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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Exact Score: Any Other Score?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      No+$111.09
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No+$30.80
    • A
      BiggggggggLast traded
      No+$25.02

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on September 29?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Union Magdalena win on 2026-09-29?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • French Guiana vs. Sint Maarten: O/U 2.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$68.04
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$15
    • A
      LuckyLooLast traded
      Over-$114.60

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    64%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 30?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    9%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 30?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 28-October 4?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      gt197Last traded
      Yes+$221.92
    • A
      ComTruiseLast traded
      Yes+$153.73
    • A
      CoinTrickLast traded
      Yes+$3.08

  • Tamworth FC vs. Sutton United FC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$448.73
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$143.21
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$98.09

  • WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 29?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Semente do Mal - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Semente do Mal
    Won
    Semente do Mal
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      TommyLeePeecaLast traded
      Semente do Mal-$12.24
    • B
      buen0Last traded
      MIBR fe-$535.44
    • B
      DivinevLast traded
      Semente do Mal+$400.98

  • Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in September?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: BK Häcken FF 0 - 0 Juventus FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$78.32
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$69.47
    • A
      ng6000Last traded
      No+$11.19

  • Mexico vs. Peru: O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$191.05
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$56.65
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$39.44

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    69%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

    No consensus

    Business

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$191.16
    • A
      donthackmeLast traded
      Yes-$166.12
    • A
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes+$19.33

  • Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 29?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AS Roma vs. FC Barcelona: AS Roma O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$552.55
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$118.12
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$33.40

  • Avtodor vs. Uralmash

    Right

    Basketball

    Called
    Uralmash
    Won
    Uralmash
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Belize win on 2026-09-29?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$83.26
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$24.66
    • S
      antecLast traded
      No-$18.02

  • M15 Ann Arbor, MI: Benjamin Willwerth vs Hugo Coquelin

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Hugo Coquelin
    Won
    Hugo Coquelin
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Paris FC vs. Arsenal WFC: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$242.17
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$100.85
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$5.83

  • Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Eritrea 0 - 2 South Africa?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Meta (META) Up or Down on September 30?

    No consensus

    Stocks

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 29?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 29?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Arsenal WFC leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$132.61
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No-$58.67
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$57.85

  • Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

    Right

    Business

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Tamworth FC vs. Sutton United FC: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$177.03
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$140.85
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Over+$0.20

  • WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 29?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Tamworth FC vs. Sutton United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$200.73
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$117.99
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$16.90

  • Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $164 in September?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Alibaba have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Vitality
    Won
    Team Vitality
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BAPEHUKLast traded
      Team Vitality+$224.12
    • A
      AbsingLast traded
      LOUD+$7.87
    • B
      nascent1134513Last traded
      LOUD-$121.12

  • Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Peru?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Agile-SpacingLast traded
      Down-$119.66
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Up+$25.12
    • A
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$1.84

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    80%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the median home value in NYC be between $582,000 and $609,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Recurring

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dogecoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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