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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will MiniMax be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    78%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$13.78
    • A
      donthackmeLast traded
      No-$2.96
    • A
      korda77Last traded
      No-$2.10
  • Esports

    Called
    South Korea
    Won
    South Korea
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Malfunction.Last traded
      South Korea+$3.87
    • A
      JackenxandLast traded
      South Korea+$15
    • B
      mrlishLast traded
      South Korea+$6.88
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Microsoft be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes+$49.15
    • A
      aHjCzLast traded
      Yes-$9.98
    • B
      glm4.1.fundLast traded
      Yes-$14.49
  • Tennis

    Called
    Koray Kirci
    Won
    Koray Kirci
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Koray Kirci+$0.06
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Koray Kirci+$32.78
    • B
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Koray Kirci-$10.13
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Nvidia have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?

    No consensus

    AI

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • XRP Up or Down - September 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    80%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Akasha Urhobo
    Won
    Akasha Urhobo
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Akasha Urhobo+$66.42
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Annika Penickova-$115.53
    • A
      38791873984189Last traded
      Akasha Urhobo+$24.20
  • Will Bytedance be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    Team Kinetix
    Won
    Team Kinetix
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Mio Mushika
    Won
    Mio Mushika
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Meituan be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    No consensus

    AI

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $197.50 Week of September 28 2026?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 end of September?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      merodLast traded
      No-$6.53
    • A
      korda77Last traded
      No-$5.91
    • A
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes-$4.51
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Isabella Maria Serban
    Won
    Isabella Maria Serban
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Isabella Maria Serban+$28.98
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Isabella Maria Serban+$28.08
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Madelief Hageman-$67.03
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $150 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Belize
    Won
    Belize
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      St. Vincent and the Grenadines-$63.38
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Belize+$8.14
    • B
      solstice2025Last traded
      Belize+$39.14
  • Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$41.05
    • A
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes+$2.87
    • B
      CorlysLast traded
      Yes+$25.16
  • XRP Up or Down - September 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will ByteDance be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
    Won
    Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Mistral be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will ByteDance be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$11.20
    • A
      donthackmeLast traded
      No-$2.28
    • A
      korda77Last traded
      No-$1.54
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 30?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Mistral be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Tencent be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $90 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on September 29?

    Wrong

    Finance

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.