Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 91% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 21,228
- No consensus
- 18,783
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.
Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Elena Jamshidi
- Won
- Elena Jamshidi
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRock.SanLast tradedElena Jamshidi+$0.30
- A38791873984189Last tradedFrancesca Dell'Edera-$56.70
- BBlasdeLezo1492Last tradedElena Jamshidi+$36.74
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo+$4.31
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$1.81
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$25.63
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$7.75
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$4.66
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$6.92
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$1.68
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$16.59
- B976FLast tradedUp+$0.93
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$2,763.61
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$2,316.61
- SFlaznorpLast tradedNo-$428.18
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedOver-$20.92
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$1.90
- Szxc368Last tradedUnder+$0.22
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$4.48
- Ang6000Last tradedNo+$9.72
- BCarefree-SignificanceLast tradedNo+$4.52
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$296.71
- SFlaznorpLast tradedNo-$294.94
- BseeyouanymoreLast tradedYes+$16.82
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on September 30?
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedDown+$2,198.72
- ACamelUpLast tradedUp-$2,220
- ACoinTrickLast tradedDown+$2.82
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$14.82
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$2.07
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$1.39
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on September 29?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes-$84.26
- ApennedreadfulLast tradedYes+$42
- Bhermesss123Last tradedNo+$24.11
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedNo-$52.24
- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedNo+$51.94
- BhnwdgfLast tradedNo+$18.38
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$5.19
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$2.02
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$10.80
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedOver+$13.57
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$3.77
- ALuckyLooLast tradedOver+$8
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$23.14
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$1.32
- B976FLast tradedDown+$6.71
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedDown+$12.07
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$0.34
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$5.88
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$10.65
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$20.98
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$7.17
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on September 30?
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedDown-$146.14
- ACamelUpLast tradedUp+$138.16
- BPrimePenguinLast tradedUp+$25.41
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$18.03
- BttrrysLast tradedUp+$31.50
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$30.72
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$15.18
- A38791873984189Last tradedUp+$65.65
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$33.36
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustdanceLast tradedUp-$148.37
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$164.87
- BShouUnLast tradedDown+$0.58
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of September 28 2026?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BcapibLast tradedYes+$71.02
- B13lur02Last tradedNo-$56.13
- BMeaty-PseudoscienceLast tradedYes+$1.93
XRP Up or Down - September 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedDown+$49.07
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$6.45
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$59.27
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$3.79
- BAlexD87Last tradedNo+$8.93
- BJovial-HepatitisLast tradedNo+$3.89
Will Amazon be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$10.03
- AMysariaLast tradedYes+$9.38
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$15.86
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$1.34
- B11B7c7e5D961Last tradedYes+$20.48
- Bgod83743894Last tradedNo-$2.65
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 36°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$20.05
- BdaegothLast tradedNo+$2.48
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$1.28
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$5.30
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$11.43
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$0.46
Will MiniMax be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$9.87
- AMysariaLast tradedYes+$9.38
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$15.59
Will Tencent be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$2.49
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$10.14
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$3.15
Will Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$2.87
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$9.93
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$2.92
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$2.68
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$18.94
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown-$5.99
Will StepFun be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$2.05
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$10.26
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$3.32
Will Microsoft be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$2.41
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$10.07
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$3.11
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$8.95
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$3.75
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$2.80
Rainbow Six Siege: Twisted Minds vs Falcons Esport (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage
Right- Called
- Falcons Esport
- Won
- Falcons Esport
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdabossrealmanLast tradedFalcons Esport+$10.63
- BbingbardLast tradedFalcons Esport+$3.84
- BscrpnLast tradedFalcons Esport+$0.90
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$14.75
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$12.72
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$17.39
Will Baidu be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$9.11
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$3.96
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$2.24
Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACaring-KingfishLast tradedDown+$10.92
- BtkrktkdsflkjsdfjLast tradedDown+$26.19
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$21.85
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$23.92
- AElated-LentilLast tradedUp+$0.95
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$7.76
XRP Up or Down - September 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACaring-KingfishLast tradedUp+$0.87
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$18.20
- B976FLast tradedUp+$2.28
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$1.52
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$9.78
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$3.43
Will DeepSeek be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$0.29
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$8.43
- Bgod83743894Last tradedNo-$6.54
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ATunSahurLast tradedNo+$21.45
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$7.27
- BdaegothLast tradedNo+$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BBakuskyvsLast tradedNo+$9.74
- BOraculumNobiusLast tradedNo+$4.50
- BiliabouchouevLast tradedNo+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$2.22
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$11
- BHappening9014Last tradedNo+$5.65
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$8.25
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$8.83
- B976FLast tradedDown+$2.80
Solana Up or Down - September 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$8.58
- A38791873984189Last tradedUp+$1.54
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$7.14
18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.