Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 92% on the same markets.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 21,228
- No consensus
- 18,806
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.
Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Hugo Grenier
- Won
- Hugo Grenier
- Profitable wallets
- 31
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedHugo Grenier+$5,980.86
- SRN1Last tradedHugo Grenier+$2,422.82
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedHugo Grenier-$1,870.79
- Called
- TLN Pirates
- Won
- TLN Pirates
- Profitable wallets
- 31
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedTLN Pirates-$236.69
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedTLN Pirates+$107.43
- SFuture-Tarot-TraderLast tradedValerion-$106.11
- Called
- BIG Academy
- Won
- maybe
- Profitable wallets
- 30
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedBIG Academy-$816.29
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedBIG Academy-$691.89
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedBIG Academy-$395.22
- Called
- Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports
- Won
- Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 30
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SnewwmanLast tradedGamespace Mediterranean College Esports+$1,223.83
- SFuture-Tarot-TraderLast tradedGamespace Mediterranean College Esports+$470.86
- SantecLast tradedGamespace Mediterranean College Esports+$88.15
- Called
- Team Phantasma
- Won
- Team Phantasma
- Profitable wallets
- 30
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SnewwmanLast tradedGamespace Mediterranean College Esports-$1,571.38
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedGamespace Mediterranean College Esports-$761.37
- SFuture-Tarot-TraderLast tradedTeam Phantasma+$488.08
- Called
- Maria Timofeeva
- Won
- Maria Timofeeva
- Profitable wallets
- 30
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedDarja Vidmanova-$18,414.37
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedMaria Timofeeva+$9,867.70
- SRN1Last tradedMaria Timofeeva+$5,270.21
- Called
- Keegan Smith
- Won
- Keegan Smith
- Profitable wallets
- 30
- Confidence
- 45%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedKaylan Bigun-$3,593.82
- SRN1Last tradedKeegan Smith+$2,897.86
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedKeegan Smith-$1,589.05
- Called
- Kaufland Hangry Knights
- Won
- Kaufland Hangry Knights
- Profitable wallets
- 30
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SnewwmanLast tradedUnicorns Of Love Sexy Edition-$1,089.57
- SFuture-Tarot-TraderLast tradedKaufland Hangry Knights+$413.57
- SantecLast tradedKaufland Hangry Knights+$245.52
- Called
- Maddison Inglis
- Won
- Maddison Inglis
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMaddison Inglis+$19,762.02
- SRN1Last tradedZeynep Sonmez-$8,399.05
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMaddison Inglis+$6,993.70
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$20,226.11
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$3,340.75
- SspendingmoneyLast tradedYes+$878.46
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$5,160.18
- SFlaznorpLast tradedOver+$2,504.32
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver+$850.63
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$2,007.06
- SFlaznorpLast tradedNo-$1,882.82
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$1,784.06
- Called
- The Ruddy Sack
- Won
- The Ruddy Sack
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFuture-Tarot-TraderLast tradedThe Ruddy Sack+$101.43
- SnewwmanLast tradedThe Ruddy Sack-$73.60
- A0xhj37af3iafh3l2aifh237a3f289fg23h787ag443Last tradedThe Ruddy Sack+$1,182.88
- Called
- TLN Pirates
- Won
- TLN Pirates
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedTLN Pirates+$1,423.91
- SGooooooollllllllllLast tradedTLN Pirates+$102.95
- SFuture-Tarot-TraderLast tradedValerion-$84.73
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGordinhoDoAlfaLast tradedOver+$1,909.90
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder-$1,519.91
- SspendingmoneyLast tradedUnder-$1,153.44
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo+$95.66
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$45.57
- APredictionYogiLast tradedYes-$1,157.80
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$3,626.44
- SGordinhoDoAlfaLast tradedNo-$1,622.95
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo-$463.89
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SContentious-DinnerdateLast tradedYes-$280.16
- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo+$23.56
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$19.42
- Called
- Genaro Alberto Olivieri
- Won
- Genaro Alberto Olivieri
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedGenaro Alberto Olivieri+$692.29
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedLucas Da Silva-$360.76
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedGenaro Alberto Olivieri-$331.62
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SContentious-DinnerdateLast tradedYes-$277.55
- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$48.86
- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo-$39.93
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$411.10
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$34.70
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$31.88
- Called
- 100 Thieves
- Won
- 100 Thieves
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast traded100 Thieves+$339.35
- SminjiLast traded100 Thieves-$168.48
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedFUT Esports-$102.25
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 28
- Confidence
- 1%
Profitable wallets' positions- STalvez10Last tradedUnder-$32,400
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedUnder-$14,335.96
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$12,821.34
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 28
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedNo+$750.53
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$714.78
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$248.73
- Called
- Guido Justo
- Won
- Guido Justo
- Profitable wallets
- 28
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthestingsnakeLast tradedGuido Justo+$786.06
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedGuido Justo+$694.28
- SFlaznorpLast tradedGuido Justo+$548.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 28
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$88.51
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$84.17
- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$83.99
- Called
- Fiona Ferro
- Won
- Sijia Wei
- Profitable wallets
- 27
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHVABLast tradedSijia Wei+$15,238.58
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSijia Wei-$9,979.14
- SFlaznorpLast tradedFiona Ferro-$4,557.89
- Called
- Dimitar Kuzmanov
- Won
- Vitaliy Sachko
- Profitable wallets
- 27
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedDimitar Kuzmanov-$7,985.08
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedDimitar Kuzmanov-$6,203.78
- SRN1Last tradedDimitar Kuzmanov-$5,176.80
- Called
- Taylah Preston
- Won
- Taylah Preston
- Profitable wallets
- 27
- Confidence
- 81%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedTaylah Preston+$15,756.32
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedTaylah Preston+$7,036.94
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedTaylah Preston+$2,187.38
- Called
- Zhuoxuan Bai
- Won
- Linda Fruhvirtova
- Profitable wallets
- 27
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedZhuoxuan Bai-$12,347.08
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLinda Fruhvirtova-$10,841.92
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedZhuoxuan Bai-$10,451.89
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 27
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes+$179.04
- SContentious-DinnerdateLast tradedYes-$120
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$53.14
- Called
- LOUD
- Won
- Team Vitality
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedTeam Vitality+$3,232.86
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLOUD-$417.31
- Sblack-rabbitLast tradedLOUD-$247.43
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SprimmLast tradedOver-$6,425.05
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$5,840.69
- SFlaznorpLast tradedOver-$1,431.69
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$1,824.43
- SFlaznorpLast tradedNo+$1,396.65
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$710.14
- Called
- David Jorda Sanchis
- Won
- David Jorda Sanchis
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedDavid Jorda Sanchis+$5,630.27
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedJesper de Jong-$1,523.36
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedJesper de Jong-$767.33
- Called
- Arthur Gea
- Won
- Arthur Gea
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedArthur Gea-$6,024.88
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedZhizhen Zhang-$745.95
- SFlaznorpLast tradedZhizhen Zhang-$668.81
- Called
- Samuel Heredia
- Won
- Joao Eduardo Schiessl
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedJoao Eduardo Schiessl+$4,240.23
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedSamuel Heredia-$436.88
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedJoao Eduardo Schiessl+$254.10
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$133.99
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$207.04
- Ataerv534Last tradedYes-$147.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$83.43
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$54.30
- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$42.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$93.63
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$67.74
- S0x0a2c53bd218c04da996cf96490e14-f3dfb9bc2Last tradedDown-$49.82
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 63%
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$12,139.12
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedUnder-$7,466.98
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedUnder-$4,015.15
Rangers vs. Bruins
Right- Called
- Bruins
- Won
- Bruins
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedBruins+$2,312.54
- SFlaznorpLast tradedRangers-$2,237.76
- SNordhavenCapLast tradedBruins+$877.87
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$2,170.01
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver+$1,021.30
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver+$551.24
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$21.91
- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo-$2.42
- ABiggggggggLast tradedNo+$23.16
- Called
- Marat Sharipov
- Won
- Marat Sharipov
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedDalibor Svrcina-$3,201.66
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedDalibor Svrcina-$1,193.19
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedDalibor Svrcina+$432.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$126.27
- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$124.91
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$92.49
- Called
- 100 Thieves
- Won
- 100 Thieves
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$168.90
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$65.11
- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$45.17
- Called
- Moez Echargui
- Won
- Moez Echargui
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedMoez Echargui+$10,760.74
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMoez Echargui-$1,778.68
- SRN1Last tradedMoez Echargui+$1,481.24
18,735 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 17,587 more positions across 1,922 markets on this day.