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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Lithuania (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Lithuania
    Won
    Lithuania
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Real Cartagena FC win on 2026-09-29?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: KRY (-1.5) vs Omega (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Krytiepacani
    Won
    Krytiepacani
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Krytiepacani+$382.08
    • S
      DonkooLast traded
      Omega-$238.54
    • A
      AbsingLast traded
      Krytiepacani+$168.69

  • Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be less than $320,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Recurring

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.52% in September?

    No consensus

    Economy

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Trump say "NVIDIA" in September?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Southend United FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Eastleigh FC
    Won
    Eastleigh FC
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Eastleigh FC+$129.54
    • S
      ColdMathLast traded
      Eastleigh FC+$122.94
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Eastleigh FC+$34.29

  • Deportivo Pereira vs. Independiente Santa Fe: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • French Guiana vs. Sint Maarten: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      DonkooLast traded
      Under-$204.13
    • A
      AbsingLast traded
      Under+$18.22
    • B
      MaxFomoLast traded
      Under-$198.49

  • Spread: Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Deportivo Pereira
    Won
    Deportivo Pereira
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Deportivo Pereira+$118.58
    • S
      ColdMathLast traded
      Deportivo Pereira+$106
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Deportivo Pereira+$18.12

  • Lithuania vs. Andorra: O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on September 30?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 30?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Fire Flux Esports
    Won
    Fire Flux Esports
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Fire Flux Esports+$208.98
    • A
      backboxLast traded
      NAVI Junior-$551.32
    • B
      drex0oLast traded
      Fire Flux Esports+$86.81

  • Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Lithuania vs. Andorra: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$164.60
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$156.35
    • S
      ColdMathLast traded
      Over+$80

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AS Roma vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$281.09
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$63.15
    • B
      traderx9Last traded
      Over+$0.62

  • Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $156 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $800 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    AS Roma
    Won
    FC Barcelona
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      FC Barcelona+$340.16
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      AS Roma-$134.95
    • A
      LuckyLooLast traded
      AS Roma-$23.87

  • Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • M25 Darwin: Stefan Vujic vs Colin Sinclair

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Stefan Vujic
    Won
    Colin Sinclair
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      38791873984189Last traded
      Stefan Vujic-$120.77
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Stefan Vujic-$23.65
    • B
      Pan9XLast traded
      Stefan Vujic-$56.32

  • Paris FC vs. Arsenal WFC: O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 4PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in September?

    Right

    Economy

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      commeowderLast traded
      No+$52.78
    • B
      HDGBLast traded
      No+$142.53
    • B
      Vagabund97Last traded
      Yes-$87.27

  • Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • French Guiana vs. Sint Maarten: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      grasstoucher69Last traded
      Yes+$168.99
    • B
      capibLast traded
      No+$9.52
    • B
      PPMTLast traded
      Yes+$1.20

  • AS Roma vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$122.59
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$45.72
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$12.22

  • Mexico vs. Peru: Mexico O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$249.12
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$81.59
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$80.35

  • W15 Sharm ElSheikh: Caterina Odorizzi vs Anna Snigireva

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Anna Snigireva
    Won
    Anna Snigireva
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bahcesehir Koleji vs. BC Roma Spqr

    Right

    Basketball

    Called
    Bahcesehir Koleji
    Won
    Bahcesehir Koleji
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Bahcesehir Koleji+$172.40
    • B
      kitopesivanLast traded
      BC Roma Spqr-$26.85
    • B
      bingbardLast traded
      Bahcesehir Koleji+$19.41

  • Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs mellren - Map 3 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    mellren
    Won
    mellren
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • M15 Fayetteville, AR: Vlado Jankanj vs Pablo Martinez Gomez

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Vlado Jankanj
    Won
    Vlado Jankanj
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Pablo Martinez Gomez-$110.90
    • A
      38791873984189Last traded
      Vlado Jankanj-$92.34
    • B
      Pan9XLast traded
      Vlado Jankanj+$23.29

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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