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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      title1Last traded
      No+$93.37
    • B
      2B9SLast traded
      No+$5.72
    • B
      AJSVLast traded
      Yes-$5.37
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Sports

    Called
    Danny Noppert
    Won
    Ryan Joyce
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Danny Noppert-$93.49
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      Ryan Joyce+$0.12
    • B
      scrpnLast traded
      Ryan Joyce+$0.63
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$44.15
    • S
      ColdMathLast traded
      Under+$42
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$4.08
  • Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 30?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Won
    Robert Strombachs
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Russia target Kyiv on September 30, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Dogecoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$23.31
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$5.84
    • A
      LuckyLooLast traded
      Under+$58.45
  • Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of September 28 2026?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$85.55
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Under+$0.10
    • B
      Xander-XXLast traded
      Under+$0.54
  • Will Mistral have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $182 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on September 30?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Luma AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Ideogram have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Reve have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Dogecoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Black Forest Labs have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.37% in September?

    Right

    Economy

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Amr Elsayed
    Won
    Amr Elsayed
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      38791873984189Last traded
      Amr Elsayed-$48.16
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Amr Elsayed+$16.68
    • B
      Pan9XLast traded
      Lorenzo Lorusso-$48.49
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Ana Sofia Sanchez
    Won
    Ana Sofia Sanchez
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Guyun Yuchi
    Won
    Kanna Soeda
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      38791873984189Last traded
      Guyun Yuchi-$57.92
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Kanna Soeda+$4.50
    • B
      Pan9XLast traded
      Guyun Yuchi-$24.61
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $720 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Hockey

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Microsoft be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Tanapatt Nirundorn
    Won
    Carles Hernandez
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Tanapatt Nirundorn-$18.03
    • B
      yorius27Last traded
      Carles Hernandez+$84.06
    • B
      Pan9XLast traded
      Tanapatt Nirundorn+$7.44
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.