.06
- Sx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Last tradedNo+$97.94
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$595.91
- SSharky6999Last tradedNo+$470.09
- Sqmarktea2Last tradedNo+$368.91
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$11.06
- AgydmasgLast tradedYes-$35.95
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$32.12
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes-$3,287.96
- STokorLast tradedYes-$707.02
- Sx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Last tradedYes-$245.95
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SED99999Last tradedNo+$104.40
- AsqaolkytrpoiLast tradedNo+$310.37
- AAiBirdLast tradedNo+$156.54
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 68%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$1,536.56
- SjustdanceLast tradedNo+$1,421.39
- STokorLast tradedYes-$131.14
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedYes+$540
- SNordhavenCapLast tradedYes+$163.54
- SGC-PLast tradedNo-$99.47
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo+$50.36
- SGC-PLast tradedYes-$38.53
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo+$33.69
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$1,961.95
- Sx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Last tradedNo+$385.56
- SSharky6999Last tradedNo+$315.32
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Last tradedNo+$219.96
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$182.02
- SjustdanceLast tradedNo+$52.02
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 62%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$1,380.63
- Sx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Last tradedNo+$105.27
- STokorLast tradedYes-$85.60
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$8,557.95
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedOver+$2,669.51
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder-$1,408.30
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 79%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$945.40
- Sx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Last tradedNo+$692.30
- SjustdanceLast tradedNo+$201
- Called
- MEIA NOITE
- Won
- MEIA NOITE
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 51%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedMEIA NOITE+$326.18
- SantecLast tradedMEIA NOITE+$277.73
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedMEIA NOITE+$266.16
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedYes-$70.72
- SarchaicLast tradedNo+$45.65
- SGollumGekkoLast tradedNo+$25.24
- Called
- Ashlyn Krueger
- Won
- Ashlyn Krueger
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedAshlyn Krueger+$2,523.52
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSofia Kenin-$856.20
- StradecraftLast tradedAshlyn Krueger+$139.40
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 88%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$2,079.01
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver+$1,388.81
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$460.56
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Alex de Minaur
- Won
- Alex de Minaur
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAlex de Minaur+$2,017.35
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMariano Navone-$1,015.19
- SRN1Last tradedAlex de Minaur+$253.73
Penguins vs. Flyers
Wrong- Called
- Flyers
- Won
- Penguins
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNordhavenCapLast tradedFlyers-$656.52
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedFlyers-$488.26
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedPenguins+$69.22
- Called
- Adam Walton
- Won
- Mattia Bellucci
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedAdam Walton-$2,375.78
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAdam Walton-$2,265.82
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedMattia Bellucci+$170.65
3,460 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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