Skip to content
Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Tamworth FC leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August?

    Wrong

    PCE

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Botafogo FC vs. AA Ponte Preta: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$99.81
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$55.21
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$34.82

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$38.85
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$5.04
    • A
      CERTovaLast traded
      Up+$34.96

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    16%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Z.ai be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    78%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    18%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Up-$96.89
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$68.52
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$53.04

  • Eastleigh FC vs. Southend United FC: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    44%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Baidu be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    75%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September?

    Right

    Economy

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    39%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in September?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 35°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    40%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Seychelles 2 - 2 Sri Lanka?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    75%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    8%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.49% in September?

    Right

    Economy

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    New York Yankees
    Won
    New York Yankees
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    38%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      donthackmeLast traded
      No-$6.17
    • B
      glm4.1.fundLast traded
      Yes-$15.82
    • B
      PPMTLast traded
      Yes+$14.16

  • Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    75%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs 9z Globant (+2.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Estral Esports
    Won
    Estral Esports
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      AnjunLast traded
      9z Globant-$4,222.18
    • A
      gejbrLast traded
      Estral Esports+$61.99
    • B
      self-defenceLast traded
      Estral Esports+$192

  • Counter-Strike: Sangal vs KUUSAMO.gg - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Sangal
    Won
    Sangal
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      JohnLKellyJrLast traded
      Sangal+$3,784.58
    • A
      anyjezzLast traded
      KUUSAMO.gg-$97.60
    • A
      backboxLast traded
      Sangal+$7.46

  • M15 Monastir: John Echeverria vs Lars Goran Verwerft

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lars Goran Verwerft
    Won
    Lars Goran Verwerft
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Traktor

    Right

    Hockey

    Called
    Traktor
    Won
    Traktor
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    41%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Traktor+$3,022.21
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Traktor+$51.01
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Spartak Moscow+$42.82

  • Counter-Strike: ENCE vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #7 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ENCE
    Won
    ENCE
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      JohnLKellyJrLast traded
      ENCE+$1,204.98
    • A
      dicekingLast traded
      ENCE+$1,175.82
    • A
      backboxLast traded
      ENCE+$210.23

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      JAMJAMJAM4Last traded
      Under+$438
    • A
      am100Last traded
      Under+$234.48
    • A
      ameisgoat11Last traded
      Over-$109.08

  • Rangers vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5

    Wrong

    Hockey

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 29?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justdanceLast traded
      No+$2,314.23
    • A
      0xDB5Last traded
      No+$9.86
    • B
      TianheLast traded
      No+$9.28

  • Counter-Strike: Azuolas vs ENJOY - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ENJOY
    Won
    ENJOY
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 30?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      averagerandommanLast traded
      Yes+$1,974.93
    • A
      gt197Last traded
      Yes+$87.59
    • A
      0xDB5Last traded
      Yes+$11.44

  • Spread: San Diego Padres (-8.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago Cubs
    Won
    Chicago Cubs
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30?

    No consensus

    Recurring

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago White Sox
    Won
    Chicago White Sox
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W15 Nashville, TN: Eugenia Zozaya Menendez vs Salma Drugdova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Salma Drugdova
    Won
    Salma Drugdova
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Deportivo Pereira vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Seychelles vs. Sri Lanka: Sri Lanka O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$380.70
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$212.47
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$175.32

  • Spread: Botafogo FC (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Botafogo FC
    Won
    AA Ponte Preta
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Botafogo FC-$716.13
    • S
      ColdMathLast traded
      AA Ponte Preta+$115.34
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Botafogo FC-$112.61

  • W75 Quinta do Lago: Adrienn Nagy vs Angelina Voloshchuk

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Adrienn Nagy
    Won
    Adrienn Nagy
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    AS Roma
    Won
    FC Barcelona
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      AS Roma-$542.91
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      AS Roma-$98.80
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      AS Roma-$72.49

  • Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Hockey

    Called
    Blackhawks
    Won
    Golden Knights
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Blackhawks-$286
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Blackhawks-$156.08
    • A
      BoomLaLaLast traded
      Blackhawks-$129.95

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs