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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
1,932 right490 wrong

All wallets: 92% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,806

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • W15 Sharm ElSheikh: Sandra Samir vs Liel Marlies Rothensteiner

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Sandra Samir
    Won
    Sandra Samir
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Sandra Samir+$0.08
    • A
      38791873984189Last traded
      Liel Marlies Rothensteiner-$636.28
    • A
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Liel Marlies Rothensteiner-$25.16

  • M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Niklas Waldner vs Yahor Slizevich

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Yahor Slizevich
    Won
    Yahor Slizevich
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    89%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • BK Häcken FF vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    90%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Recurring

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • M25 Darwin: Arjun Mehrotra vs Blake Ellis

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Arjun Mehrotra
    Won
    Arjun Mehrotra
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Arjun Mehrotra-$163.50
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Arjun Mehrotra+$59.84
    • A
      0xc07Last traded
      Arjun Mehrotra+$378.61

  • Counter-Strike: PRIVATE vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Nuclear TigeRES
    Won
    Nuclear TigeRES
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      DonkooLast traded
      Nuclear TigeRES+$445.34
    • S
      antecLast traded
      PRIVATE-$57.15
    • A
      AbsingLast traded
      Nuclear TigeRES+$101.16

  • Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will United States vs. Chile end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    78%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Sydney Kings (-7.5)

    Right

    Basketball

    Called
    Sydney Kings
    Won
    Sydney Kings
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Turma do Pagode
    Won
    Turma do Pagode
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    91%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 30?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    89%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Eritrea vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$542.38
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$95.96
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$38.84

  • Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in August?

    Right

    PCE

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    8%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    27%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    73%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Agile-SpacingLast traded
      Down+$92.76
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$51.19
    • A
      nagi777Last traded
      Down+$12.05

  • Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 29?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W15 Nashville, TN: Chiara Di Genova vs Amelie Justine Hejtmanek

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Chiara Di Genova
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5

    Wrong

    Hockey

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,200 in September?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    9%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    83%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the median home value in the DC Metro be at least $542,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Housing

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    8%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    80%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W35 Reims: Kim Chiarello vs Salma Djoubri

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Salma Djoubri
    Won
    Salma Djoubri
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    San Diego Padres
    Won
    San Diego Padres
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    12%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    83%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $478,000 and $486,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Parcl

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    87%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • W15 Monastir: Kseniia Ruchkina vs Klara Blazkova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Kseniia Ruchkina
    Won
    Kseniia Ruchkina
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    80%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    7%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    82%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$167.31
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Down+$41.45
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$18.21

  • Spread: South Africa (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    South Africa
    Won
    South Africa
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Eritrea-$776.22
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      South Africa+$767.84
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      South Africa+$458.20

  • Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in September?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Hockey

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$318.76
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over+$198.27
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Under-$53.76

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    85%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    24%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$107.80
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Down-$96.85
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$4.03

  • LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Estral Esports
    Won
    Estral Esports
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      bloodmasterLast traded
      Estral Esports+$191.05
    • A
      gejbrLast traded
      9z Globant+$61.86
    • B
      csgamer11Last traded
      9z Globant-$219.33

  • Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    27%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    44%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$124.52
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$16.14
    • A
      HcrystallashLast traded
      Down+$40.29

  • Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    10%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Amazon have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$81.41
    • A
      korda77Last traded
      No-$27.70
    • A
      merodLast traded
      No-$24.79

  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

18,735 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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