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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
1,932 right490 wrong

All wallets: 92% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,806

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$81.47
    • A
      korda77Last traded
      No-$27.68
    • A
      donthackmeLast traded
      No-$26.65

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    18%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    30%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    76%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    12%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    31%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    17%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$44.64
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$25.72
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$13.79

  • Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Housing

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    41%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    53%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    27%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$105.68
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$32.09
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down-$1.49

  • Jingshan: Alexandra Shubladze vs Jiajing Lu

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alexandra Shubladze
    Won
    Alexandra Shubladze
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Jiajing Lu-$144
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Alexandra Shubladze+$82.28
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Alexandra Shubladze+$33.24

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    36%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    79%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$30.12
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$2.22
    • A
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$16.33

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$46.31
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down-$3.87
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Up-$0.77

  • W100 Templeton, CA: Ella McDonald vs Savannah Broadus

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Savannah Broadus
    Won
    Ella McDonald
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Rigas Zelli vs. Derthona Basket

    Right

    Basketball

    Called
    Rigas Zelli
    Won
    Rigas Zelli
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: BIG vs Senshi Esports Club (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BIG
    Won
    BIG
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    84%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    5%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    29%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Adana: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Anna Blinkova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Anna Blinkova
    Won
    Anna Blinkova
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    12%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$130.63
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down-$8.55
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down-$5.77

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    8%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: K27 vs BakS eSports - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    K27
    Won
    K27
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down on September 30?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    8%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • BK Häcken FF vs. Juventus FC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over+$1,753.81
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$1,712.93
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$672.59

  • Games Total: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    7%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Panathinaikos vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne

    Wrong

    Basketball

    Called
    ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
    Won
    Panathinaikos
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne-$1,387.61
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne-$475.78
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne-$266.52

  • Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Semente do Mal - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MIBR fe
    Won
    MIBR fe
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Lithuania vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Leo Team
    Won
    Leo Team
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    57%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 29?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    68%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5

    Wrong

    Hockey

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Arsenal WFC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Paris FC
    Won
    Paris FC
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Arsenal WFC-$1,755.37
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Paris FC+$1,462.76
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Arsenal WFC-$374.94

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    27%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Botafogo FC vs. AA Ponte Preta: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$445.57
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$434.10
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$229.88

  • Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    10%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W100 Templeton, CA: Ena Koike vs Arianna Zucchini

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Arianna Zucchini
    Won
    Arianna Zucchini
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HVABLast traded
      Arianna Zucchini+$723.88
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Arianna Zucchini+$472.45
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Arianna Zucchini+$263.22

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    82%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • BC Siauliai vs. London Lions

    Wrong

    Basketball

    Called
    London Lions
    Won
    BC Siauliai
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      London Lions-$372.21
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      London Lions+$86.35
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      London Lions-$80.42

  • Will Tamworth FC win on 2026-09-30?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No-$363.55
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$57.62
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Yes+$27.41

  • Games Total: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    18%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    80%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 30?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    40%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    78%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

18,735 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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