Polymarket wallets ranked by how far their settled MMA buys beat the price they paid, on a conservative lower bound, beside the recent large trades on UFC fight winners, championship bouts, method of victory, and round totals.
Ranked by the 95% lower bound of each wallet's edge on its first large buys, observed as they filled and equal-weighted by independent event. Coverage is Polymarket only and partial: large taker buys since model launch, not reconstructed history, and not raw win rate.
A live rank needs 30 resolved independent events. Each row uses model category-skill-v2.1.0, and observations begin , from partial Goldsky primary taker fills. Edge metrics refreshed 15m ago.
Large trades in MMA, ranked by how unusual they are rather than by time, each with the wallet behind it. Without Pro a trade reaches this flow once it is 24 hours old, and the suspicion score behind the ranking stays with Pro.
Wallets first seen in the last 30 days, placing large directional trades. They have little settled history yet, so this is flow, not edge.
The wallets ranked at the top of this page. The order is the 95% lower bound of each wallet's edge against the price paid, measured on its first large buy in every settled MMA market as it filled. A short lucky run has a wide interval and a low bound, so it rarely reaches the top.
Contracts on the fight winner, the method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), round props, and fight-of-the-night. The price is trader consensus, and it can differ from a sportsbook line.
Stylistic matchups a casual fan misses: a wrestler against a striker, a southpaw stance, reach in the right context, and how a fighter holds up in the later rounds.
Every other category we track.
Yes. One punch or one submission ends a fight whoever was winning on points, so a single bout carries more variance than a team game.
A hard weight cut changes how a fighter performs. Weigh-in footage, a missed weight, and past cut trouble can point to a fighter who underperforms their price on fight night.
