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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Tennis

    Called
    Elena Jamshidi
    Won
    Elena Jamshidi
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$2,763.61
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$2,316.61
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No-$428.18
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$20.92
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$1.90
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Under+$0.22
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on September 30?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on September 29?

    Wrong

    Finance

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Agile-SpacingLast traded
      Up-$23.14
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Up-$1.32
    • B
      976FLast traded
      Down+$6.71
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$38.67
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes-$33.99
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$12.90
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on September 30?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Dogecoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of September 28 2026?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • XRP Up or Down - September 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Amazon be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      aHjCzLast traded
      Yes-$10.03
    • A
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes+$9.38
    • B
      glm4.1.fundLast traded
      Yes-$15.86
  • Will Xiaomi be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 36°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will MiniMax be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      aHjCzLast traded
      Yes-$9.87
    • A
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes+$9.38
    • B
      glm4.1.fundLast traded
      Yes-$15.59
  • Will Tencent be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will StepFun be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Microsoft be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    Falcons Esport
    Won
    Falcons Esport
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      dabossrealmanLast traded
      Falcons Esport+$10.63
    • B
      bingbardLast traded
      Falcons Esport+$3.84
    • B
      scrpnLast traded
      Falcons Esport+$0.90
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Baidu be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • XRP Up or Down - September 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will DeepSeek be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.