Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 91% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 21,228
- No consensus
- 18,783
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.
Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$8.91
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$51.69
- Bcryingbabydicer87Last tradedDown+$33.65
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$35.92
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$67.04
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$9.69
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$0.56
- A38791873984189Last tradedUp+$100.50
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$6.99
- Called
- Danny Noppert
- Won
- Ryan Joyce
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmishipolisLast tradedDanny Noppert-$93.49
- ApelikLast tradedRyan Joyce+$0.12
- BscrpnLast tradedRyan Joyce+$0.63
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$91.46
- BgoodfeedesignLast tradedDown+$1.02
- BAdolescent-PantologyLast tradedUp+$0.09
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$25.10
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$4.16
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$62.83
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 30?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$32.77
- Bqqqppp-l1Last tradedNo-$66.52
- BOnlyLuckNoBrainLast tradedNo-$56.10
- Won
- Robert Strombachs
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedRobert Strombachs+$39.41
- A38791873984189Last tradedAndrei Kunitsyn-$94.99
- A0xc07Last tradedAndrei Kunitsyn-$33.06
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 30, 2026?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ARobbbLast tradedYes+$22.26
- B0x9366…6350Last tradedYes+$45.03
- BPashaAsOraculLast tradedYes+$21.35
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACERTovaLast tradedDown-$56.86
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$32.09
- B0x50f7Last tradedUp+$0.78
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$15.28
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$77.24
- B976FLast tradedDown+$4.84
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of September 28 2026?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes-$127.40
- ACoinTrickLast tradedYes+$0.06
- B13lur02Last tradedYes+$40.29
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$93.48
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$8.02
- B0x50f7Last tradedDown-$0.92
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Will Mistral have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$66.60
- AMysariaLast tradedYes+$3.33
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$21.23
Solana Up or Down - September 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$20.80
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$18.56
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$82.15
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AohioismLast tradedDown+$26.89
- BLittle-bigLast tradedDown+$30.06
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$25.89
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedOver+$3,566.37
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$3,450.63
- SFlaznorpLast tradedUnder-$198.23
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $182 in September?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes+$48.95
- BcapibLast tradedYes+$31.22
- BMeaty-PseudoscienceLast tradedYes+$1.96
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$81.45
- AProudIsraeliLast tradedDown+$0.18
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$0.44
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$9.48
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedNo-$73.08
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedNo+$0.80
Will Luma AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$18.01
- AKiernanMeisterLast tradedYes-$57.26
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$5.83
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$14.74
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$39.47
- Balex20011Last tradedNo-$26.89
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$14.72
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$39.46
- Balex20011Last tradedNo-$26.89
Will Ideogram have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$18.01
- AKiernanMeisterLast tradedYes-$57.26
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$5.73
Will Reve have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$17.98
- AKiernanMeisterLast tradedYes-$57.26
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$5.77
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedDown-$54.09
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$1.46
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$25.36
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$17.78
- AKiernanMeisterLast tradedYes-$57.26
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$5.86
Will Black Forest Labs have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$17.85
- AKiernanMeisterLast tradedYes-$57.26
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$5.72
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$88.95
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$3.28
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$11.75
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.37% in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AStarted-with-20-USDLast tradedNo+$50.78
- AcommeowderLast tradedNo+$15.91
- BHDGBLast tradedNo+$13.79
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedUnder-$82.72
- BwhynotchocolateLast tradedOver+$1.34
- B0x0770Last tradedOver+$1.12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$14.27
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$39.26
- Balex20011Last tradedNo-$26.63
- Called
- Amr Elsayed
- Won
- Amr Elsayed
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- A38791873984189Last tradedAmr Elsayed-$48.16
- A0xc07Last tradedAmr Elsayed+$16.68
- BPan9XLast tradedLorenzo Lorusso-$48.49
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$7.15
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$86.69
- B0x50f7Last tradedUp+$0.84
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$17.24
- ACERTovaLast tradedUp+$17.27
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$44.14
- Called
- Ana Sofia Sanchez
- Won
- Ana Sofia Sanchez
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Byorius27Last tradedAna Sofia Sanchez+$45.90
- BkutsumiakiaLast tradedAna Sofia Sanchez+$22.59
- BDisguised-Pickax-FetusLast tradedAna Sofia Sanchez+$9.83
- Called
- Guyun Yuchi
- Won
- Kanna Soeda
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- A38791873984189Last tradedGuyun Yuchi-$57.92
- A0xc07Last tradedKanna Soeda+$4.50
- BPan9XLast tradedGuyun Yuchi-$24.61
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedUnder+$66.52
- BCarefree-SignificanceLast tradedUnder+$7.61
- BsoylentgoyLast tradedUnder+$2.94
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $720 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACamelUpLast tradedNo+$64.62
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedNo+$4.81
- BLiuJeremyLast tradedNo+$6.76
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$1,065.26
- ABoomLaLaLast tradedUnder+$90.40
- BBobMcAdooLast tradedOver-$1,080
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$11.03
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$95.13
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$30.50
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedOver-$3.18
- BThankful-Rostrum-GigLast tradedOver-$162.60
- BemacronLast tradedUnder+$91
Will Microsoft be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes+$83.94
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$3.31
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$5.96
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$19.59
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$0.31
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$54.77
- Called
- Tanapatt Nirundorn
- Won
- Carles Hernandez
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$34.88
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$2.69
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$41.12
18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.