Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 91% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 21,228
- No consensus
- 18,783
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.
Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Raquel Caballero Chica
- Won
- Raquel Caballero Chica
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedRaquel Caballero Chica+$51.35
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedRaquel Caballero Chica+$45
- A0xc07Last tradedShannon Lam-$123.97
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustdanceLast tradedDown-$111.27
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$37.46
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$187.43
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aopopv.Last tradedNo+$36.16
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$4.68
- BslobodLast tradedYes-$28.92
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$3.89
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$1.47
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$4.45
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedYes-$32.52
- BLex-tangLast tradedYes+$105.67
- Bqqqppp-l1Last tradedNo-$73.96
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$5.68
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$3.64
- AaHjCzLast tradedNo-$1.33
Will Baidu be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$3.63
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$1.47
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$4.07
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$9.90
- BcleaningLadyLast tradedNo+$9.62
- Bneo7777Last tradedNo+$9.50
Will Meta be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$5.76
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$1.73
- Bgod83743894Last tradedNo-$2.30
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$5.04
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$1.30
- ALuckyLooLast tradedNo+$4.07
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$12.33
- B0x8e7a1d1N2KdE17a0e8Kh31F8b0F56B8dEa08ELast tradedNo+$22.48
- BOraculumNobiusLast tradedNo+$0.50
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmerodLast tradedNo-$5.82
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$8.24
- Bchocolate123Last tradedNo+$1.73
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$16.20
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$4.57
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$36.76
Will Meituan be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes+$17.48
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$3.14
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$6.11
- Called
- Rodrigo Alujas
- Won
- Rodrigo Alujas
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$196.72
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$104.86
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$36.16
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$4.60
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$8.52
- BdaegothLast tradedNo+$3.16
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$14.49
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$1.45
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown-$8.47
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedYes+$29.92
- Bqqqppp-l1Last tradedNo-$73.19
- BfastestclickLast tradedYes+$30.88
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $155 in September?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedYes-$45.76
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes+$34.64
- AkneelbeforethekingLast tradedNo+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$3.49
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$15.52
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$14.57
Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$4.67
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$1.89
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$0.70
- Called
- Chan-Yeong Oh
- Won
- Chan-Yeong Oh
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- A38791873984189Last tradedChan-Yeong Oh+$52.32
- A0xc07Last tradedSasikumar Mukund-$23.70
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedChan-Yeong Oh-$18.52
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ATunSahurLast tradedNo+$4.98
- Akorda77Last tradedNo+$3.77
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$1.97
- Called
- Alejandro Tabilo
- Won
- Alejandro Tabilo
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedAlejandro Tabilo+$55.96
- SRock.SanLast tradedAlejandro Tabilo+$1.06
- BCarefree-SignificanceLast tradedTommy Paul-$100.32
- Called
- Lukas Pokorny
- Won
- Lukas Pokorny
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedLukas Pokorny+$12.50
- A0xc07Last tradedValentin Vanta-$42.54
- AghostorderLast tradedLukas Pokorny+$19
XRP Up or Down - September 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACERTovaLast tradedUp+$24.41
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$32.53
- B0x50f7Last tradedUp+$3.06
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMiserly-PoundLast tradedDown+$2.50
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$24.16
- Bcryingbabydicer87Last tradedDown+$19.46
Will ByteDance be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$3.97
- B11B7c7e5D961Last tradedYes+$2.80
- Bgod83743894Last tradedNo-$2.70
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$3.66
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$1.38
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$1.80
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$34.11
- SFlaznorpLast tradedNo+$7.73
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$7.40
Will MiniMax have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmolodoyyLast tradedNo+$2.69
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$7.69
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes+$0.45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 30?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaveragerandommanLast tradedYes+$1.97
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedYes+$1.50
- AcoinfilippeLast tradedNo-$1.33
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- A38791873984189Last tradedDown+$62.54
- Afatdog-012Last tradedUp-$22.40
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$1.31
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AcommeowderLast tradedNo+$2.63
- ACoinTrickLast tradedNo+$0.26
- BhithitfarLast tradedNo+$1.41
Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$21.12
- AMysariaLast tradedYes+$35.46
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$8.81
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$11.18
- BcleaningLadyLast tradedNo+$6.35
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$1.94
Will Trump say "22" this week?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgricultureSecretaryLast tradedYes+$21.37
- AQuarrelsome-BranchLast tradedYes+$101.23
- BiForgorLast tradedNo-$85.51
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$10.82
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$0.05
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$44.29
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$3.51
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$9.89
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$7.04
- Called
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- Won
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedJuan Manuel Cerundolo+$255.57
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedJuan Manuel Cerundolo+$3.48
- BwhereisxLast tradedYunchaokete Bu-$260.83
- Called
- Emilien Demanet
- Won
- Emilien Demanet
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRock.SanLast tradedEmilien Demanet+$0.08
- A38791873984189Last tradedLouis Tessa-$71.98
- A0xc07Last tradedLouis Tessa-$26.65
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$2.18
- AWeatherstappenLast tradedNo+$0.58
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$1.33
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$6.42
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$6.02
- BHappening9014Last tradedNo+$4.69
- Called
- HyperSpirit
- Won
- INFURITY Gaming
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AJohnLKellyJrLast tradedHyperSpirit-$3,721.13
- AbackboxLast tradedINFURITY Gaming+$51.20
- B0x0820-2Last tradedHyperSpirit-$26.66
- Called
- HyperSpirit
- Won
- INFURITY Gaming
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedHyperSpirit-$2,454.23
- BDivinevLast tradedINFURITY Gaming+$451.01
- BJarod21Last tradedHyperSpirit-$70.19
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedOver-$1,443.11
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$342.43
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$39.45
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedNo+$687.84
- SC03BLast tradedNo+$555.03
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedNo+$334.05
- Called
- HC Sochi
- Won
- HC Sochi
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedHC Sochi+$1,063.60
- SFlaznorpLast tradedHC Sochi+$50.02
- BKuntro2Last tradedHC Sochi+$303
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$690.43
- SFlaznorpLast tradedYes+$672.92
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$1
18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.