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Resolution reportWednesday, September 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
1,932 right490 wrong

All wallets: 92% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
21,228
No consensus
18,806

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 18,960 provider closure; 2,268 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • BK Häcken FF vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$6,688.02
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$2,855.90
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$623.73

  • AS Roma vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$2,499.34
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$1,916.61
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$735.83

  • Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    12%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?

    Right

    Oil

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      whigLast traded
      No+$5,520.55
    • S
      GollumGekkoLast traded
      No+$3,261.91
    • A
      thoodrLast traded
      Yes-$17,582.17

  • Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Olympiacos B.C.

    Wrong

    Basketball

    Called
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    Won
    Olympiacos B.C.
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Zalgiris Kaunas-$3,091.54
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Zalgiris Kaunas-$566.98
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Olympiacos B.C.+$294.57

  • Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs mellren (BO5) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    mellren
    Won
    mellren
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Leo Team-$277.14
    • S
      antecLast traded
      mellren+$31.91
    • A
      calculate10Last traded
      Leo Team-$1,102.07

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Andorra win on 2026-09-30?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs QUINTESSÊNCIA - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Grêmio Esports
    Won
    QUINTESSÊNCIA
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    55%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    73%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$67.06
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$43.54
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$40.52

  • United States vs. Chile: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Parcl

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    12%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • United States vs. Chile: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    10%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    7%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$77.46
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$44.48
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down+$9.59

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    27%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Jingshan: James McCabe vs Federico Cina

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    James McCabe
    Won
    Federico Cina
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    28%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      James McCabe-$556.92
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Federico Cina-$348.61
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      James McCabe-$78.59

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    56%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$104.90
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$45.65
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$42.33

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    75%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$60.86
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$32.76
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$23.66

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    66%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$58.23
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$47.56
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down+$17.40

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    3%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    56%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down-$85.73
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$9.87
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Up-$6.07

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    41%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      asdaefefLast traded
      Up-$19.45
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down-$13.48
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$12.28

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Kaufland Hangry Knights
    Won
    Kaufland Hangry Knights
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition-$286
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Kaufland Hangry Knights-$144.39
    • S
      Future-Tarot-TraderLast traded
      Kaufland Hangry Knights+$88.21

  • Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?

    Right

    Recurring

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    75%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$47.70
    • A
      KiernanMeisterLast traded
      No-$185.40
    • A
      merodLast traded
      No-$43.07

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    74%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$55.83
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$52.19
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$36.63

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    64%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    36%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    19%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Porto 2: Edas Butvilas vs Michael Geerts

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Edas Butvilas
    Won
    Edas Butvilas
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Esport BERG - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-RUSTEC
    Won
    ex-RUSTEC
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    27%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$160.51
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$118.84
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$53.52

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    79%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$51.29
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down-$25.77
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$20.28

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    86%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$52.23
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up-$4.85
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Up-$4.71

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    6%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    31%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    3%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$124.72
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$41.49
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$12.15

  • Will SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      Yes-$78.16
    • A
      lava-lavaLast traded
      No+$322.19
    • A
      SnowLover7Last traded
      Yes-$182.22

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Down+$75.82
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$39.60
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$39.05

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    18%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    66%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up-$73.24
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$57.81
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$37.87

  • Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    53%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    29%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    94%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down-$34.86
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$17.35
    • S
      Sharky6999Last traded
      Down+$9.21

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    36%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$14.28
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Up+$0.19
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$0.04

18,735 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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