Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 91% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 21,228
- No consensus
- 18,783
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.
Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Will StepFun be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$7.24
- Akorda77Last tradedNo-$3.36
- B11B7c7e5D961Last tradedNo+$2.71
Will Meituan be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$7.24
- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$3.54
- B11B7c7e5D961Last tradedNo+$2.94
Will ByteDance be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$2.68
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$2.90
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$2.17
- Called
- Chinese Taipei
- Won
- Chinese Taipei
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMalfunction.Last tradedChinese Taipei+$1.26
- A38791873984189Last tradedIndia-$4.63
- BBaseballprooLast tradedChinese Taipei+$11
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$77.86
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$41.33
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$28.99
Will Tencent be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$7.31
- Akorda77Last tradedNo-$3.45
- B11B7c7e5D961Last tradedNo+$3.48
Will MiniMax be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$3.43
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$2.95
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$0.74
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$3.47
- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$2.51
- AaHjCzLast tradedNo-$1.09
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$1.20
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$5.94
- Brocky42007Last tradedYes+$2.33
XRP Up or Down - September 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACaring-KingfishLast tradedDown+$0.64
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$8.65
- BtkrktkdsflkjsdfjLast tradedDown+$1
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$63.04
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$28.61
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$27.49
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$7.27
- Bnewbie147Last tradedNo+$0.39
- BiliabouchouevLast tradedNo+$0.10
Will ByteDance be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$3.98
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$2.27
- Bgod83743894Last tradedNo-$0.31
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$1.21
- BKrejza68Last tradedNo+$4
- BTttyhLast tradedNo+$1.34
Will Meta (META) close above $730 on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedNo+$1,073.68
- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedNo-$1,081.07
- ACoinTrickLast tradedNo+$1
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$7.74
- B1DVSBSTDLast tradedNo+$0.71
- BHalfa-BetaLast tradedNo+$0.67
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$5.14
- AflippingsharksLast tradedDown-$3.39
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$2.37
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $196 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo+$6.25
- BSuperTestsLast tradedYes-$46.14
- Bhermesss123Last tradedNo+$33.72
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedOver-$18.96
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$15.50
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$9.46
Will SpaceXAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$1.76
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$3.60
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$0.53
XRP Up or Down - September 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp+$22.29
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$17.43
- B0x50f7Last tradedUp+$0.99
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$2.95
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$0.88
- B11B7c7e5D961Last tradedNo+$7.40
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$18.20
- BOnlyLuckNoBrainLast tradedNo+$18.04
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$5.45
Will Z.ai be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACoinTrickLast tradedNo+$0.40
- BAJSVLast tradedYes+$3.68
- BX-Rabbit.SezuLast tradedNo+$1.21
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedUnder-$263.48
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$69.19
- B0xjamesLast tradedOver+$337.90
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$4.79
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$2.34
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$1.96
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$187.07
- SmishipolisLast tradedUnder-$90
- B0xf8fb…c3caLast tradedUnder-$92.34
Will ByteDance be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes+$30.39
- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$10.10
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$15.61
- Won
- Ashleigh Simes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedAshleigh Simes+$3.78
- A38791873984189Last tradedBelle Thompson+$31.97
- A0xc07Last tradedBelle Thompson-$31.36
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$5.05
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo-$405.28
- B0xcba9…f812Last tradedYes+$404.58
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$8.16
- B0x8A160Last tradedNo+$3.54
- BshaoangeLast tradedNo+$0.38
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$1.84
- Afatdog-012Last tradedDown-$11.36
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$5.46
Solana Up or Down - September 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$2.52
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$3.55
- B976FLast tradedDown+$2.99
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver-$54.38
- SFlaznorpLast tradedUnder+$50.04
- BXander-XXLast tradedUnder+$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedYes+$77.38
- Bqqqppp-l1Last tradedNo-$73.96
- B1DVSBSTDLast tradedYes+$0.59
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$9.49
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown-$34.49
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$21.21
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$66.58
- Bmacs.Macsnyi90Last tradedYes+$35.44
- BseeyouanymoreLast tradedYes+$27.36
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$6.16
- AWeatherstappenLast tradedNo+$2.30
- BCorkisGeldbeutelLast tradedNo+$0.19
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 28 2026?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes-$57.29
- B13lur02Last tradedYes+$48
- BMeaty-PseudoscienceLast tradedYes+$5.73
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SyoungwhaleLast tradedYes-$626.44
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$399.97
- SFlaznorpLast tradedNo+$229.86
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$7.60
- Bneo7777Last tradedNo+$3
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$1.23
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$3.53
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$1.26
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$1.02
Will MiniMax be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$7.18
- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$3.32
- B11B7c7e5D961Last tradedNo+$7.24
Will Mistral be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes+$9.38
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$15.36
- B11B7c7e5D961Last tradedNo+$2.78
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on September 30?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes-$11.54
- Bhermesss123Last tradedNo+$7.87
- BkodeoedLast tradedNo+$6.73
Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes+$14.06
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$2.91
- Bgod83743894Last tradedNo-$13.94
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedNo-$155.60
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$35.59
- ALegal-Knot-NeglectLast tradedYes+$188.43
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Afatdog-012Last tradedUp-$2.22
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown-$9.72
- B976FLast tradedDown+$9.36
18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.