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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Millonarios FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Independiente Medellín
    Won
    Independiente Medellín
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Independiente Medellín+$215.87
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Independiente Medellín+$5.53
    • B
      NotJumpLast traded
      Millonarios FC+$13.83

  • Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • M15 Ann Arbor, MI: Vignesh Gogineni vs Max Dahlin

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Vignesh Gogineni
    Won
    Max Dahlin
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Max Dahlin+$258.57
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Vignesh Gogineni-$202.46
    • B
      clownlyLast traded
      Vignesh Gogineni-$281.82

  • Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.32% in September?

    Right

    Economy

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

    Right

    Business

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Peru (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Mexico
    Won
    Mexico
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Mexico+$196.38
    • B
      NotJumpLast traded
      Mexico+$8.05
    • B
      STAYCALMLast traded
      Mexico+$0.05

  • Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago Cubs
    Won
    San Diego Padres
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Chicago Cubs-$113.06
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Chicago Cubs-$90.09
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Chicago Cubs+$2.21

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $360 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • French Guiana vs. Sint Maarten: Sint Maarten O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$121.60
    • A
      LuckyLooLast traded
      Under+$193.81
    • B
      emacronLast traded
      Under+$116.35

  • Will Ethereum dip to $2,550 on September 29?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

    Right

    Business

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$121.84
    • A
      donthackmeLast traded
      Yes-$84.99
    • B
      em...wellLast traded
      Yes+$24.81

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Young TigeRES vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Fire Flux Esports
    Won
    Fire Flux Esports
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Gabriela Ruse
    Won
    Gabriela Ruse
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W35 Baza: Elena Milovanovic vs Carmen Gallardo Guevara

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Carmen Gallardo Guevara
    Won
    Carmen Gallardo Guevara
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Carmen Gallardo Guevara+$92.57
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Elena Milovanovic+$54.61
    • A
      ilovetennisLast traded
      Carmen Gallardo Guevara+$19.05

  • Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 30?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $150 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Union Magdalena vs. Real Cartagena FC: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No-$357.51
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes+$103.58
    • S
      ColdMathLast traded
      Yes+$95.99

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $138 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

    Wrong

    Business

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.

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