Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 91% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 21,228
- No consensus
- 18,783
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.
Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$5.85
- A38791873984189Last tradedUp+$134.03
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$16.03
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$37.28
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$141
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$23.72
- Called
- Chicago Cubs
- Won
- San Diego Padres
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedSan Diego Padres+$618.01
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedChicago Cubs-$504.93
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedChicago Cubs+$12.52
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$42.07
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$1.22
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$131.45
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$31.77
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$2.51
- Afatdog-012Last tradedDown+$16.14
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$36.59
- Afatdog-012Last tradedDown-$57.97
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$63.39
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$110.36
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedNo-$84.07
- BemffgLast tradedNo+$71.07
Spread: Arsenal WFC (-2.5)
No consensus- Won
- Paris FC
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedParis FC+$497.66
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedArsenal WFC-$63.49
- B0xjamesLast tradedParis FC-$234.21
- Called
- Geekay Esports
- Won
- G2 Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedGeekay Esports-$120.01
- Azxcursed121Last tradedGeekay Esports-$4.74
- AdabossrealmanLast tradedG2 Esports+$3.51
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$15.72
- A38791873984189Last tradedDown-$124.79
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$5.27
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$115.42
- Afatdog-012Last tradedUp+$7.37
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$12.67
- Won
- Arthur Gea
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedZhizhen Zhang-$220.26
- AElated-LentilLast tradedArthur Gea+$0.21
- BAthletic-SenderLast tradedArthur Gea+$71.78
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SyoungwhaleLast tradedNo+$120.31
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$6.36
- SFlaznorpLast tradedNo+$4.48
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AflippingsharksLast tradedDown-$10.13
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$208.06
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$61.47
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$33.09
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$14.13
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$5.75
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 97.50 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACoinTrickLast tradedNo+$0.06
- BVagabund97Last tradedYes+$112.47
- BSuperTestsLast tradedYes+$13.49
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$52.76
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$92.85
- B976FLast tradedDown+$8.59
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by September 25, 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFrozenParasiteLast tradedNo+$111.83
- Atheta-thunbergLast tradedNo+$1.29
- BRoro22Last tradedNo+$12.30
Will Core PCE MoM be -0.1% or less in August?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
- Called
- Team Secret
- Won
- Team Secret
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedTeam Secret+$41.82
- AdabossrealmanLast tradedTeam Secret-$4.25
- Azxcursed121Last tradedRebels Gaming-$2.68
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$12.83
- ACERTovaLast tradedDown-$78.22
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$35.33
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$38.35
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$14.66
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$9.79
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AcoinfilippeLast tradedNo-$105.64
- Aftrxc64afnLast tradedNo+$101.50
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedNo+$99.68
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder-$511.79
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$351.75
- SFlaznorpLast tradedOver+$247.40
- Called
- Ewen Lumsden
- Won
- Ewen Lumsden
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- A38791873984189Last tradedEwen Lumsden+$46.76
- A0xc07Last tradedEwen Lumsden+$8.51
- BPan9XLast tradedEwen Lumsden+$68.15
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedOver+$15.03
- Bmacs.Macsnyi90Last tradedOver-$71.31
- BsntoloLast tradedOver-$62.97
- Called
- Diana Martynov
- Won
- Diana Martynov
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedDiana Martynov+$3.76
- SRock.SanLast tradedDiana Martynov+$0.51
- BkutsumiakiaLast tradedDiana Martynov+$80.54
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $110 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedNo+$291.60
- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedNo-$127.62
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes-$47.34
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$35.84
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$85.68
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$5.65
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$10.91
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$2.73
- A38791873984189Last tradedDown+$134.65
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$10.61
- Afatdog-012Last tradedDown-$51.66
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$4.08
- Called
- Tatjana Maria
- Won
- Tatjana Maria
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$56.07
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$13.62
- ACERTovaLast tradedDown+$7.61
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.43% in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AStarted-with-20-USDLast tradedNo+$71.37
- AcommeowderLast tradedNo+$53.59
- BAJSVLast tradedYes-$15.41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ATunSahurLast tradedYes-$100.73
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedYes-$0.31
- BSitiropikohLast tradedNo-$15.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$36.85
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$15.28
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$3.93
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedNo+$8.09
- AkneelbeforethekingLast tradedNo+$0.70
- BFreeborneLast tradedNo+$98.20
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$22.77
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$0.51
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$44.83
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedYes-$22.88
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$2.38
- AARocky33Last tradedNo+$95.20
- Called
- Novak Djokovic
- Won
- Novak Djokovic
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNovak Djokovic+$41.36
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNovak Djokovic+$28.95
- SmishipolisLast tradedNuno Borges-$26.03
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedDown+$26.86
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$1.30
- A38791873984189Last tradedDown+$70.48
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$13.55
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$0.73
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$94.20
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 30?
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACoinTrickLast tradedUp+$0.18
- BPrimePenguinLast tradedUp+$100.74
- BOraculumNobiusLast tradedUp+$2
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 29?
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- ApennedreadfulLast tradedDown+$140.43
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedUp-$97.58
- ACoinTrickLast tradedUp+$0.10
Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by September 30?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BSuAltezaLast tradedNo+$289.84
- BcookedquailLast tradedYes-$194.27
- BAJSVLast tradedYes+$74.45
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$2.73
- A38791873984189Last tradedDown-$59.51
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$45.93
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$4.79
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$21
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$88.09
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 32°C on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ATunSahurLast tradedNo+$91.97
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$5.45
- AHighTempTationLast tradedNo+$0.49
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$19.33
- BVitoCorleone777Last tradedYes-$124.54
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo+$13.72
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$41.08
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$7.16
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$70.33
18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.