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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Deportivo Pereira vs. Independiente Santa Fe: Deportivo Pereira O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$235.42
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$8.91
    • B
      emacronLast traded
      Under+$264.43

  • Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Peru?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in September?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W15 Monastir: Ekaterina Dotsenko vs Irem Kurt

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Ekaterina Dotsenko
    Won
    Ekaterina Dotsenko
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • XRP Up or Down - September 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W100 Templeton, CA: Lea Ma vs Victoria Hu

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lea Ma
    Won
    Lea Ma
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Up+$9.05
    • A
      CERTovaLast traded
      Up+$26.42
    • B
      0x50f7Last traded
      Up+$0.10

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 30?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Union Magdalena vs. Real Cartagena FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ColdMathLast traded
      Under+$59.75
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$26.52
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$1.92

  • Will Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in August?

    Right

    PCE

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Bayern München: Draw at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in September?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Deportivo Pereira vs. Independiente Santa Fe: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down-$21.58
    • A
      fatdog-012Last traded
      Up+$54.21
    • B
      976FLast traded
      Up+$0.93

  • Union Magdalena vs. Real Cartagena FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Tropical Storm Fay strengthens to a hurricane?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      MysariaLast traded
      No-$9.94
    • A
      aHjCzLast traded
      Yes-$9.36
    • B
      glm4.1.fundLast traded
      No-$13.59

  • Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • XRP Up or Down - September 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $80 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Belize vs. St. Vincent and the Grenadines: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over+$33.49
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$5.48
    • B
      emacronLast traded
      Under-$70.87

  • Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$21.12
    • A
      korda77Last traded
      No-$6.19
    • B
      glm4.1.fundLast traded
      Yes-$4.23

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FactSet (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?

    Right

    Earnings

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      makeit99Last traded
      Yes+$4.54
    • B
      2B9SLast traded
      Yes+$26.64
    • B
      vimtodcsLast traded
      Yes+$0.08

  • Will DeepSeek be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      aHjCzLast traded
      Yes-$10.08
    • A
      MysariaLast traded
      No-$7.02
    • B
      glm4.1.fundLast traded
      No-$14.13

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • M15 Ann Arbor, MI: Fredrik Krogh Solheim vs Olaf Pieczkowski

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Olaf Pieczkowski
    Won
    Olaf Pieczkowski
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Olaf Pieczkowski+$0.30
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Olaf Pieczkowski+$7.99
    • B
      BlasdeLezo1492Last traded
      Olaf Pieczkowski+$21.40

  • Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 in September?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Chile (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    United States
    Won
    United States
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      United States+$5.45
    • A
      CannaeLast traded
      United States+$22.81
    • B
      lbtradingLast traded
      United States+$1.41

  • M25 Kigali: Corentin Denolly vs Etienne Niyigena

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Corentin Denolly
    Won
    Corentin Denolly
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,284,000 on September 30?

    Wrong

    Recurring

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in August?

    Right

    PCE

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$51.66
    • S
      FrozenParasiteLast traded
      No+$43.32
    • B
      AJSVLast traded
      Yes-$19.86

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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