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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3?

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on September 30?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New Zealand Breakers vs. Cairns Taipans: O/U 182.5

    Wrong

    Basketball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Otto Virtanen (-1.5) vs Tiago Pereira (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Otto Virtanen
    Won
    Tiago Pereira
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • O/U 1.5 Rounds

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    BK Häcken FF
    Won
    Juventus FC
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      BK Häcken FF-$659.28
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      BK Häcken FF-$145.84
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Juventus FC+$2.49

  • Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ENCE - Map 1 Winner

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    Sangal
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Botafogo FC 2 - 0 AA Ponte Preta?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Renata Zarazua (-1.5) vs Anna Bondar (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Renata Zarazua
    Won
    Renata Zarazua
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Renata Zarazua+$7.16
    • A
      MarquisDeMottLast traded
      Renata Zarazua+$0.69
    • B
      DCAAALast traded
      Anna Bondar-$587.29

  • Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Aljamain Sterling fight Kevin Vallejos next?

    No consensus

    MMA

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      korda77Last traded
      No+$268.88
    • B
      cat9xLast traded
      Yes+$184
    • B
      VenimousLast traded
      Yes+$7.03

  • Set 1 Winner: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rei Sakamoto

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Rei Sakamoto
    Won
    Rei Sakamoto
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Paris FC vs. Arsenal WFC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over+$188.44
    • A
      LuckyLooLast traded
      Over+$237.78
    • B
      Xander-XXLast traded
      Over+$0.59

  • Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$239.75
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$185.01
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$7.69

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • United States vs. Chile: Chile O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $192 in September?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

    Right

    Business

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.61% in September?

    Right

    Economy

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      cookedquailLast traded
      No+$348.18
    • B
      HDGBLast traded
      No+$9.51
    • B
      title1Last traded
      No+$3.19

  • Spread: Lithuania (-3.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Lithuania
    Won
    Andorra
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Lithuania-$348.65
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Lithuania-$14.76
    • B
      LeLynxMalynxLast traded
      Andorra+$2.64

  • China Open (Doubles): Bublik/Shang vs Cerundolo/Rinderknech

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Cerundolo/Rinderknech
    Won
    Bublik/Shang
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Sporting Cp win on 2026-09-30?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the median home value in the US be at least $454,000 on September 30?

    Wrong

    Recurring

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: BIG.A (-1.5) vs maybe (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    maybe
    Won
    maybe
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Fiona Crawley vs Elena Pridankina

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Fiona Crawley
    Won
    Elena Pridankina
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    100 Thieves
    Won
    100 Thieves
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      100 Thieves+$91.83
    • A
      spartachioLast traded
      FUT Esports-$400.97
    • B
      whynotchocolateLast traded
      100 Thieves+$0.91

  • Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on September 29?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in September?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 30?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Independiente Medellín vs. Millonarios FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Over+$995.13
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$588.38
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$104.95

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Paris FC 0 - 2 Arsenal WFC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Independiente Medellín vs. Millonarios FC: Independiente Medellín O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Independiente Medellín leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $178 in September?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ENCE - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Sangal
    Won
    Sangal
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 1AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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