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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Hurricane Polo peak at Category 3?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Liam Branger
    Won
    Liam Branger
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Liam Branger+$0.27
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Rocco Piatti-$36.22
    • B
      BlasdeLezo1492Last traded
      Liam Branger+$63.97
  • Solana Up or Down - September 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Xiaomi be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • XRP Up or Down - September 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Baidu be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes+$51.50
    • A
      aHjCzLast traded
      Yes-$9.54
    • B
      glm4.1.fundLast traded
      Yes-$15.29
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • BNB Up or Down - September 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • XRP Up or Down - September 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $192 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will DeepSeek be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • XRP Up or Down - September 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Tencent be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 3 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?

    No consensus

    Culture

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Microsoft be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Hockey

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    Phantom Academy
    Won
    Phantom Academy
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Phantom Academy-$37.80
    • B
      ZeljkoLast traded
      Phantom Academy+$18
    • B
      queuepositionLast traded
      Leo Team-$1.95
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • XRP Up or Down - September 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Dogecoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Hockey

    Called
    Karpat Oulu
    Won
    Karpat Oulu
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      SaiPa Lappeenranta-$608.11
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Karpat Oulu+$528.88
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Karpat Oulu+$100.72
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Nvidia be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes+$42.42
    • A
      aHjCzLast traded
      Yes-$9.13
    • B
      glm4.1.fundLast traded
      No-$12.39
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Meituan be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.