Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 91% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 21,228
- No consensus
- 18,783
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.
Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SC03BLast tradedNo+$0.79
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedNo+$145.54
- ApennedreadfulLast tradedYes-$78.01
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- AStarMasterLast tradedNo+$28.73
- ACoinTrickLast tradedNo+$0.32
- BestoiccLast tradedNo+$66.30
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo+$52.66
- SFlaznorpLast tradedNo-$20.32
- ApelikLast tradedNo+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$41.10
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo-$25.31
- BBeginnersLuck2Last tradedNo+$100.34
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.24% in September?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo+$17.40
- AStarted-with-20-USDLast tradedYes+$6.96
- BVagabund97Last tradedYes+$236.51
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$43.05
- AflippingsharksLast tradedUp-$11.71
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$3.10
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.5% or more in August?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedDown+$67.58
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$44.45
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$12.05
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$7.07
- BgghffLast tradedNo+$239.82
- BOnlyLuckNoBrainLast tradedYes-$105.48
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$44.89
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$1.98
- BLittle-bigLast tradedUp+$49.65
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$86.04
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$64.40
- AflippingsharksLast tradedUp+$113.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$17.34
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$1.81
- AHcrystallashLast tradedUp+$41.24
- Called
- mellren
- Won
- mellren
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 77%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedmellren-$36.55
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedmellren-$9.31
- STommyLeePeecaLast tradedmellren+$6.54
- Called
- MEIA NOITE
- Won
- MEIA NOITE
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedMEIA NOITE+$30.91
- STommyLeePeecaLast tradedMEIA NOITE+$18.41
- AdabossrealmanLast tradedMEIA NOITE+$19.45
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGordinhoDoAlfaLast tradedOver+$1,161.40
- ASmallcoinsLast tradedUnder-$516.32
- BJunior112Last tradedUnder-$390.98
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo-$87.10
- APoligarchLast tradedYes+$141.64
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$35.28
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$26.29
- ATunSahurLast tradedNo+$25.70
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$9.99
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo+$35.94
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$6.41
- BOutOfMemoryLast tradedNo+$74.33
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$11.93
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo+$6
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo+$67.66
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$30.57
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$25.57
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$16.23
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 29?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$24.89
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes+$2.05
- BBruised-SteppingstoneLast tradedNo+$89.03
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 88%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$13.81
- SFlaznorpLast tradedUnder+$0.97
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$0.56
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $840 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedNo-$230.06
- BSerpentine-MajorityLast tradedNo+$109.24
- BGabiFPLast tradedNo+$50.74
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$217.33
- AflippingsharksLast tradedUp+$74.02
- Afatdog-012Last tradedDown+$38.88
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 85%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$3.26
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$0.63
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$1.38
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ATunSahurLast tradedNo+$68.96
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo-$26.10
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$16.41
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$11.38
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$55.39
- Bneo7777Last tradedNo+$53.06
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$9.80
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$29.66
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$50.14
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedYes-$191.55
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes+$114.98
- BTimRobLast tradedYes+$77.43
- Called
- ALKA
- Won
- ALKA
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedALKA+$50.89
- STommyLeePeecaLast tradedALKA+$9.36
- AEl-Toque-De-MidasLast tradedMEIA NOITE-$9.10
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 82%
Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 39%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 30?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmerodLast tradedNo+$58.79
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$29.05
- BOutOfMemoryLast tradedNo-$76.11
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 100%
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$1.61
- ACoinTrickLast tradedNo+$0.23
- B11B7c7e5D961Last tradedYes-$33.07
Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 50%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 29?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$12.03
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedYes+$26.28
- Bqqqppp-l1Last tradedNo-$73.93
- Called
- Charo Esquiva Banuls
- Won
- Charo Esquiva Banuls
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedCarmen Lopez Martinez-$57.24
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedCharo Esquiva Banuls+$13.97
- A0xc07Last tradedCarmen Lopez Martinez-$25.69
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- ATunSahurLast tradedNo+$27.56
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo+$7.27
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$1.97
Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$15.76
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$14.14
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$5.24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$22.93
- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$17.97
- BOnlyLuckNoBrainLast tradedNo+$45.84
Will StepFun be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$25.73
- AMysariaLast tradedYes+$19.19
- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$15.64
- Called
- Grêmio Esports
- Won
- Grêmio Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedGrêmio Esports+$0.14
- AdabossrealmanLast tradedGrêmio Esports+$48.87
- BCachorroOrelhaLast tradedRush-$101.73
Will ByteDance be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$15.90
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$14.13
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$6.59
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- AKiernanMeisterLast tradedYes-$72.32
- Alibratus1Last tradedNo+$17.91
- Bchaosj88Last tradedNo+$19.85
Will Google have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$10.42
- Akorda77Last tradedNo+$3.19
- AmerodLast tradedNo+$2.82
Solana Up or Down - September 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$18.77
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$13.50
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$7.63
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$406.14
- SFlaznorpLast tradedOver+$256.74
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$72.50
Will Meta be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$11.94
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$7.50
- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$4.65
- Called
- QUINTESSÊNCIA
- Won
- QUINTESSÊNCIA
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedMEIA NOITE-$98.28
- SantecLast tradedQUINTESSÊNCIA-$15.32
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedQUINTESSÊNCIA-$3.37
18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.