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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$573.99
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$144.53
    • A
      LuckyLooLast traded
      Under+$78
  • Will MiniMax be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes-$13.98
    • A
      aHjCzLast traded
      Yes-$8.31
    • B
      11B7c7e5D961Last traded
      No-$51.91
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Chen Dong
    Won
    Chen Dong
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Chen Dong+$50.25
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Makoto Ochi-$112.58
    • A
      fatdog-012Last traded
      Makoto Ochi-$17.61
  • Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$273.73
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over+$97.08
    • B
      emacronLast traded
      Under-$293.29
  • Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $680 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$54.54
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$29.98
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes-$16.27
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • XRP Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Daniela Darta Feldmane
    Won
    Charlotte Van Zonneveld
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$331.16
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$275.08
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$238.84
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Mistral be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • XRP Up or Down - September 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 29?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$13.18
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$7.12
    • B
      SecondhandvinylLast traded
      Under+$31.47
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Up-$31.21
    • A
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$54.02
    • A
      CERTovaLast traded
      Down+$23.69
  • Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,198,000 and $1,220,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Recurring

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      korda77Last traded
      No-$10.50
    • B
      glm4.1.fundLast traded
      No-$46.63
    • B
      AJSVLast traded
      Yes-$2.15
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Xiaomi have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by September 25, 2026?

    Right

    Oil

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Emma Kamper
    Won
    Emma Kamper
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      38791873984189Last traded
      Emma Kamper+$40.71
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Misa Malkin-$17.23
    • A
      ilovetennisLast traded
      Emma Kamper+$15.88
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$21.55
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$7.02
    • A
      ng6000Last traded
      No+$18
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 29?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Amy Stevens
    Won
    Hikaru Sato
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Hockey

    Called
    Maple Leafs
    Won
    Canadiens
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    80%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 17,926 more positions across 1,944 markets on this day.