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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Z.ai be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W35 Wagga Wagga: Naomi McKenzie vs Laquisa Khan

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Laquisa Khan
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Laquisa Khan-$25.65
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Naomi McKenzie+$24.85
    • A
      38791873984189Last traded
      Naomi McKenzie-$20.61

  • Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs RoundsGG - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Phantom Academy
    Won
    Phantom Academy
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Phantom Academy-$96.62
    • A
      JohnLKellyJrLast traded
      Phantom Academy+$80.39
    • B
      BillBenter2026Last traded
      Phantom Academy+$18.24

  • Independiente Medellín vs. Millonarios FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • M25 Kigali: Benjamin Lock vs Rafael De Alba

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Benjamin Lock
    Won
    Benjamin Lock
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    87%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • M25 Darwin: Philip Sekulic vs Stefan Storch

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Philip Sekulic
    Won
    Philip Sekulic
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Baidu be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • M25 Slobozia: Sebastian Dominko vs Sebastian Gima

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Sebastian Gima
    Won
    Sebastian Gima
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Sebastian Gima+$174.91
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Sebastian Dominko-$210.11
    • A
      38791873984189Last traded
      Sebastian Dominko+$32.03

  • Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or below on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $172 in September?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Moonshot be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: Leo (-1.5) vs Phantom Academy (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Phantom Academy
    Won
    Phantom Academy
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% or less in August?

    Right

    PCE

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      CoinTrickLast traded
      Yes+$2.11
    • B
      CrazyCat-KiwiLast traded
      Yes+$2,826.72
    • B
      AJSVLast traded
      Yes+$161.10

  • BC Lietkabelis Panevezys vs. KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo

    Wrong

    Basketball

    Called
    KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo
    Won
    BC Lietkabelis Panevezys
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo-$12.43
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      BC Lietkabelis Panevezys+$0.90
    • A
      monkeyfish69Last traded
      KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo-$2,650.92

  • Map Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-1.5) vs Esport BERG (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-RUSTEC
    Won
    ex-RUSTEC
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • M15 Telavi: Matic Dimic vs Vaal Urankar

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Matic Dimic
    Won
    Matic Dimic
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 29?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs NightBirds (+1.5)

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    NightBirds
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      NightBirds+$0.51
    • A
      Barren-MorbidityLast traded
      Team Heretics Academy-$192
    • B
      Naive-BladeLast traded
      Team Heretics Academy-$948.46

  • Peru leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$1,450.23
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$319.80
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No-$242.70

  • Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Boston Red Sox
    Won
    New York Yankees
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: QUIN (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Grêmio Esports
    Won
    Grêmio Esports
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • OL Lyonnes vs. Chelsea FC: OL Lyonnes O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on September 30?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AS Roma vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$850.01
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over+$52.86
    • A
      LuckyLooLast traded
      Over+$122.05

  • Spread: OL Lyonnes (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Chelsea FC
    Won
    Chelsea FC
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Chelsea FC+$596.44
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Chelsea FC+$196.65
    • A
      ng6000Last traded
      OL Lyonnes-$40.39

  • Set 1 Winner: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Valentin Vacherot
    Won
    Valentin Vacherot
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on September 29?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Dylan Dietrich (-1.5) vs Andrew Fenty (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Dylan Dietrich
    Won
    Dylan Dietrich
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • M15 Luan: Shu Muto vs Reiya Komagata

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Reiya Komagata
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      38791873984189Last traded
      Reiya Komagata+$243.55
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Shu Muto+$56.97
    • B
      Pan9XLast traded
      Reiya Komagata+$167.93

  • W15 Varna: Carolina Gasparini vs Daria Maria Tudor

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Carolina Gasparini
    Won
    Carolina Gasparini
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: San Diego Padres (-6.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    San Diego Padres
    Won
    San Diego Padres
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Hockey

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in September?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      C03BLast traded
      No+$73.51
    • A
      pennedreadfulLast traded
      Yes+$405.01
    • A
      ng6000Last traded
      Yes-$78.92

  • Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $202 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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