Resolution reportMonday, October 5, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
71%
1,127 right458 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 28,208
- No consensus
- 26,623
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 24,833 provider closure; 3,375 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SclassifiedLast tradedYes-$2,231.83
- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$11.45
- AmerodLast tradedYes-$6.98
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SclassifiedLast tradedYes-$2,231.83
- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$8.50
- AmerodLast tradedYes-$2.72
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SclassifiedLast tradedYes-$2,231.83
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$2.36
- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$1.30
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AQMG-CORELast tradedYes-$2,416.80
- ABinottoLast tradedNo+$177.58
- ABiggggggggLast tradedYes-$25.76
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedNo+$1,771.08
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$55.99
- BWeather-GuruLast tradedYes-$203.63
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedOver+$2
- ARoadto1mlesgoooLast tradedOver+$2,087.71
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder-$320.90
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$1,747.23
- SwapolLast tradedUnder+$123.51
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$0.71
- Called
- Atlanta Braves
- Won
- Atlanta Braves
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedLos Angeles Dodgers-$1,778.67
- SwapolLast tradedAtlanta Braves+$154.38
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedAtlanta Braves+$130.66
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SpaddaaLast tradedYes+$501.32
- ASerpentine-MajorityLast tradedYes+$731.13
- ACAQZeroSeatsLast tradedYes+$81.03
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo-$59.88
- SantecLast tradedNo-$12.33
- ALilybaeumLast tradedNo-$30.16
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedYes+$763.54
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo-$325.64
- ASyrrokLast tradedNo-$0.27
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACAQZeroSeatsLast tradedNo+$927.21
- AYoungAlphaGoatLast tradedNo+$151.99
- AMysariaLast tradedNo+$3.27
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- ALuckyLooLast tradedOver-$1,037.52
- Arabbitfoot1Last tradedUnder+$21.41
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedOver-$11.55
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver-$4,171.01
- SprimmLast tradedUnder+$3,000
- SbetdgeLast tradedUnder+$2,108.34
- Called
- Leo Lagarrigue
- Won
- Jeremy LAUMON
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLeo Lagarrigue-$1,595.96
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedJeremy LAUMON+$978.36
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedLeo Lagarrigue-$24.67
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes-$1,207.15
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedNo+$323.73
- A0xDB5Last tradedNo+$30.40
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AfiankeeLast tradedDown+$747.84
- BboggycryptomanLast tradedDown+$57.84
- BCavernous-AgricultureLast tradedDown+$3.35
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- AYoungAlphaGoatLast tradedYes+$676.45
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo-$16.20
- ABiDiFakePollsLast tradedYes+$9.56
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedYes+$303.91
- SFrozenParasiteLast tradedYes+$98.15
- ACAQZeroSeatsLast tradedYes+$138.86
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHourglassLast tradedYes-$294.92
- ABiggggggggLast tradedYes-$223.38
- AmerodLast tradedYes-$72.98
- Called
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- Won
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedLos Angeles Dodgers+$605.12
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLos Angeles Dodgers+$115.56
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedAtlanta Braves-$58.45
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$450.05
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedNo+$170.79
- SwapolLast tradedNo+$52.78
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$23.40
- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedNo+$769.96
- BMaddadLast tradedYes-$128.53
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFrozenParasiteLast tradedNo+$236.76
- SrainbowliliesLast tradedNo+$30.81
- ACAQZeroSeatsLast tradedNo+$256.42
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$86.72
- SjustdanceLast tradedNo+$12.79
- AComTruiseLast tradedYes-$713.38
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedDown+$465.49
- AtimebrotimeLast tradedUp-$15.64
- BShocked-YokeLast tradedUp-$1,048.43
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGordinhoDoAlfaLast tradedNo+$505.55
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo+$38.58
- ALSB1Last tradedNo+$37.10
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 14%
- Called
- Ducks
- Won
- Ducks
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedDucks+$625.69
- SwapolLast tradedDucks+$84.35
- Adv-pmLast tradedPanthers-$345.49
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SColdMathLast tradedUnder+$75.99
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedUnder+$2.05
- ALuckyLooLast tradedUnder+$435.14
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedUnder-$441.50
- SColdMathLast tradedOver+$195
- SZaiZoiBeleLast tradedOver+$33.30
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
- Won
- Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMaaya Rajeshwaran Revathi+$21.72
- BPan9XLast tradedMaaya Rajeshwaran Revathi+$270.49
- BSatisfactory8Last tradedMaaya Rajeshwaran Revathi+$56.29
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedNo+$258.47
- SRN1Last tradedYes-$97.66
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$58.79
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$268.09
- SeasyclapLast tradedNo+$24.56
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedNo+$30.80
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes+$1.12
- BgghffLast tradedNo-$380.21
- Bwtrader2580Last tradedYes+$116.32
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedUnder+$104.64
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedUnder+$93.62
- SGC-PLast tradedUnder+$61.41
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$40.42
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$116.72
- AnoxmeLast tradedUp+$9.84
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$11.88
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$26
- BBabySharkkLast tradedUp-$417.99
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFrozenParasiteLast tradedYes+$41.26
- ACAQZeroSeatsLast tradedYes+$152
- AmrworldwideLast tradedYes+$43.09
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$54.96
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$217.93
- AWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedDown-$155.69
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$61.34
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$170.15
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$1.02
- Called
- Qatar
- Won
- Kuwait
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedQatar-$172.68
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedQatar-$184.36
- BGamblingAddict12345Last tradedKuwait+$89.55
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedYes+$342.85
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo-$55.84
- Bneo7777Last tradedYes+$31.32
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$16.54
- AWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedDown+$182.31
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$117.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$15.04
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedDown+$2.46
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$1.89
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$104.29
- Apppppppppo65Last tradedDown-$93.17
- AgansinimenLast tradedDown-$73.05
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNordhavenCapLast tradedOver+$569.40
- SwapolLast tradedUnder-$52.49
- BcocococococoLast tradedUnder-$321.90
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SpaddaaLast tradedYes+$230.82
- AYoungAlphaGoatLast tradedYes+$61.37
- ACoinTrickLast tradedYes+$0.81
26,548 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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