Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 92% on the same markets.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 21,228
- No consensus
- 18,806
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.
Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Team Vitality
- Won
- Team Vitality
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SminjiLast tradedTeam Vitality+$5,095.93
- SxytestLast tradedTeam Vitality+$4,911.51
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedLOUD-$3,334.69
- Called
- Luis Guto Miguel
- Won
- Luis Guto Miguel
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedLuis Guto Miguel+$15,179.12
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedLuis Guto Miguel+$6,270.88
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedLuis Guto Miguel+$3,127.15
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder+$13,297.22
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$7,253.12
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedOver-$6,567.61
- Called
- Xtreme Gaming
- Won
- Xtreme Gaming
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- Scat3xcat3xLast tradedLevel UP-$4,106.57
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedXtreme Gaming+$881.14
- SxytestLast tradedXtreme Gaming+$707.20
- Called
- Daria Snigur
- Won
- Daria Snigur
- Profitable wallets
- 42
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedKatarzyna Kawa-$18,614.82
- SFlaznorpLast tradedKatarzyna Kawa-$8,066.73
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedKatarzyna Kawa-$7,591.53
- Called
- Indiana Fever
- Won
- Indiana Fever
- Profitable wallets
- 42
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLas Vegas Aces-$4,437.42
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedLas Vegas Aces-$3,460.28
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedIndiana Fever+$1,029.50
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 42
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$448.88
- SContentious-DinnerdateLast tradedYes-$184.33
- SGollumGekkoLast tradedYes-$110.91
- Called
- 100 Thieves
- Won
- 100 Thieves
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SminjiLast tradedFUT Esports-$2,819.70
- SRN1Last traded100 Thieves+$2,680.25
- Swhite-rabbitLast tradedFUT Esports-$2,174.17
- Called
- Grêmio Esports
- Won
- Grêmio Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 61%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedGrêmio Esports+$6,533.04
- STommyLeePeecaLast tradedGrêmio Esports+$1,162.72
- SSnakeBallLast tradedGrêmio Esports+$843.45
- Called
- Lucrezia Stefanini
- Won
- Lucrezia Stefanini
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLucrezia Stefanini-$11,992.96
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedCagla Buyukakcay-$9,405.16
- SRN1Last tradedCagla Buyukakcay-$5,304.87
- Called
- Gonzalo Villanueva
- Won
- Gonzalo Villanueva
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedGonzalo Villanueva+$4,633.55
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedGonzalo Villanueva+$2,992.73
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedGonzalo Villanueva+$2,045.81
- Called
- TLN Pirates
- Won
- TLN Pirates
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRandomGameBetLast tradedValerion-$120.69
- SFuture-Tarot-TraderLast tradedTLN Pirates+$74.89
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedValerion-$40.07
- Called
- New York Liberty
- Won
- New York Liberty
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMinnesota Lynx-$4,364.35
- SFlaznorpLast tradedNew York Liberty+$2,582.05
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMinnesota Lynx-$2,031.57
- Called
- Team Heretics Academy
- Won
- Team Heretics Academy
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedTeam Heretics Academy-$1,160.81
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNightBirds-$191.49
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedTeam Heretics Academy+$153.84
- Called
- Magdalena Frech
- Won
- Magdalena Frech
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMagdalena Frech-$6,857.45
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedMagdalena Frech+$2,250.49
- SRN1Last tradedMagdalena Frech+$1,049.22
- Called
- Yue Yuan
- Won
- Yue Yuan
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedYue Yuan+$10,154.20
- SFlaznorpLast tradedYue Yuan+$2,356.32
- SRN1Last tradedYue Yuan+$1,925.54
- Called
- Alejandro Tabilo
- Won
- Alejandro Tabilo
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedTommy Paul-$14,115.26
- SjtwyslljyLast tradedTommy Paul-$4,987.77
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedAlejandro Tabilo+$3,514.69
- Called
- Henry Bernet
- Won
- Henry Bernet
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedHenry Bernet+$5,092.52
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedHenry Bernet+$4,083.27
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedHenry Bernet-$2,139.52
- Called
- G2 NORD
- Won
- G2 NORD
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFuture-Tarot-TraderLast tradedG2 NORD+$292.10
- SantecLast tradedG2 NORD+$151
- SnewwmanLast tradedG2 NORD+$114.37
- Called
- West Indies
- Won
- India
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedWest Indies-$19,094.80
- StradecraftLast tradedWest Indies-$1,290.40
- SFlaznorpLast tradedWest Indies-$385.55
- Called
- Darwin Blanch
- Won
- Darwin Blanch
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedDarwin Blanch+$18,888.93
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedDarwin Blanch+$10,302.06
- StradecraftLast tradedDaniel Milavsky-$2,752.79
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo+$702.29
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo-$21.93
- AKiernanMeisterLast tradedYes+$2,189.07
- Called
- Solary
- Won
- Solary
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDearest-UrgeLast tradedSolary+$3,018.41
- SjohnbasterLast tradedDN SOOPers Challengers-$415.43
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedSolary-$118.51
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$15,897.87
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$10,249.22
- SFlaznorpLast tradedOver-$5,819.55
LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage
Right- Called
- Team Phantasma
- Won
- Team Phantasma
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedGamespace Mediterranean College Esports-$1,089.98
- SnewwmanLast tradedGamespace Mediterranean College Esports-$662.20
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedTeam Phantasma+$456.97
- Called
- Team Yandex
- Won
- Team Yandex
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 63%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBackTestEoCaraioLast tradedMOUZ-$214.26
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedTeam Yandex+$159.87
- SantecLast tradedTeam Yandex+$144.03
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SContentious-DinnerdateLast tradedYes-$487.07
- Se46m3Last tradedNo+$442.67
- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo-$106.86
- Called
- Elena Pridankina
- Won
- Elena Pridankina
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedElena Pridankina+$22,854.87
- SRN1Last tradedElena Pridankina+$16,168.98
- StradecraftLast tradedElena Pridankina+$3,937.53
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SContentious-DinnerdateLast tradedYes+$4,808.73
- StjaLast tradedYes+$967.82
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo-$274.03
- Called
- Lucas Poullain
- Won
- Lucas Poullain
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedRemy Bertola-$5,456.26
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLucas Poullain-$2,766.10
- SFlaznorpLast tradedLucas Poullain-$2,463.89
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$701.54
- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo-$174.53
- AkneelbeforethekingLast tradedYes-$556.57
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedNo+$2,703.99
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$1,425.92
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNo+$961.18
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Marsborne (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs
Right- Called
- Marsborne
- Won
- Marsborne
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 51%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedMarsborne+$1,672.10
- SantecLast tradedMarsborne-$191.95
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedMarsborne-$79.47
Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Terence Atmane
No consensus- Won
- Elias Ymer
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedElias Ymer+$44,217.04
- SRN1Last tradedTerence Atmane-$23,510.09
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedElias Ymer+$15,386.43
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo+$542.37
- ADOLLAR-PRINTERLast tradedNo+$3,773.26
- APrickly-EyrieLast tradedNo+$2,541.56
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHerrieDavisLast tradedUnder+$219.29
- SParz1vaILast tradedOver-$141.48
- A3648393489047Last tradedOver-$15,187.68
- Called
- Bryce Nakashima
- Won
- Bryce Nakashima
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedBryce Nakashima-$6,382.06
- SRN1Last tradedBryce Nakashima-$4,539.13
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedJack Kennedy-$3,639.91
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedNo-$1,520.03
- SLonnieHawkinsLast tradedYes+$814.76
- SGordinhoDoAlfaLast tradedYes+$344
- Called
- Jan-Lennard Struff
- Won
- Jan-Lennard Struff
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedJan-Lennard Struff-$6,426.17
- SjtwyslljyLast tradedThiago Agustin Tirante-$4,873.15
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedJan-Lennard Struff+$2,676.17
- Called
- UCAM Esports Club
- Won
- UCAM Esports Club
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 68%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUCAM Esports Club+$671.82
- SantecLast tradedUCAM Esports Club+$282.14
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedeSuba+$280.67
- Called
- Dayana Yastremska
- Won
- Dayana Yastremska
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 76%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedCaty McNally-$44,378.77
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedDayana Yastremska+$17,513.47
- SRN1Last tradedDayana Yastremska+$13,599.02
- Called
- G2 NORD
- Won
- G2 NORD
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SnewwmanLast tradedG2 NORD+$272.28
- SantecLast tradedG2 NORD+$192.42
- SFuture-Tarot-TraderLast tradedG2 NORD+$149.14
- Called
- Galions
- Won
- T1 Academy
- Profitable wallets
- 33
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGooooooollllllllllLast tradedGalions-$7,259.97
- SDearest-UrgeLast tradedT1 Academy+$4,989
- SequalsignificanceLast tradedGalions-$3,249.74
- Called
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
- Won
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
- Profitable wallets
- 33
- Confidence
- 51%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAliaksandra Sasnovich+$26,265.22
- SRN1Last tradedAliaksandra Sasnovich+$6,338.73
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedAliaksandra Sasnovich+$6,043.97
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 32
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo+$163.88
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedYes+$16.41
- APredictionYogiLast tradedYes+$1,356.23
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 32
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$1,554.28
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYes-$1,382.64
- SFlaznorpLast tradedNo-$1,019.52
- Called
- Tiago Pereira
- Won
- Tiago Pereira
- Profitable wallets
- 31
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedTiago Pereira+$16,634.08
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedTiago Pereira+$4,030.51
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOtto Virtanen-$3,901.83
- Called
- Golden Knights
- Won
- Golden Knights
- Profitable wallets
- 31
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedGolden Knights+$3,144.76
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedGolden Knights+$1,283.83
- SFlaznorpLast tradedBlackhawks-$269.02
- Called
- Sara Sorribes Tormo
- Won
- Sara Sorribes Tormo
- Profitable wallets
- 31
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSara Sorribes Tormo+$31,431.29
- SRN1Last tradedSara Sorribes Tormo+$9,680.29
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedWushuang Zheng-$9,188.31
- Called
- PARIVISION
- Won
- PARIVISION
- Profitable wallets
- 31
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLGD Gaming-$587.35
- SantecLast tradedPARIVISION-$418.99
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedLGD Gaming+$49.36
18,735 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 17,587 more positions across 1,922 markets on this day.