Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong
All wallets: 90% on the same markets.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 15,607
- No consensus
- 12,793
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Shoney-spotLast tradedDown+$783.04
- SuninfromedflowwLast tradedDown+$233.97
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$233.67
- Won
- ex-Zero Tenacity
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedG2 Ares-$10,795.21
- ShumbleboyLast tradedex-Zero Tenacity+$3,500.93
- SGooooooollllllllllLast tradedex-Zero Tenacity+$1,127.46
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$555.19
- SWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedUp-$326.30
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$74.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 77%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$62
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$53.21
- Spspspsps5Last tradedDown+$26.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$103.22
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$58.93
- SAlpharo28Last tradedUp+$57.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$158.60
- SalmachLast tradedUp-$122.71
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$87.49
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$375.97
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$267.52
- Sx-MoneyForWhiskasLast tradedDown-$142.23
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$186.73
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$156.81
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$78.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$192.33
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$154.07
- SGoodFallenLast tradedUp+$102.94
- Called
- Toronto Tempo
- Won
- Indiana Fever
- Profitable wallets
- 42
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sic4creamLast tradedIndiana Fever+$16,591.16
- SAnonymousUsernameLast tradedIndiana Fever+$2,994.63
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedToronto Tempo-$1,745.27
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 42
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPoligarchLast tradedNo-$463.37
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedYes+$65.15
- SbalthazarLast tradedNo+$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 42
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$196.28
- Sx-MoneyForWhiskasLast tradedDown-$160.41
- Sdangerously-skip-permissionsLast tradedUp+$89.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 42
- Confidence
- 79%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$98.44
- SGoodFallenLast tradedUp+$50.34
- Sx-MoneyForWhiskasLast tradedDown-$47.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 42
- Confidence
- 62%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$63
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$44.99
- SGoodFallenLast tradedUp-$36.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 42
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$236.39
- SalmachLast tradedDown+$123.13
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$114.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 42
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$99.36
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$77.64
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$52.30
- Called
- Stan Wawrinka
- Won
- Stan Wawrinka
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedDalibor Svrcina-$8,116.48
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedStan Wawrinka+$7,822.16
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedDalibor Svrcina-$4,650.34
- Called
- Amanda Anisimova
- Won
- Amanda Anisimova
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmonkeymashingkeyboardLast tradedLinda Noskova-$10,199.99
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAmanda Anisimova-$8,606.86
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedAmanda Anisimova+$7,096.49
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- Strinity42Last tradedUp+$1,906.24
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$1,100.91
- SBoneOhioLast tradedDown-$129.40
- Called
- Chicago White Sox
- Won
- Chicago White Sox
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedChicago Cubs-$3,494.02
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedChicago Cubs-$3,493.60
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedChicago White Sox+$1,763.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$484.85
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$470.57
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$277.86
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$411.13
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$209.67
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$160.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SalmachLast tradedDown-$225.39
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$210.24
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$206.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$292.68
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$124.40
- SWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedDown-$122.68
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$309.87
- SalmachLast tradedDown+$127.50
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$69.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$178.47
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$151.71
- SebfliubaLast tradedUp-$69.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$262.18
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$164.16
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$129.76
- Called
- Los Angeles Angels
- Won
- Los Angeles Angels
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 72%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLos Angeles Angels+$90,150.35
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedLos Angeles Angels+$69,846.87
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedLos Angeles Angels+$21,474.39
- Called
- FUT Esports
- Won
- FUT Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedFUT Esports+$19,743.31
- SBAPEHUKLast tradedmagic-$1,649.97
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedFUT Esports+$143.08
- Called
- Atlanta Dream
- Won
- Atlanta Dream
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAtlanta Dream+$4,549.20
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedLas Vegas Aces-$3,331.96
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedAtlanta Dream+$3,181.21
- Called
- Toronto Blue Jays
- Won
- Toronto Blue Jays
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedTampa Bay Rays-$3,522.04
- SAnonymousUsernameLast tradedToronto Blue Jays+$1,863.46
- Storta.techLast tradedToronto Blue Jays+$1,559.41
- Called
- Lautaro Midon
- Won
- Lautaro Midon
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 34%
Profitable wallets' positions- SyesmateLast tradedLautaro Midon+$1,299.99
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedIgor Ribeiro Marcondes-$418.95
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedIgor Ribeiro Marcondes-$405.13
- Called
- Club Atlético de Madrid
- Won
- Club Atlético de Madrid
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedMálaga CF-$18,484.51
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedClub Atlético de Madrid+$4,421.41
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedClub Atlético de Madrid+$2,931.07
- Called
- HyperSpirit
- Won
- HyperSpirit
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedDrip Too Hard-$821.88
- SsentrioLast tradedDrip Too Hard-$685.83
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedDrip Too Hard-$191.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 61%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$679.55
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$77.79
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$54.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$68.37
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$49.07
- SalmachLast tradedUp+$48.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 86%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$70.77
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$54.70
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$46.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$198.12
- SalmachLast tradedUp-$135.90
- SGoodFallenLast tradedDown+$53.56
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$284.42
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$93.01
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$37.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$68.37
- Spspspsps5Last tradedDown+$63.36
- SGoodFallenLast tradedUp-$47.49
- Called
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- Won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- STRCMLast tradedJuan Manuel Cerundolo-$3,048.94
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedFelix Auger-Aliassime+$2,381
- Sic4creamLast tradedJuan Manuel Cerundolo-$1,081.18
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$399.66
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$198.15
- SalmachLast tradedDown-$175.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$256.45
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$253.96
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$93.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SebfliubaLast tradedUp+$79.89
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$78.65
- SwqewqaLast tradedDown-$68.96
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$236.68
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$109.16
- S0x50f7Last tradedDown+$52.62
- Called
- magic
- Won
- magic
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 1%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedmagic+$28,824.88
- SgaclfzLast tradedFUT Esports-$3,355.65
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedmagic+$1,152.28
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- SspendingmoneyLast tradedOver+$5,903.57
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$5,386.95
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$4,055.34
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnowLover7Last tradedYes+$3,697.92
- SmrworldwideLast tradedYes+$1,131.10
- SProfessionalPunterLast tradedYes+$995.31
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnowLover7Last tradedYes-$8,253.77
- SmrworldwideLast tradedNo+$3,371.36
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$1,690.83
12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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