Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong
All wallets: 90% on the same markets.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 15,607
- No consensus
- 12,793
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Marie Bouzkova
- Won
- Marie Bouzkova
- Profitable wallets
- 60
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMarie Bouzkova+$20,726.12
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedMarie Bouzkova+$13,625.05
- SRN1Last tradedMarie Bouzkova+$7,870.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 60
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$516.17
- SalmachLast tradedUp+$319.10
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$292.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 60
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$380.40
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$354.26
- SNIULAI4Last tradedUp+$318.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 60
- Confidence
- 45%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$480.95
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$295.06
- SAlpharo28Last tradedUp+$42.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 60
- Confidence
- 19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 60
- Confidence
- 40%
- Called
- Minnesota Twins
- Won
- Minnesota Twins
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedMinnesota Twins+$26,700.07
- SRN1Last tradedAtlanta Braves-$8,283
- Storta.techLast tradedMinnesota Twins+$3,078.69
- Called
- Jessica Pegula
- Won
- Jessica Pegula
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedSorana Cirstea-$14,477.09
- SRN1Last tradedJessica Pegula+$10,612.47
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedSorana Cirstea-$2,906.74
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sgsdgsf3Last tradedDown-$226.77
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$182.58
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$120.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$159.82
- S0x50f7Last tradedUp+$90.08
- SalmachLast tradedUp+$68.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$365.71
- SohioismLast tradedDown-$120.73
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$100.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$352.19
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$224.65
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$182.49
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sx-MoneyForWhiskasLast tradedUp+$228.86
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$221.49
- SalmachLast tradedUp+$201
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$270.23
- SebfliubaLast tradedUp-$213.03
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$187.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$564.36
- Shoney-spotLast tradedUp-$244.52
- SgningdLast tradedDown-$150.14
- Called
- Marta Kostyuk
- Won
- Marta Kostyuk
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMarta Kostyuk+$17,428.88
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedMirra Andreeva-$9,104.15
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedMirra Andreeva-$8,190.96
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 76%
Profitable wallets' positions- Shoney-spotLast tradedUp+$653.88
- SalmachLast tradedUp+$409.99
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$406.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sx-MoneyForWhiskasLast tradedDown+$268.40
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$193.72
- S0x0a2c53bd218c04da996cf96490e14-f3dfb9bc2Last tradedDown+$193.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$303.24
- Shoney-spotLast tradedDown-$184.51
- Sdangerously-skip-permissionsLast tradedDown+$133.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$265.90
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$243.50
- Sgsdgsf3Last tradedDown-$190.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$243.67
- SNIULAI4Last tradedDown+$203.34
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$198.49
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$337.98
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$244.31
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$174.86
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- Shoney-spotLast tradedDown+$262.85
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$237.20
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$184.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBoneOhioLast tradedDown+$291.81
- Sgsdgsf3Last tradedUp-$242.23
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$181.46
- Called
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- Won
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedColorado Rockies-$3,203.18
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedLos Angeles Dodgers+$3,088.25
- SsentrioLast tradedColorado Rockies-$1,264.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$180
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$96.70
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$82.62
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$504.77
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$179.76
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$82.74
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$372.93
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$273.48
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$266.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- Spspspsps5Last tradedUp-$311.22
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$246.96
- Sdangerously-skip-permissionsLast tradedDown+$137.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$455.25
- Sgsdgsf3Last tradedDown-$134.11
- SwqewqaLast tradedUp+$96.09
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedYes-$14,463.16
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNo+$10,648.67
- SRN1Last tradedYes-$8,964.61
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$249.41
- SohioismLast tradedUp+$193.88
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$179.25
- Called
- Thiago Agustin Tirante
- Won
- Thiago Agustin Tirante
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 1%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedThiago Agustin Tirante+$7,733.29
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedThiago Agustin Tirante+$7,194.36
- SjtwyslljyLast tradedThiago Agustin Tirante+$3,603.43
- Called
- Seattle Mariners
- Won
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAnonymousUsernameLast tradedSeattle Mariners-$3,454.24
- SsentrioLast tradedSeattle Mariners-$2,277.13
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedSeattle Mariners-$1,614.39
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$449.95
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$327.39
- Sx-MoneyForWhiskasLast tradedDown-$226.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SalmachLast tradedUp-$334.32
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$269.42
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$265.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$181.10
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$146.44
- SGoodFallenLast tradedDown-$98.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- Shoney-spotLast tradedUp-$580.11
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$253.38
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$248.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$151.06
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$132.63
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$131.41
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$211.41
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$185.21
- SwqewqaLast tradedUp+$174.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$260.06
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$127.08
- Sx-MoneyForWhiskasLast tradedUp+$89.89
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 55
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$338.66
- SalmachLast tradedDown+$197.70
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$162.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 55
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$541.49
- SalmachLast tradedUp-$199.95
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$109.61
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 55
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$208.02
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$179.43
- Spspspsps5Last tradedDown-$76.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 55
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$540.72
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$135.58
- Sx-MoneyForWhiskasLast tradedUp+$125.93
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 55
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$263.75
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$110.76
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$110.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 55
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$156.44
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$116.89
- Sgsdgsf3Last tradedDown-$70.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 55
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$238.76
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$235.99
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$181.58
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 54
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBreakTheBankLast tradedYes-$103,051.49
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$3,736.91
- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes-$3,172.19
12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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