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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Won
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$1,629.70
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$942.79
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$784.53

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$262.94
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$257.79
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Up-$168.45

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$158.17
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$77.46
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$69.99

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Minnesota Twins
    Won
    Minnesota Twins
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$292.82
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up-$280.12
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$266.22

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$344.78
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$326.46
    • S
      En111006Last traded
      Down+$181.01

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Gen.G
    Won
    Gen.G
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gningdLast traded
      Down+$88
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Down+$55.16
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$46.22

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$153.60
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$94.52
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$42.45

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    New York Mets
    Won
    New York Mets
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down-$139.65
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$124.89
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up+$115.33

  • Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Detroit Tigers
    Won
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down-$104.11
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$98.58
    • S
      Alpharo28Last traded
      Up+$60.09

  • Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Kansas City Royals
    Won
    Kansas City Royals
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-19?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    GamerLegion
    Won
    GamerLegion
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    T1 Academy
    Won
    T1 Academy
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      rf13g145g41g4g4Last traded
      KT Rolster Challengers-$15,739.59
    • S
      Sunshine.SmileLast traded
      KT Rolster Challengers-$1,552.80
    • S
      mpyhLast traded
      KT Rolster Challengers+$1,344.88

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Down-$465.33
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$226.49
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$176.68

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$154.79
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$92.81
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$57.99

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$74.22
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up+$54.99
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down-$47.82

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$157.84
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$138.29
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Up+$109.62

  • Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago White Sox
    Won
    Chicago Cubs
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Chicago White Sox-$5,674.89
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Chicago White Sox-$5,375.79
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Chicago White Sox-$2,194.90

  • Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Aurora Gaming
    Won
    FURIA
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-18?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Yes+$6,240.70
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$3,052.40
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      No-$2,151.19

  • Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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