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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
1,910 right535 wrong

All wallets: 91% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,783

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    85%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    39%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W35 Baza: Carlotta Moccia vs Radka Zelnickova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Radka Zelnickova
    Won
    Radka Zelnickova
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    75%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W35 Wagga Wagga: Nana Onozawa vs Alana Subasic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Nana Onozawa
    Won
    Nana Onozawa
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Nana Onozawa+$3,479.82
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Alana Subasic-$310.72
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Nana Onozawa+$296.91

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    39%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Over-$189.95
    • A
      JAMJAMJAM4Last traded
      Under+$360.79
    • A
      am100Last traded
      Under+$144.69

  • Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs BOMBA Team (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    G2 NORD
    Won
    G2 NORD
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    88%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GooooooollllllllllLast traded
      G2 NORD+$1,651.48
    • S
      antecLast traded
      G2 NORD+$20.78
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      G2 NORD+$0.60

  • Will French Guiana vs. Sint Maarten end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Lithuania (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Andorra
    Won
    Lithuania
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Andorra-$1,202.72
    • S
      ColdMathLast traded
      Andorra-$281.03
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Andorra-$142.43

  • Anguilla vs. Aruba: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • French Guiana vs. Sint Maarten: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Belize vs. St. Vincent and the Grenadines: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    80%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Recurring

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    39%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Yandex
    Won
    Team Yandex
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Botafogo FC vs. AA Ponte Preta: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will St. Vincent and the Grenadines win on 2026-09-29?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Paris FC vs. Arsenal WFC: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    88%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in September?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 29?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    25%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      Bland-DynamiteLast traded
      Yes+$78.22
    • B
      gghffLast traded
      No-$646.28
    • B
      AJSVLast traded
      No-$75

  • AS Roma vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    80%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$322.34
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$138.74
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$115.51

  • Botafogo FC leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$458.48
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$113.89
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$105.04

  • Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    64%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by September 30?

    Right

    Recurring

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    73%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$115.17
    • A
      merodLast traded
      No-$139.21
    • A
      donthackmeLast traded
      Yes-$84.72

  • Exact Score: BK Häcken FF 0 - 1 Juventus FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$374.42
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$38.25
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$7.75

  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in September?

    No consensus

    Economy

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W100 Templeton, CA: Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez vs Olivia Lincer

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Olivia Lincer
    Won
    Olivia Lincer
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Olivia Lincer+$121.42
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Olivia Lincer+$28.67
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez-$385.78

  • M25 Slobozia: Matei Florin Breazu vs Radu David Turcanu

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Matei Florin Breazu
    Won
    Radu David Turcanu
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CandleHammerDrumsLast traded
      Matei Florin Breazu-$152.24
    • A
      ghostorderLast traded
      Matei Florin Breazu-$259.41
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Radu David Turcanu+$213.35

  • Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in September?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - September 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$94.86
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down+$79.29
    • B
      almachLast traded
      Down+$116.07

  • Will Moonshot be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    17%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $325,000 and $330,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Recurring

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    27%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FC Bayern München
    Won
    FC Bayern München
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      FC Bayern München+$3,502.70
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      FC Bayern München+$2,760.15
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      FC Bayern München+$565.38

  • Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W75 Quinta do Lago: Reese Brantmeier vs Katie Swan

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Katie Swan
    Won
    Katie Swan
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    13%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • French Guiana vs. Sint Maarten: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    54%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 29?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Rangers vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Hockey

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Lithuania vs. Andorra: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$303.22
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$167.88
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under+$138.26

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Down+$192.99
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$106.51
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Up-$66

18,711 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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