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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Counter-Strike: Sangal vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #7 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Sangal
    Won
    Sangal
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Atlanta Braves
    Won
    Atlanta Braves
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    6%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Over-$519.32
    • S
      primmLast traded
      Under+$490.32
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Over-$188.74

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the median home value in the US be between $447,000 and $454,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Recurring

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Mexico vs. Peru: Mexico O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$199.51
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$106.78
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$76.50

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    27%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$574.05
    • S
      DonkooLast traded
      Over-$64.14
    • A
      AbsingLast traded
      Over-$124.11

  • Will Hurricane Polo peak at Category 5?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in September?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    80%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • M15 Baku: Rohan Mehra vs Kaya Arinc

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Kaya Arinc
    Won
    Rohan Mehra
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will DeepSeek have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W15 Monastir: Anna Bazderova vs Yuka Matsumoto

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Yuka Matsumoto
    Won
    Yuka Matsumoto
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Yuka Matsumoto+$25.37
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Anna Bazderova-$18.87
    • B
      clownlyLast traded
      Yuka Matsumoto+$135.44

  • Counter-Strike: EAC Extra vs ENCE Prospects - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    EAC Extra
    Won
    EAC Extra
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    86%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W35 Wagga Wagga: Haruna Arakawa vs Rira Kosaka

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Rira Kosaka
    Won
    Haruna Arakawa
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Haruna Arakawa+$371.95
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Rira Kosaka-$282.29
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Rira Kosaka+$76.09

  • KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. KT Wiz

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Kiwoom Heroes
    Won
    Kiwoom Heroes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      rafibd888Last traded
      Kiwoom Heroes+$186.17
    • B
      cosmicsteaksLast traded
      KT Wiz-$58.77
    • B
      parliaLast traded
      Kiwoom Heroes+$13.78

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Botafogo FC vs. AA Ponte Preta: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$109.02
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$8.96
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$2

  • Eritrea vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Youssef Zalal fight Kevin Vallejos next?

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,264,000 and $1,284,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Recurring

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 in September?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $162 in September?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: United States (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Chile
    Won
    Chile
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ColdMathLast traded
      Chile+$71
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Chile+$47.83
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Chile+$10.65

  • Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      aHjCzLast traded
      Yes-$7.52
    • A
      MysariaLast traded
      No+$1.61
    • B
      11B7c7e5D961Last traded
      No-$119.66

  • Exact Score: Seychelles 1 - 1 Sri Lanka?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$205.63
    • A
      BiggggggggLast traded
      No+$5.87
    • B
      Gl4dLast traded
      Yes-$105.24

  • Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W15 Monastir: Sarina Schnyder vs Eloise Newberry

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Sarina Schnyder
    Won
    Sarina Schnyder
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Sarina Schnyder+$47.16
    • A
      38791873984189Last traded
      Eloise Newberry+$10.37
    • B
      CrovaxLast traded
      Sarina Schnyder+$35.84

  • Exact Score: AS Roma 0 - 2 FC Barcelona?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$43.29
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$34.64
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$8.45

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W35 Baza: Kristina Novak vs Meritxell Teixido Garcia

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Meritxell Teixido Garcia
    Won
    Kristina Novak
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Meritxell Teixido Garcia-$63
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Meritxell Teixido Garcia-$124.04
    • A
      fatdog-012Last traded
      Kristina Novak+$75.63

  • Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,201,000 and $1,216,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Recurring

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    80%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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