Resolution reportSaturday, October 3, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
82%
1,203 right259 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 44,111
- No consensus
- 42,649
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 36,286 provider closure; 7,825 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Merrimack vs. Yale
Wrong- Called
- Merrimack
- Won
- Yale
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedMerrimack-$89.81
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedMerrimack-$2.24
- BPan9XLast tradedMerrimack-$440.46
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$353.35
- SColdMathLast tradedOver+$54
- BLate-JodhpursLast tradedOver+$64.83
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGordinhoDoAlfaLast tradedOver+$156.84
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedOver+$52.69
- BeskilloLast tradedOver+$191.61
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SwapolLast tradedOver+$69.12
- SColdMathLast tradedOver+$52
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder-$37
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlawed-TranceLast tradedOver+$6.15
- ALilybaeumLast tradedOver+$110.29
- AmaxiplayerLast tradedOver+$29.38
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedUnder+$78.15
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$70
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder+$47
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlawed-TranceLast tradedOver+$32.57
- SantecLast tradedOver+$0.10
- ALuckyLooLast tradedUnder-$525.79
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$8.09
- ALuckyLooLast tradedUnder-$530.12
- AAztecClustersLast tradedOver+$53.73
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedYes+$400.94
- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$45.33
- BVitoCorleone777Last tradedYes+$299.18
- Called
- Astra Sharma
- Won
- Astra Sharma
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedAstra Sharma+$422.47
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAstra Sharma+$235.34
- A88MLast tradedAshley Lahey-$94.19
- Called
- Virginia Tech
- Won
- Virginia Tech
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 41%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$193.63
- Briped-mangoLast tradedUp+$435.78
- BSwift-CensusLast tradedUp+$178.52
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SshoemanhereLast tradedYes+$142.20
- AroscoffLast tradedYes+$138.81
- ALegal-Knot-NeglectLast tradedYes+$12.76
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$1,590.71
- SSharky6999Last tradedNo+$0.59
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedYes-$535.06
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedDown+$197.40
- SRock.SanLast tradedUp-$186.65
- BRichlukcypotatoLast tradedUp-$411.65
- Called
- Alabama
- Won
- Alabama
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedAlabama+$205.09
- SbetdgeLast tradedAlabama+$139.89
- BElectricyLast tradedAlabama+$105
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNooseracLast tradedOver+$4,384.06
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$4,284.48
- ScurieLast tradedOver+$63.20
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes+$376.60
- AgobblewobbleLast tradedYes+$2.53
- AComTruiseLast tradedYes+$2.29
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$393.87
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$15.63
- SantecLast tradedUnder+$0.14
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder+$75.80
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$48.24
- SantecLast tradedUnder+$29
- Called
- North Dakota State
- Won
- North Dakota State
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 87%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNorth Dakota State+$281.35
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedNorth Dakota State+$29.45
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedNorth Dakota State+$23.63
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 40%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUnder+$4,304.45
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$4,254.24
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$718.69
- Called
- Zimbabwe Women
- Won
- West Indies Women
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- StradecraftLast tradedZimbabwe Women-$22
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedWest Indies Women+$324.67
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedZimbabwe Women-$14.67
- Called
- Luxembourg
- Won
- Luxembourg
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 86%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedLuxembourg+$183.70
- SwapolLast tradedLuxembourg+$7.68
- SMalfunction.Last tradedLuxembourg+$1.54
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedOver+$167.84
- SFlawed-TranceLast tradedOver+$6.09
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$6.09
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ASaylorMoonLast tradedNo+$196.61
- AshovelingdiggingLast tradedNo+$133.76
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$53.99
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 39%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ALexingtonLast tradedNo-$159.89
- BlamykLast tradedYes+$422.28
- BJames-TalaricoLast tradedYes+$10.25
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
Wrong- Called
- Jets
- Won
- Bruins
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedJets-$196.66
- BcocococococoLast tradedJets-$111.03
- BPan9XLast tradedBruins+$93.21
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaveragerandommanLast tradedUp+$0.30
- BRichlukcypotatoLast tradedUp+$247.90
- Bdawangwang001Last tradedUp+$19.31
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmishipolisLast tradedYes-$158.08
- AStarted-with-20-USDLast tradedYes-$45.13
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo+$5.79
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 78%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SshoemanhereLast tradedYes+$87.73
- AroscoffLast tradedYes+$116.15
- AMarquisDeMottLast tradedYes+$2.23
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAiBirdLast tradedYes+$66.26
- BCosmicCedarLast tradedYes+$73.50
- Bandy29Last tradedYes+$58.14
- Called
- Iceland
- Won
- Iceland
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 85%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedIceland+$214.38
- SMalfunction.Last tradedIceland+$0.33
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedIceland+$610
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$33.57
- AEn111006Last tradedDown+$15.28
- BDigital-PatinaLast tradedDown+$171.79
- Called
- Iowa
- Won
- Iowa
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOhio State-$869.93
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedIowa+$718.17
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedIowa+$121.52
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedYes+$281.23
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo-$21.19
- B42012Last tradedNo-$51.94
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$334.99
- SantecLast tradedOver+$0.10
- ARoadto1mlesgoooLast tradedOver+$486.81
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes-$369.40
- SantecLast tradedNo+$32.34
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$593.42
- Called
- Astra Sharma
- Won
- Astra Sharma
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedAstra Sharma+$88.78
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedAstra Sharma+$32.78
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAshton Bowers-$5.63
Spread: UNLV (-14.5)
Right- Called
- California
- Won
- California
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedCalifornia+$1,765.50
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUNLV-$1,628.87
- SNooseracLast tradedUNLV-$652.09
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$200.92
- ALuckyLooLast tradedUnder-$18.42
- A0x1993J...marketLast tradedOver+$1.42
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AshovelingdiggingLast tradedNo+$65.46
- AKimchiCapitalLast tradedNo+$49.74
- Btitle1Last tradedNo+$44.32
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$123.54
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedNo+$17.93
- A0xDB5Last tradedNo+$14.58
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedOver+$0.80
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$0.74
- ALuckyLooLast tradedOver+$88.31
42,596 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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