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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Paris FC vs. Arsenal WFC: Arsenal WFC O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • M15 Monastir: Mert Naci Turker vs Nazim Makhlouf

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mert Naci Turker
    Won
    Mert Naci Turker
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Mert Naci Turker+$0.08
    • A
      38791873984189Last traded
      Mert Naci Turker+$63.30
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Mert Naci Turker+$30.17

  • Exact Score: Lithuania 3 - 0 Andorra?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: BK Häcken FF 1 - 1 Juventus FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      No+$32.27
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$21.32
    • A
      ng6000Last traded
      No+$15

  • Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    64%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Chile?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 29?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      Bland-DynamiteLast traded
      Yes+$51.02
    • A
      korda77Last traded
      No+$46.52
    • B
      AJSVLast traded
      No-$74.22

  • Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 30?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • M15 Baku: Makar Krivoshchekov vs Makar Elesin

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Makar Elesin
    Won
    Makar Krivoshchekov
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Makar Elesin+$88.58
    • A
      38791873984189Last traded
      Makar Krivoshchekov+$18.43
    • A
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Makar Elesin-$15.03

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    27%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: megoshort vs eternal premium - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    eternal premium
    Won
    eternal premium
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W35 Reims: Tina Manescu vs Lian Tran

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Tina Manescu
    Won
    Lian Tran
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Chile?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$26.19
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$17.46
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$10.80

  • Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    54%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$150.89
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Over-$139.93
    • A
      BoomLaLaLast traded
      Under+$389.66

  • M15 Monastir: Benoit Torcq vs Samir Hamza Reguig

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Samir Hamza Reguig
    Won
    Samir Hamza Reguig
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Samir Hamza Reguig+$0.15
    • A
      38791873984189Last traded
      Benoit Torcq-$12.34
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Samir Hamza Reguig+$8.97

  • Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W35 Reims: Milena Maria Ciocan vs Marine Szostak

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Marine Szostak
    Won
    Marine Szostak
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$95.46
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes-$48.99
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$25.74

  • Will Meituan be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?

    No consensus

    AI

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Seychelles vs. Sri Lanka: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    46%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    69%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or below on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$41.09
    • A
      merodLast traded
      No-$6.53
    • A
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes+$5.74

  • Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    64%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valencia vs. Kosner Baskonia

    Right

    Basketball

    Called
    Valencia
    Won
    Valencia
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.

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