Skip to content
Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Tennis

    Called
    Jack Loge
    Won
    Jack Loge
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in September?

    Right

    Economy

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      uncoLast traded
      No+$37.88
    • B
      0xbada…d874Last traded
      No+$23.48
    • B
      HDGBLast traded
      No+$9.56
  • Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $168 in September?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • XRP Up or Down - September 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Up-$86.87
    • S
      Agile-SpacingLast traded
      Down+$11.92
    • A
      CERTovaLast traded
      Down+$4.90
  • Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 29?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      daegothLast traded
      No-$165.47
    • B
      ducky77Last traded
      Yes+$100.57
    • B
      glm4.1.fundLast traded
      No-$4.92
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$102.25
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$97.24
    • B
      emacronLast traded
      Under+$130.75
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Vincent Dullinger
    Won
    Arjun Rathi
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Vincent Dullinger-$99.09
    • B
      yorius27Last traded
      Arjun Rathi+$64.18
    • B
      Pan9XLast traded
      Vincent Dullinger-$32.38
  • Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Seo Yun Choi
    Won
    Seo Yun Choi
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Microsoft AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Jan-Lennard Struff
    Won
    Jan-Lennard Struff
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Jan-Lennard Struff+$36
    • B
      DCAAALast traded
      Thiago Agustin Tirante-$116.69
    • B
      w...Last traded
      Jan-Lennard Struff+$20.82
  • Solana Up or Down - September 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $200 in September?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin above 83,800 on September 30, 5PM ET?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    OL Lyonnes
    Won
    Chelsea FC
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      OL Lyonnes-$43.04
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      OL Lyonnes-$37.53
    • S
      ColdMathLast traded
      Chelsea FC+$23.92
  • Solana Up or Down on September 30?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or higher on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Meituan be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Conagra (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?

    Right

    Earnings

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Baseball

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $200 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.