Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 91% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 21,228
- No consensus
- 18,783
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.
Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Ammar Faleh Alhogbani
- Won
- Ammar Faleh Alhogbani
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedPijus Vaitiekunas-$109.87
- A38791873984189Last tradedAmmar Faleh Alhogbani+$73.43
- A0xc07Last tradedAmmar Faleh Alhogbani+$60.49
- Called
- Hong Kong
- Won
- Chinese Taipei
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- A38791873984189Last tradedHong Kong-$106.22
- Azxcursed121Last tradedHong Kong-$2.43
- BBaseballprooLast tradedChinese Taipei+$103.27
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 85%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$16.49
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$10.98
- Afatdog-012Last tradedUp+$103.78
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$18.41
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$30.70
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$55.41
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 47%
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$4.82
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$106.84
- Afatdog-012Last tradedUp+$60.08
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedYes+$28.70
- SFlaznorpLast tradedYes+$19.39
- SRN1Last tradedYes+$11.30
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$14.76
- Brocky42024Last tradedNo+$14.03
- BCorkisGeldbeutelLast tradedNo+$12.25
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp+$35.05
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$22.99
- A38791873984189Last tradedUp+$58.96
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedNo-$99.50
- BhenriblocLast tradedNo+$85.73
- BSerpentine-MajorityLast tradedNo+$69.76
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$19.51
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$54.21
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$50.65
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedNo+$15.14
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedNo+$6.91
- AkneelbeforethekingLast tradedNo+$2.08
- Called
- Miguel Damas
- Won
- Miguel Damas
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedMiguel Damas+$63
- SFlaznorpLast tradedMiguel Damas+$26.38
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedMiguel Damas+$10.97
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$9
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$3.17
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$9.88
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$69.99
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$14.62
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$2.34
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$83.18
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$56.21
- A38791873984189Last tradedDown-$88.52
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$26.57
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$14.82
- AflippingsharksLast tradedUp+$29.27
- Called
- Paul Jubb
- Won
- Paul Jubb
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAristarkh Safonov-$62.76
- SRock.SanLast tradedPaul Jubb+$1.72
- A38791873984189Last tradedAristarkh Safonov-$51.47
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp-$87.94
- BttrrysLast tradedUp+$81.32
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$67.91
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ATunSahurLast tradedNo+$7.87
- BcleaningLadyLast tradedNo+$13.05
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$4.73
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$14.92
- BOnlyLuckNoBrainLast tradedYes-$56.26
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$9.78
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$30.36
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$6.72
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$40.30
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AcommeowderLast tradedNo+$1.05
- BcookedquailLast tradedNo+$21.03
- BHDGBLast tradedNo+$2.52
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 34°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$49.17
- BOnlyLuckNoBrainLast tradedNo+$19.91
- BcleaningLadyLast tradedNo+$14.55
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$8.71
- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$9.03
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$4.13
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of September?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedNo-$345.73
- ACamelUpLast tradedYes+$386.21
- AreferralfarmerLast tradedNo-$36.38
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$20.31
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder-$74.98
- Apolika72Last tradedOver+$14.84
Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 40%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$7.97
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$14.62
- Balex20011Last tradedNo-$5.78
Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmerodLast tradedNo-$6.64
- Akorda77Last tradedNo-$6.21
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$8.78
Will ByteDance be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AnoreasapaLast tradedNo+$0.48
- ACoinTrickLast tradedNo+$0.08
- B11B7c7e5D961Last tradedNo+$32.51
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$13.12
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$6.85
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$3.12
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on September 30?
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedDown+$57.15
- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedUp-$22.75
- BPrimePenguinLast tradedUp+$204.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$32.27
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$2.29
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$39.22
Will Mistral be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmolodoyyLast tradedNo+$3.50
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$3.32
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$2.90
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$3.45
- BOutOfMemoryLast tradedNo+$11.64
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$5.51
- Called
- Dominick Mosejczuk
- Won
- Dominick Mosejczuk
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedDominick Mosejczuk+$19.19
- A0xc07Last tradedIiro Vasa-$63.43
- BPan9XLast tradedDominick Mosejczuk+$29.36
Will StepFun be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$9.26
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$4.59
- AmolodoyyLast tradedNo+$2.72
Will DeepSeek be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$6.04
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$6.64
- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$3.29
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$1.29
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$7.49
- Bgod83743894Last tradedNo-$5.83
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$13.64
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$0.93
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$0.62
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$7.04
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$2.56
- Akorda77Last tradedNo-$1.95
Will MiniMax be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$5.67
- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$3.84
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$2.04
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$8
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$0.15
- Afatdog-012Last tradedDown+$25.42
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$0.87
- BCorlysLast tradedYes+$38.56
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$7.73
Solana Up or Down - September 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACaring-KingfishLast tradedDown+$5.15
- AMiserly-PoundLast tradedDown+$2.50
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$5.27
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedNo-$249.99
- ApennedreadfulLast tradedYes+$239.78
- BcapibLast tradedNo+$16.79
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Am3t64 - 815Last tradedYes-$59.26
- AAliciaLast tradedNo+$12
- ACoinTrickLast tradedNo+$0.12
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$5.36
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$2.88
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$0.56
Will Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$3.98
- AnoreasapaLast tradedNo+$0.75
- B11B7c7e5D961Last tradedYes-$30.41
18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.