Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 91% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 21,228
- No consensus
- 18,783
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.
Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Will Thinky be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$12.09
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$2.95
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$14.67
- B1DVSBSTDLast tradedNo+$0.38
- BdaegothLast tradedNo+$0.32
XRP Up or Down - September 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedDown-$63.80
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$11.85
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$65.90
Will Mistral be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$0.76
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$10.10
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$3.01
Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$5.23
- ACoinTrickLast tradedNo+$0.12
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$8.56
XRP Up or Down - September 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$21.37
- ACaring-KingfishLast tradedUp+$3.13
- BtkrktkdsflkjsdfjLast tradedUp+$4.68
Will Meta have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$4.19
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$0.61
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$8.17
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Ang6000Last tradedNo+$1.06
- ALuckyLooLast tradedNo+$0.41
- BCarefree-SignificanceLast tradedNo+$11.32
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$14.57
- BdaegothLast tradedNo+$1.52
- B1DVSBSTDLast tradedNo+$0.27
Will Xiaomi be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$7.24
- Akorda77Last tradedNo-$3.31
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$2.21
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AflippingsharksLast tradedUp-$4.88
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$12.33
- BhanwujiLast tradedDown+$4.58
Will DeepSeek be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$6.49
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$2.65
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$3.15
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$4.17
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$1.87
- ALuckyLooLast tradedNo+$6.18
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmishipolisLast tradedOver-$31.16
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$25.25
- BkitopesivanLast tradedOver-$6.29
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$1.03
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$11.78
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$1.24
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$4.94
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$6.96
- B0x50f7Last tradedDown+$0.09
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$18.61
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$10.49
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$3.46
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$0.37
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$4.80
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$15.70
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$17.37
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$8.15
- B0x50f7Last tradedDown+$2.01
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $350 end of September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes-$31.62
- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedNo+$19.63
- BTaichiGrandiMasterLast tradedNo+$0.96
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AkneelbeforethekingLast tradedNo+$0.97
- BFilthy-ShallotLast tradedNo+$5.87
- BMeaty-PseudoscienceLast tradedNo+$4.14
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedYes+$35.59
- APoligarchLast tradedYes+$27.60
- Bqqqppp-l1Last tradedNo-$73.96
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$3.74
- ACERTovaLast tradedDown+$1.02
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$8
Will Baidu be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes+$16.54
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$2.30
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$3.69
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$7.04
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$9.01
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$12.49
- Called
- Zangar Nurlanuly
- Won
- Zangar Nurlanuly
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0xc07Last tradedZangar Nurlanuly+$20.68
- A38791873984189Last tradedAaron Gabet-$20.55
- BPan9XLast tradedZangar Nurlanuly+$10.34
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$18.92
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$2.46
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$10.96
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$30.18
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$13.07
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$6.86
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedUnder-$189.42
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedOver+$40.77
- BemacronLast tradedOver+$138.50
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$17.38
- ACERTovaLast tradedUp+$4.78
- B0x50f7Last tradedUp+$2.53
Will Tencent be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$8.29
- AmolodoyyLast tradedNo+$3.68
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$5.45
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Ang6000Last tradedNo+$4.47
- ALuckyLooLast tradedNo+$1.42
- BCarefree-SignificanceLast tradedNo+$4.02
Will SpaceXAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$3.76
- Akorda77Last tradedNo-$3.28
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$2.87
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$6.97
- Balex20011Last tradedNo-$6.40
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$3.47
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$4.47
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$9.29
- BHappening9014Last tradedNo+$5.06
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$29.01
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$8.61
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$10.61
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AflippingsharksLast tradedUp-$7.38
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$12.97
- B976FLast tradedDown+$3.80
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$11.61
- BAdolescent-PantologyLast tradedUp+$2.81
- BgoodfeedesignLast tradedDown-$0.45
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- STokorLast tradedYes-$1,567.80
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$821.74
- BgetbippedLast tradedNo+$736.99
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 30?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes+$1.34
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedYes+$7.02
- AcoinfilippeLast tradedYes+$0.69
Will Poolside be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$5.99
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$0.72
- Bgod83743894Last tradedNo-$2.31
Will Moonshot be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$5.42
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$1.57
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$1.71
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$2.40
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedNo+$5.41
- AcoinfilippeLast tradedNo+$0.85
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $145 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes-$309.49
- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedNo+$300
- ACoinTrickLast tradedNo+$0.91
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$10
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$1.47
- BCorkisGeldbeutelLast tradedNo+$0.09
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$3.70
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$1.97
- Bgod83743894Last tradedNo-$2.63
Will Meta be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$3.96
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$2.25
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$1.81
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACERTovaLast tradedUp+$1.77
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$9.91
- B0x50f7Last tradedUp+$0.11
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$540.74
- SFlaznorpLast tradedNo+$19.65
- BemacronLast tradedNo+$528.98
18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.