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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$105.56
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$62.40
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up-$59.21
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    Team WE
    Won
    EDward Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      one8tyfiveLast traded
      Team WE-$5,830
    • S
      THEHIGHLIFELast traded
      EDward Gaming+$5,776.29
    • S
      spartachioLast traded
      Team WE-$4,686.35
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Xinyu Wang
    Won
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Xinyu Wang-$449.56
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Xinyu Wang-$446.72
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Xinyu Wang-$439.05
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$255.43
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$195.58
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$146.17
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$194.46
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$179.75
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Up+$75.20
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$236.01
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$213.62
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Down-$99.99
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$49.54
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$46.49
    • S
      Alpharo28Last traded
      Down+$38.55
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$291.56
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$252.67
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$251.44
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$827.69
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$98.62
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$75.96
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Baseball

    Called
    Boston Red Sox
    Won
    Boston Red Sox
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$10,304.12
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$2,445.23
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over+$1,798.70
  • Esports

    Called
    BRUTE
    Won
    BRUTE
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$201.36
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$144.03
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$94.64
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$200.72
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$85.96
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up-$55.86
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$216.59
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$195.17
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$103.64
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Down-$596.89
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$219.89
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$79.16
  • Tennis

    Called
    Lui Maxted
    Won
    Lui Maxted
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 32,912 more positions across 2,358 markets on this day.