Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 91% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 21,228
- No consensus
- 18,783
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.
Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Will Hurricane Polo peak at Category 3?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$24.74
- ABeefSlayerLast tradedNo+$12.61
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$15.91
- Called
- Liam Branger
- Won
- Liam Branger
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRock.SanLast tradedLiam Branger+$0.27
- A0xc07Last tradedRocco Piatti-$36.22
- BBlasdeLezo1492Last tradedLiam Branger+$63.97
Solana Up or Down - September 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$0.69
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$23.85
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$3.36
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp-$54.77
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$4.88
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$77.31
Will Xiaomi be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$14.11
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$12.42
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$0.85
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SyoungwhaleLast tradedYes-$143.19
- SFlaznorpLast tradedNo+$97.08
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$73.42
XRP Up or Down - September 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp+$7.02
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$34.07
- B0x50f7Last tradedUp+$0.05
Will Baidu be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes+$51.50
- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$9.54
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$15.29
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedDown+$21.33
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$11.70
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$36.02
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$10.91
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$5.35
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$10.06
BNB Up or Down - September 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$7.16
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$18.92
- B0x50f7Last tradedUp+$0.08
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes-$51.46
- ACamelUpLast tradedNo+$25.40
- ACoinTrickLast tradedNo+$0.08
XRP Up or Down - September 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp+$91.87
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$18.68
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$47.40
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $192 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo+$4
- B0xbada…d874Last tradedYes-$38.04
- B0xJasonSanLast tradedNo+$8.38
Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$3.44
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$2.55
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$19.59
Will DeepSeek be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$12.56
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$12.06
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$0.72
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$9
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$7.38
- Ang6000Last tradedNo+$8.90
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$4.53
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$21.86
- BdaegothLast tradedNo+$1.20
XRP Up or Down - September 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$2.97
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$25.30
- B976FLast tradedDown+$3.15
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACERTovaLast tradedDown+$16.04
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$8.90
- B0x50f7Last tradedDown+$0.11
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$0.16
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$19.80
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$5.01
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedNo+$12.59
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes+$9.71
- Bhermesss123Last tradedNo+$1.68
Will Tencent be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$4.19
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$12.68
- Bgod83743894Last tradedNo-$7.07
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$1.71
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$14.13
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$11.39
Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$9.55
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$14.49
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$7.79
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$21.65
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$6.19
Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 3 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AKiernanMeisterLast tradedNo+$157.52
- BBlueBase-568Last tradedYes-$97.32
- BAJSVLast tradedYes-$37
Will Microsoft be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$4.03
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$11.92
- Bgod83743894Last tradedNo-$6.97
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNordhavenCapLast tradedOver+$141.90
- SFlaznorpLast tradedOver+$14.72
- ABoomLaLaLast tradedUnder-$134.47
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedNo+$2.98
- BSuAltezaLast tradedNo+$10
- BLiuJeremyLast tradedNo+$9.11
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$12.03
- SFlaznorpLast tradedNo+$8.35
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$1.43
- Called
- Phantom Academy
- Won
- Phantom Academy
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedPhantom Academy-$37.80
- BZeljkoLast tradedPhantom Academy+$18
- BqueuepositionLast tradedLeo Team-$1.95
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$10.10
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$65.59
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$54
XRP Up or Down - September 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedDown-$89.27
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$13.17
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$97.78
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$3.90
- ABiggggggggLast tradedNo+$1.84
- BemacronLast tradedNo-$27.39
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$21.33
- B0x50f7Last tradedUp+$1.51
- BTheMaskLosesLast tradedUp-$1.21
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$21.77
- BttrrysLast tradedDown-$1.69
- B0x50f7Last tradedDown+$1.51
- Called
- Karpat Oulu
- Won
- Karpat Oulu
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedSaiPa Lappeenranta-$608.11
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedKarpat Oulu+$528.88
- SantecLast tradedKarpat Oulu+$100.72
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$8.69
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$9.58
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$2.87
Will Nvidia be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes+$42.42
- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$9.13
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$12.39
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$41.72
- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$23.95
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$2.90
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$6.86
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$10.08
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo+$3.51
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp+$23.26
- ACERTovaLast tradedUp+$2.11
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$45.79
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$18.31
- BDadappleLast tradedNo+$7.34
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$5.23
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$3.83
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$11.68
- BBakuskyvsLast tradedNo+$4.73
Will Meituan be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$9.23
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$4.66
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$6.16
Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$9.27
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$4.61
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedYes-$6.06
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACaring-KingfishLast tradedDown+$2.19
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$16.74
- BtkrktkdsflkjsdfjLast tradedDown+$1
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$2.44
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$14.27
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$3.13
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$5.49
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$27.48
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown-$2.25
18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.