Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 91% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 21,228
- No consensus
- 18,783
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.
Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedUnder+$573.99
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$144.53
- ALuckyLooLast tradedUnder+$78
Will MiniMax be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes+$83.94
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$0.10
- B11B7c7e5D961Last tradedNo+$6.96
Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$13.98
- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$8.31
- B11B7c7e5D961Last tradedNo-$51.91
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$19
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$47.22
- BalmachLast tradedUp+$20
- Called
- Chen Dong
- Won
- Chen Dong
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedChen Dong+$50.25
- A0xc07Last tradedMakoto Ochi-$112.58
- Afatdog-012Last tradedMakoto Ochi-$17.61
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACoinTrickLast tradedNo+$0.44
- BgreedymartinLast tradedNo+$44.79
- BUntimely-KiwiLast tradedNo+$43.56
Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$17.87
- AKiernanMeisterLast tradedYes-$57.26
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$5.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$40.23
- ACERTovaLast tradedUp+$25.06
- AHcrystallashLast tradedDown-$19.38
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$14.46
- AWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedDown+$66.40
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$37.86
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$273.73
- SFlaznorpLast tradedOver+$97.08
- BemacronLast tradedUnder-$293.29
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $680 in September?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedNo-$159.28
- BGabiFPLast tradedNo+$85.23
- BSerpentine-MajorityLast tradedNo+$81.99
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$13.23
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$38.77
- Balex20011Last tradedNo-$26.39
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$19.74
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$11.38
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$4.12
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 30?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes+$73.42
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedYes+$2.68
- AcoinfilippeLast tradedYes+$0.99
XRP Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$27.41
- ScurieLast tradedUp+$7.05
- AProudIsraeliLast tradedUp+$0.07
Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$8.84
- AmolodoyyLast tradedNo+$87.11
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$3.74
- Called
- Daniela Darta Feldmane
- Won
- Charlotte Van Zonneveld
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedDaniela Darta Feldmane-$79.56
- A0xc07Last tradedDaniela Darta Feldmane-$56.32
- BDisguised-Pickax-FetusLast tradedCharlotte Van Zonneveld+$55.74
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$92.07
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$1.17
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$22.34
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$25.26
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$3.40
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$38.01
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 29?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$11.95
- AHighTempTationLast tradedNo+$6.44
- BOnlyLuckNoBrainLast tradedNo+$27.93
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$331.16
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$275.08
- SFlaznorpLast tradedUnder-$238.84
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$14.11
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$45.73
- BTheMaskLosesLast tradedDown-$5.89
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$28.34
- Afatdog-012Last tradedDown+$18.43
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$1.23
Will Mistral be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes+$70.07
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$3.03
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$4.39
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$24.61
- AWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedDown-$59.59
- Afatdog-012Last tradedUp+$3.63
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$17.93
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$1.35
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$43.04
XRP Up or Down - September 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$14.95
- ACERTovaLast tradedDown+$2.11
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$44.50
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 29?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$29.89
- BVitoCorleone777Last tradedYes+$187.16
- B42012Last tradedNo-$156.44
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedUnder+$13.18
- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$7.12
- BSecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder+$31.47
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,198,000 and $1,220,000 on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Akorda77Last tradedNo-$10.50
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$46.63
- BAJSVLast tradedYes-$2.15
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$28.65
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$15.86
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$16.51
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$22.60
- Afatdog-012Last tradedUp+$53.61
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$95.11
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$34.32
- BalmachLast tradedDown+$20
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$3
Will Xiaomi have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$41.01
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$5.20
- Bglm4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$6.36
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by September 25, 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo+$49.23
- Atheta-thunbergLast tradedNo+$0.38
- AthoodrLast tradedNo+$0.38
- Called
- Emma Kamper
- Won
- Emma Kamper
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- A38791873984189Last tradedEmma Kamper+$40.71
- A0xc07Last tradedMisa Malkin-$17.23
- AilovetennisLast tradedEmma Kamper+$15.88
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$21.55
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$7.02
- Ang6000Last tradedNo+$18
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$9.89
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$59.73
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$8.09
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 29?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$14.35
- Bqqqppp-l1Last tradedNo-$73.95
- Bslow-2pctLast tradedYes+$3.22
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$75.31
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$2
- AMiserly-PoundLast tradedUp+$0.90
Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ANoSteinNoGateLast tradedNo+$4.05
- BmeagainsttheworldLast tradedYes-$65.83
- BaliizLast tradedNo+$5.40
- Called
- Amy Stevens
- Won
- Hikaru Sato
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedAmy Stevens-$33.95
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedHikaru Sato+$18.23
- A0xc07Last tradedAmy Stevens-$68.13
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$8.38
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$8
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$28.59
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$106.21
- Afatdog-012Last tradedDown+$33.74
- BLittle-bigLast tradedDown+$54.73
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Afatdog-012Last tradedDown+$59.33
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$1.11
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$12.97
- Called
- Maple Leafs
- Won
- Canadiens
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ANooseracLast tradedMaple Leafs-$119.48
- A_test_i075_i078_1Last tradedMaple Leafs+$57.71
- BlbtradingLast tradedCanadiens+$8.78
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNo+$8.05
- SFlaznorpLast tradedNo+$1.43
- ALuckyLooLast tradedNo+$15.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$21.39
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$12.53
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$23.62
18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.