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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Nvidia be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 30?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 end of September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Independiente Medellín (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Millonarios FC
    Won
    Millonarios FC
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Millonarios FC+$49.75
    • A
      WagerWizardLast traded
      Millonarios FC+$1.52
    • B
      STAYCALMLast traded
      Millonarios FC+$0.05

  • M15 Baku: Oleg Kolninov vs Louis Larue

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Louis Larue
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 9AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Lithuania 2 - 0 Andorra?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$25.98
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$22.38
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$2.49

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 30?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • XRP Up or Down - September 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Nvidia have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$41.07
    • B
      smallreceiptLast traded
      No-$4.92
    • B
      CorlysLast traded
      No-$1.98

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • XRP Up or Down - September 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Michal Krajci vs Pietro Orlando Fellin

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Michal Krajci
    Won
    Michal Krajci
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Michal Krajci+$73.58
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Pietro Orlando Fellin-$79.94
    • B
      Pan9XLast traded
      Pietro Orlando Fellin-$40.38

  • Over $20M committed to the Jumper public sale?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • XRP Up or Down - September 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W15 Monastir: Midori Castillo Meza vs Zi Ying Ruan

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Zi Ying Ruan
    Won
    Zi Ying Ruan
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Zi Ying Ruan+$45.63
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Midori Castillo Meza-$26.56
    • B
      Pan9XLast traded
      Midori Castillo Meza-$65.40

  • M15 Ann Arbor, MI: Henry Lieberman vs Nikola Djosic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Nikola Djosic
    Won
    Nikola Djosic
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Nikola Djosic+$0.22
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Henry Lieberman-$4.79
    • B
      BlasdeLezo1492Last traded
      Nikola Djosic+$50.54

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • XRP Up or Down - September 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • XRP Up or Down - September 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $185 Week of September 28 2026?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Amazon be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • M15 Sibenik: Ryan Zuberbuehler vs Alessandro Battiston

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alessandro Battiston
    Won
    Alessandro Battiston
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • XRP Up or Down - September 30, 12AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W100 Templeton, CA: Caroline Dolehide vs Jo-Yee Chan

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Caroline Dolehide
    Won
    Caroline Dolehide
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Caroline Dolehide+$46.05
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Jo-Yee Chan-$34.29
    • B
      CrovaxLast traded
      Caroline Dolehide+$31.20

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dogecoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Chile?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$20.66
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$7.66
    • A
      ng6000Last traded
      No+$12.27

  • Eastleigh FC vs. Southend United FC: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$22.02
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$15.94
    • B
      NotJumpLast traded
      Under+$2.61

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Hurricane Polo peak at Category 1 or weaker?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$21.18
    • A
      MysariaLast traded
      No-$8.76
    • B
      glm4.1.fundLast traded
      Yes-$8.75

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Hurricane Polo peak at Category 2?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$20.91
    • A
      MysariaLast traded
      No-$9.17
    • B
      glm4.1.fundLast traded
      No-$8.13

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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