Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 91% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 21,228
- No consensus
- 18,783
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.
Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Will MiniMax be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$13.78
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$2.96
- Akorda77Last tradedNo-$2.10
- Called
- South Korea
- Won
- South Korea
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMalfunction.Last tradedSouth Korea+$3.87
- AJackenxandLast tradedSouth Korea+$15
- BmrlishLast tradedSouth Korea+$6.88
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$2.56
- ACERTovaLast tradedDown+$8.02
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$16.82
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$19.71
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$3.13
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$9.13
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$18.54
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$5
- BalmachLast tradedUp+$5
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$18.13
- ABiggggggggLast tradedNo+$1.84
- BNo-89757Last tradedNo+$9.40
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$30.30
- Bnewbie147Last tradedNo+$0.54
- BdaegothLast tradedNo+$0.47
Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$12.91
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$2.95
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$12.12
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$26.06
- ACERTovaLast tradedDown+$5.96
- Baswfadq1555Last tradedUp-$95
Will Microsoft be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes+$49.15
- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$9.98
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$14.49
- Called
- Koray Kirci
- Won
- Koray Kirci
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRock.SanLast tradedKoray Kirci+$0.06
- A0xc07Last tradedKoray Kirci+$32.78
- BkitopesivanLast tradedKoray Kirci-$10.13
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- Afatdog-012Last tradedDown+$24.67
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$54.34
- B976FLast tradedDown+$0.93
Will Nvidia have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$3.56
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$2.79
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$20.08
XRP Up or Down - September 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$30.16
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$13.60
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$41.39
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$20.61
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$0.60
- BalmachLast tradedUp-$8.93
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$11.61
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$5.79
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$9.96
- Called
- Akasha Urhobo
- Won
- Akasha Urhobo
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedAkasha Urhobo+$66.42
- A0xc07Last tradedAnnika Penickova-$115.53
- A38791873984189Last tradedAkasha Urhobo+$24.20
Will Bytedance be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$6.43
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$2.24
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$10.64
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$10.10
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$22.29
- BalmachLast tradedDown+$10
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$8.52
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$5.27
- AflippingsharksLast tradedUp+$0.53
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 30?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes+$910.10
- AComTruiseLast tradedNo-$933.57
- Bduneprod1Last tradedYes+$1.39
- Called
- Team Kinetix
- Won
- Team Kinetix
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBackTestEoCaraioLast tradedTeam Kinetix+$22.06
- AdabossrealmanLast tradedIvory-$53.69
- Acalculate10Last tradedTeam Kinetix+$9.93
- Called
- Mio Mushika
- Won
- Mio Mushika
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedMio Mushika+$14.25
- A38791873984189Last tradedCaitlin Abela-$28.29
- BkutsumiakiaLast tradedMio Mushika+$28.94
Will Meituan be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$3.27
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$2.56
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$10.79
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $197.50 Week of September 28 2026?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes-$33.16
- BcapibLast tradedYes+$34.09
- B13lur02Last tradedYes+$17.25
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedYes+$37.34
- BghorrockLast tradedNo-$21.55
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo+$3.41
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$1.65
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$3.41
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$25.72
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 end of September?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedYes-$624.75
- ACamelUpLast tradedNo+$705.46
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes-$75.38
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$20.03
- A38791873984189Last tradedDown-$58.35
- ACERTovaLast tradedUp+$2.63
- Called
- Isabella Maria Serban
- Won
- Isabella Maria Serban
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedIsabella Maria Serban+$28.98
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedIsabella Maria Serban+$28.08
- A0xc07Last tradedMadelief Hageman-$67.03
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$14.83
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$4.86
- AWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedDown+$93.91
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $150 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedNo+$90.95
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo-$24.65
- AkneelbeforethekingLast tradedNo+$4.62
- Called
- Belize
- Won
- Belize
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedSt. Vincent and the Grenadines-$63.38
- SFlaznorpLast tradedBelize+$8.14
- Bsolstice2025Last tradedBelize+$39.14
Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
XRP Up or Down - September 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp-$86.49
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$14.99
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$83.87
Will ByteDance be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$7.34
- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$4.15
- Akorda77Last tradedNo-$3.43
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$2.65
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$19.57
- B0x50f7Last tradedDown-$0.79
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver-$64.60
- SFlaznorpLast tradedUnder+$34.25
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$33
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$8.38
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$1.05
- BalmachLast tradedUp+$24.92
- Called
- Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
- Won
- Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLukas Palovic-$22.65
- A38791873984189Last tradedAlvin Nicholas Tudorica+$27.75
- A0xc07Last tradedAlvin Nicholas Tudorica-$5.49
Will Mistral be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$5.67
- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$3.84
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$2.02
Will ByteDance be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$11.20
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$2.28
- Akorda77Last tradedNo-$1.54
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$6.35
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$13.10
- BTheMaskLosesLast tradedUp-$4.23
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAvocadosFromMexicoLast tradedUnder+$6.74
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$3.42
- SFlaznorpLast tradedUnder+$3.31
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 30?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$29.26
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo+$22.05
- BOnlyLuckNoBrainLast tradedNo-$66.95
Will Mistral be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmolodoyyLast tradedNo+$21.53
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$3.94
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$2.08
Will Tencent be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$5.71
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$2.04
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$4.45
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $90 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo-$12
- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedNo-$11.91
- ACamelUpLast tradedNo-$6.82
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on September 29?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes-$143.49
- ApennedreadfulLast tradedYes+$92.58
- Bhermesss123Last tradedNo+$26.19
18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.