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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Mistral be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AS Roma vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$302.38
    • B
      0xjamesLast traded
      Over+$297.90
    • B
      Xander-XXLast traded
      Over+$2.13

  • Exact Score: Eastleigh FC 1 - 0 Southend United FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Pika have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      daegothLast traded
      No+$0.21
    • B
      iliabouchouevLast traded
      No+$0.19
    • B
      fookLast traded
      No+$0.08

  • Spread: French Guiana (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Sint Maarten
    Won
    Sint Maarten
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Sint Maarten+$153.60
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Sint Maarten+$6.86
    • B
      emacronLast traded
      French Guiana-$160

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0 - 2 FC Bayern München?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Nvidia be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.

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