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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Tennis

    Called
    Ammar Faleh Alhogbani
    Won
    Ammar Faleh Alhogbani
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    27%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Pijus Vaitiekunas-$109.87
    • A
      38791873984189Last traded
      Ammar Faleh Alhogbani+$73.43
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Ammar Faleh Alhogbani+$60.49
  • Esports

    Called
    Hong Kong
    Won
    Chinese Taipei
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    85%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$6.76
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$2.72
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$2.17
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    80%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    73%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Yes+$28.70
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes+$19.39
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$11.30
  • Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Miguel Damas
    Won
    Miguel Damas
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    54%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Paul Jubb
    Won
    Paul Jubb
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    8%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Dogecoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    27%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in September?

    Right

    Economy

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 34°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    27%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$8.71
    • A
      donthackmeLast traded
      Yes-$9.03
    • A
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes-$4.13
  • Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of September?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    9%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$22.04
    • A
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes+$64.29
    • A
      korda77Last traded
      No-$6.28
  • Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      merodLast traded
      No-$6.64
    • A
      korda77Last traded
      No-$6.21
    • B
      glm4.1.fundLast traded
      No-$8.78
  • Will ByteDance be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on September 30?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Mistral be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Dominick Mosejczuk
    Won
    Dominick Mosejczuk
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CandleHammerDrumsLast traded
      Dominick Mosejczuk+$19.19
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Iiro Vasa-$63.43
    • B
      Pan9XLast traded
      Dominick Mosejczuk+$29.36
  • Will StepFun be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will DeepSeek be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    64%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    29%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    80%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$7.04
    • A
      donthackmeLast traded
      No-$2.56
    • A
      korda77Last traded
      No-$1.95
  • Will MiniMax be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 29?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in September?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will DeepSeek be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.