Polymarket wallets ranked by how far their settled soccer buys beat the price they paid, on a conservative lower bound, beside the recent large trades across the Premier League, La Liga, the Champions League, and the World Cup. Polymarket lists soccer contracts across the major leagues and tournaments.
Ranked by the 95% lower bound of each wallet's edge on its first large buys, observed as they filled and equal-weighted by independent event. Coverage is Polymarket only and partial: large taker buys since model launch, not reconstructed history, and not raw win rate.
A live rank needs 30 resolved independent events. Each row uses model category-skill-v2.1.0, and observations begin , from partial Goldsky primary taker fills. Edge metrics refreshed 6m ago.
Large trades in soccer, ranked by how unusual they are rather than by time, each with the wallet behind it. Without Pro a trade reaches this flow once it is 24 hours old, and the suspicion score behind the ranking stays with Pro.
Wallets first seen in the last 30 days, placing large directional trades. They have little settled history yet, so this is flow, not edge.
Match outcomes, tournament winners, transfers, and manager appointments across the major leagues and tournaments.
The wallets ranked at the top of this page. The order is the 95% lower bound of each wallet's edge against the price paid, measured on its first large buy in every settled soccer market as it filled. A short lucky run has a wide interval and a low bound, so it rarely reaches the top.
League knowledge a generalist misses: academy pipelines, tactical matchups, how a referee assignment changes a game. Expected goals (xG) models are the common quantitative approach.
Every other category we track.
Premier League and Champions League knockout matches, yes: the order books are deep. Lower-division and friendly matches can be thin, with wide spreads.
Expected goals (xG), team form, head-to-head records, squad rotation, and travel schedules. Injury and suspension news moves soccer prices, because one player can decide a match.
