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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Baseball

    Called
    Chicago Cubs
    Won
    San Diego Padres
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Won
    Paris FC
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Paris FC+$497.66
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Arsenal WFC-$63.49
    • B
      0xjamesLast traded
      Paris FC-$234.21
  • Esports

    Called
    Geekay Esports
    Won
    G2 Esports
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Won
    Arthur Gea
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 97.50 in September?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by September 25, 2026?

    Right

    Oil

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Core PCE MoM be -0.1% or less in August?

    Right

    PCE

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$84.01
    • A
      merodLast traded
      No-$7.52
    • A
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes+$7.08
  • Esports

    Called
    Team Secret
    Won
    Team Secret
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Ewen Lumsden
    Won
    Ewen Lumsden
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      38791873984189Last traded
      Ewen Lumsden+$46.76
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Ewen Lumsden+$8.51
    • B
      Pan9XLast traded
      Ewen Lumsden+$68.15
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Over+$15.03
    • B
      macs.Macsnyi90Last traded
      Over-$71.31
    • B
      sntoloLast traded
      Over-$62.97
  • Tennis

    Called
    Diana Martynov
    Won
    Diana Martynov
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Diana Martynov+$3.76
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Diana Martynov+$0.51
    • B
      kutsumiakiaLast traded
      Diana Martynov+$80.54
  • Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $110 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Tatjana Maria
    Won
    Tatjana Maria
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Tatjana Maria+$33.57
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Tatjana Maria+$2.62
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Lucciana Perez Alarcon-$103.32
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$56.07
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$13.62
    • A
      CERTovaLast traded
      Down+$7.61
  • Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.43% in September?

    Right

    Economy

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Novak Djokovic
    Won
    Novak Djokovic
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 30?

    Right

    SPX

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 29?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by September 30?

    Wrong

    Geopolitics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      SuAltezaLast traded
      No+$289.84
    • B
      cookedquailLast traded
      Yes-$194.27
    • B
      AJSVLast traded
      Yes+$74.45
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 32°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.